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Showing content with the highest reputation on 03/31/2021 in all areas

  1. The Twins should have a very exciting season this year. But the one thing that I am really looking forward to is reading the daily minor league reports. Not having those in 2020 left a big hole in my daily routine. I think I'm looking forward to May 1st more than April 1st. And that's no joke!
    7 points
  2. Garlick has had more at-bats in the majors than Rooker, plus I would suggest looking at Garlick's 2019 minor league numbers if you are putting that much weight on Rooker's minor league numbers. Garlick AAA 2019: 81 Games, 304 PA, 23 HR, 59 RBI, .314/.382/.675
    4 points
  3. Who is not picking a Twins World Series championship? What is wrong with you people? What website is this anyway? The 2021 Minnesota Twins will take it all!
    3 points
  4. I think it stinks. If we are going to ignore our minor league prospects get stars to hold them back, not someone who marginally out does them in ST.
    2 points
  5. Garlick set the Cal Poly Pomona single-season homerun record with 17 jacks in 2015, was drafted by the Dodgers, then batted .349 across 2 Single-A leagues that same year. In 2016 he was named to the California League Mid-Season All-Star team before being promoted to AA. In 2017 he was named to the Texas League Mid-Season All-Star Team but then injured his hand. Garlick debuted with the Dodgers in May, 2019. At age 29 he's not really a prospect anymore, but Kyle Garlick is not just LF meat. If he can do some mashing on left-handed pitching and keep his defensive routes and throws on track he should be able to help the Twins.
    2 points
  6. I think the Twins just feel Garlick is seeing the ball a little better, maybe taking a bit better at bats and want to go with the hotter hand right away. If he doesn't perform he can be gone in a week.
    2 points
  7. Kinda missing the point by citing Rooker’s ST slash line by itself. It’s the K’s...which are not as beholden to the mitigating circumstances of sss as are the other factors going into the slash line. Rooker struck out in 48% of ST PA’s. 48%. He made Sano, who had an absolutely atrocious spring offensively, look like Wee Willie Kepler. Rooker started out decent, and then