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    USAFChief

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Showing content with the highest reputation on 05/05/2021 in all areas

  1. Who's going to trade a good reliever in early May? Nobody. Very unlikely. The front office completely blew the offseason, and it can't fix it right now. I can't claim to have predicted the pen would be THIS bad, but it wasn't hard to predict the pen wasn't going to be good enough.
    20 points
  2. If we cannot have good relievers to shore up the BP how about a different strategy. Piggly Back starters all the way. Have a second starter ready every game - drop the relievers, call up good arms and see if we cannot fill the game with two pitchers rather than the assembly we have now. Sorry Saints but you would get the BP arms and we will steal your starters.
    11 points
  3. Sign Greene. Promote Law and Smeltzer. Demote Theilbar and Waddell. IL Colome. Make Robles the closer, Rogers a fireman, Duffy and Alcala 8th inning guys. And pray.... a lot.
    11 points
  4. I think part of the solution, as @ToddlerHarmon gets at, is letting Maeda and Berrios pitch deeper into games. Happ, Dobnak and Pineda if they are breezing.
    8 points
  5. Yesterday, Rocco in response to question about using Waddell: "Y'know, he's here for a reason." Today: Waddell to St Paul.
    7 points
  6. The most frustrating thing about Rogers is Rocco's insistence on using him on back to back days. We have 3+ years of data now that says Rogers is a diminished pitcher when pitching on zero days rest. 2018 Without rest--12.2 IP, 10 k/9, 6.4 bb/9, .7 hr/9, 3.55 ERA, 4.05 FIP With rest--55.2 IP, 10 k/9, 1.1 bb/9, .3 hr/9, 2.43 ERA, 1.75 FIP 2019 Without rest--15 IP, 12.6 k/9, 4.2 bb/9, 3 hr/9, 7.20 ERA, 6.03 FIP With rest--54 IP, 11.5 k/9, .7 bb/9, .5 hr/9, 1.33 ERA, 1.49 FIP 2020/2021 Without rest--5.1 IP, 8.4 k/9, 0 bb/9, 3.4 hr/9, 5.07 ERA, 6.10 FIP With Rest--26.1 IP, 10.9 k/9, 1.7 bb/
    7 points
  7. "B: Trade for a bad team's best reliever" Psst....but WE are the bad team (don't tell anyone...)
    7 points
  8. I rip this team a lot for not spending....but I'm not sure who they could/should have signed this off season other than one good SP, rather than two cheap ones. But, so far, Happ has been quite good..... They actually spent a lot of money on Colome.... There is not one non-pitcing position where, given this roster and the minors, that you'd bring in a player other than SS, which they did. That leaves the bullpen and SP.....They weren't signing Bauer. Not sure who else you'd sign after signing Happ. As for the bullpen....which expensive RP was a realistic sign? Maybe they are leaving
    7 points
  9. He pitched ball one and ball two to Calhoun to begin the ninth. I was watching a minor league game or something, at that moment, so I don't know whether those two pitches were unlucky. The home run that followed did not beat him, but if you reconstruct the inning it seems very likely that no runs at all would have scored despite a couple of unlucky turns of events, had Rogers managed to retire Calhoun instead of giving up a dinger. Sometimes you make your own luck.
    7 points
  10. There are about four relievers who are somewhat trustworthy: Duffey (who doesn't look nearly as dominant as last year) Robles Rogers (who got horrifically unlucky last night) Thielbar Then there's the rest. Alcala has promise, but he just gets hammered by lefties, which is why he wasn't usable last night. I'm not sure the solution there, besides hoping for the best, or having him develop a pitch against lefties. Stashak, I don't know. Great strikeout numbers, but if he's not striking someone out, he's getting hit hard. His walks are way up. His BABIP and FIP suggest he's getting unluck
    7 points
  11. Buxton should have been signed 2 years ago, when it was feasible. At the latest, thus past off season. Whatever window there was to get it done is almost certainly closed. If the Twins are out of it by late June, they should absolutely trade Buxton. Probably Berrios too.
    7 points
  12. Another option, which the late minor league start has complicated: Use one of the starter prospects, probably Duran, as a short reliever for this season. Yes, I know it has risks. But it alleviates the crowding of the 40-man and of the bullpen with unusable arms. And it's better than trading them. Starting pitching depth was supposed to be a thing we have, right? We always intended to need more relievers. Well, it's not convenient, but time to see what Law, Hamilton, Gibaut can do. And another thing: not all analytics-driven strategies work. Pulling your starters when they struggle in
    7 points
  13. With no one to trust due to failure after failure in high leverage spots, why not bring Alcala in and see how he does? His stuff can result in strikeouts, which would help significantly with the runner-on-second rule. I would rather see what Alcala is made of and lose than see Waddell ever take the mound for the Twins again.
    7 points
  14. On a brighter note...........we need that don't we after ANOTHER blown game, other than the Saints loss at Omaha our other 3 affiliates all won tonight!! Wichita (AA) beat Springfield (STL) 2-0------scoring 2 runs in 8th. Josh Winder with 4.2 shutout IP with 6K's and only 1 BB allowed. Headed to Springfield tomorrow morning to see the next 2 games for the Wind Surge. Hoping to see Cole Sands and Dakota Chalmers pitch the next 2 nights. Our CR Kernels broke out the bats with some early runs and coasted to a 7-0 win over the Peoria (STL) Chiefs. And finally...... our low A- Fort Myers
    7 points
  15. Berrios pitched the second game of the season, and it was 6 no-hit innings. Donaldson has been worth .5 WAR in 17 games--That's 3 WAR in 102 games, which is worth $30M on the free agent market, and we paid $23M, so seems reasonable. He has an OPS over .800, a wRC+ of 127, and has accounted for 2.8 UZR in his 329 innings with the Twins. He is absolutely not the problem with this team.
    6 points
  16. No one will make that trade right now. Cave is essentially valueless at this point.
    6 points
  17. Everyone saw this result coming once Rogers blew the save and they showed Waddell leaving the bullpen for the 10th. We can't afford to have two relievers in the doghouse (Colome and Alcala (despite looking better lately)) plus having the AAA project in the pen. And that's with Rogers, Duffey, Thielbar, and Stashak having their own issues. They've got to at least try to fix the pen and not pretend everything is fine. Call up Law and sign Shane Greene, and if they fail, well, I will give them credit for trying.
    6 points
  18. If the starters keep going 5, 51/3....the team will lose 90 games. Can’t throw Rodgers and duffey every night. There’s just not enough even mediocre pitchers in the pen
    6 points
  19. What team have you been watching???
    5 points
  20. If you are going with Brandon Waddell in the 10th inning of a tie game that you really need to win while playing catchup to just .500 baseball, here are some names that would be more interesting and are old enough that you don't have to worry about the "years of control" or "available options". Jovani Moran Tom Hackimer Ryan Mason
    5 points
  21. In most seasons yes but I think because of the shortened season last year teams are looking for ways to limit innings somewhat to prevent fatigue/injury. If they pitch deeper in games now does that mean missing starts later in the year? Tough call.
    5 points
  22. In unrelated former prospect news - watched Huascar Ynoa pitch last night for the Braves. Kudos to Seth for touting him several years ago. Threw a great game (and he takes a healthy cut at the plate as well).
    5 points
  23. I said 2 months ago the bullpen wasn't going to be good enough, and I got quite a bit of pushback. Well? What say youse guys now? As to this game, plenty of blame to go around, as has been all too common, but I'll point a finger at Rocco for sending Rogers out for the 9th. Not only back to back games, but a second inning as well. Stupid, although I admit the alternatives aren't that attractive. I'm afraid it's probably too late. You can't rebuild a bullpen in April/May from outside the organization, and there's no help in St Paul.
    5 points
  24. I agree. Panic. But what good is panic? I personally plan to take up Tai Chi instead of watching the Twins.
    5 points
  25. A 20 million a year contract would be called a team friendly contract if he makes it through the year without more injury time. Considering Donaldson is shy of 22. prime years of Buxton should be worth more, That is if healthy.
    5 points
  26. I cannot comment on the BP - that has been covered - but isn't it time to say thanks for the memories and bid Jake Cave adios? Couldn't Larnach, Rooker...do as well or better than cave? And I have seen snippy comments - yes I said snippy - about Astudillo, but look at what he has done this year. He is actually one of our bright spots! Lets hope Arraez is better quickly, that Polanco is moved to Utility, that Cave is sent down, that Kiriloff starts every day - some where.
    5 points
  27. Please explain Waddell and not Alcala. Or actually, ROGERS and not Alcala
    5 points
  28. Not much changes from the original plan. Sano plays 1B primarily, Kirilloff plays LF primarily, and Arraez fills in elsewhere around the field. When it’s all said and done, all 3 will look like they played almost every day.
    5 points
  29. After yesterday's game thread, i think i'll go for short and sweet, so as not to think so hard. Fifth day of the fifth month... that's like... 5 squared, or 25. Is that Buxton day? Yes, but that's a trick question, 'cause every day is Buxton day. It is also el Cinco de Mayo, or Mexican Independence day. I claim no Mexican wisdom, but i support Independence for all! I'm not sure i would trust the accuratcy of much in the video, but i bring it up for the catchy music, animation style, and determination not to compromise. And i hope the last aspect rubs off on the Twins! We welcome Sa
    4 points
  30. I don't know, looking at Fangraphs, he looks only slightly below average statistically. Edit: Sorry forget that, I had the stats filtered only by Twins relievers.
    4 points
  31. Remember when the consensus was how shrewd the Twins were for signing Kepler, Sanó and Polanco to extensions?
    4 points
  32. So can we expect him to pull his weight?
    4 points
  33. As it turned out, a straight steal of home would have been a better call.
    4 points
  34. They have us right where they want us... Bases loaded, no one out. We're doomed.
    4 points
  35. Kyle Garlick, clean up hitter, just like we all envisioned during Spring Training.
    4 points
  36. None of the above. I read most of the winter, and frankly over the last 2 years how deep our farm system is. Let’s try them out first before paying a premium for a reliever we’ll probably regret trading for in a year.
    4 points
  37. You're right, there were no good options. That includes Rogers, who due to pitching on Monday, was also not a good option. So maybe Alcala, or Thielbar, or Colome blows the lead just the same, but at least then Rogers is available tonight. As it is, we have now pitched Duffey and Rogers two days in a row, so our good options tonight are...Robles? This bodes ill for our chances in a close game tonight; those chances would be better if Rogers was available, but instead we used him in a situation in which it was predictable he would not be good. The upshot is that we traded tonight's potenti
    4 points
  38. I'm not saying it isn't worth it to kick the tires on Greene, but a guy who struck out less than 7 per 9 last year, had an xFIP- of 107 (tied for 120th out of 173 relievers last year, not for nothing, but Sergio Romo in 2020 was at 110, ranking 129th), and a SIERA of 4.51 (tied for 131st; Romo was at 3.82, ranking 79th) isn't going to move the needle on this bullpen. After all, if we were told we could add 2020 Sergio Romo to this pen right now, would any of us be excited about that? Add in that Greene will probably need 2-4 weeks minimum to get ramped up to game shape, and I don't think Gr
    4 points
  39. It's not about one arm fixing the bullpen single-handedly. It's about finding someone to fill a leverage role and bump everyone else down, so you're not forced to pick between Brandon Waddell and Jorge Alcala in the 10th last night. Obviously they're going to need a few guys already in the bullpen to turn around their poor play, but I fear that won't even be enough on its own.
    4 points
  40. Cool! If only this new platform also included a couple of reliable bullpen arms.....
    4 points
  41. asking JA Happ to go longer wasn't, isn’t, and won't be the answer. The Twins got more than what can reasonably be expected from Happ last night...1 run in 5.1 IP. You might get 6 on a couple good nights, but you'll get less than 5.1 some nights too. Everyone in the dugout, and front office, knew that when Happ was signed. You're PLANNING on 3 to 4 innings from the pen almost every time Happ takes the mound when you ink him to a contract. The failure is with not having a good plan for that, rather than for expecting more from Happ.
    4 points
  42. I don't know about getting aggressive at 11-17. At some point, Happ will have to pitch against an actual offense, and he's going to get shelled. Maeda smoked and mirrored his way to not even a quality start. We know Berrios will be terrible after the AS break. Shoemaker is toast. And, last but not least, Big Mike isn't going to be a 30 start guy. I won't be surprised if this team gets swept in Chicago next week, then, hopefully, reality will set in. Now it looks like Kirilloff may be headed for the IL. May be time for a blow-up.
    4 points
  43. Baldelli's insistence on limiting how long the starters pitch contributes to the implosion of the bullpen. It's a team effort -- if the bullpen pieces aren't working, the starters can stay in for another couple of batters if their pitches are still working. Happ would rather go to the playoffs than have his 2.00 ERA protected through September. It's OK to use your eyes and ears to see if a pitcher needs to be pulled instead of a pitch count.
    4 points
  44. An incompetent GM could sign him easily. There is no art at all to asking him "how much do you want?"
    4 points
  45. I can just tell from that Jeffers batflip after his HR that he's playing pissed off after being sent down. Good to see some fire.
    4 points
  46. Well, at least we have the minor league report now that their season has started. Nice diversion from this same play reel.
    4 points
  47. Agree 100% with all of your comments. After 45+ years of following this team day to day, I'm at the point, I can't/won't invest my time into this group. The "stat" that goes a long way into showing how BAD this team is with their bullpen and offense was mentioned by Bremer after Rogers coughed up the lead in the 9th. The Twins have been outscored 17-1 in the 9th inning this year. Not a misprint. 17-1. Making things even worse-------like we need that-------when you factor in the 6 extra inning losses with the Twins being outscored 11-2 (just in the 10th inning) they've now been outscored
    4 points
  48. Even a casual Twins fan knows that Rodgers has struggled pitching two days in a row even when he was at his best..... but Ruminating Rocco you ask? No...no he does not know that It seems obvious to give Alaca the ball in the 10th (who did not pitch yesterday) instead of Waddell (who did and got shelled). This is not hind sight being 20/20; there were people who time stamped this opinion on the game thread live time. Yes the FO should have done better with the bullpen and the lineup should hit more, but Rocco simply not a good manager. He's just not. A nice man and a smart person I'm su
    4 points
  49. Waddell needs to be gone. He is not a major league pitcher. And Rocco deserves that “ovation” given to him. His managerial decisions have contributed to an 11-17 start to what should’ve been a series we were supposed to compete for a world championship. He needs to right the ship, and now. Not convinced he’s capable of doing it. From the game thread, any sort of relief help is a must. Shane Greene and Oliver Perez might be able to help. Call up Derek Law and NO. MORE. WADDELL.
    4 points
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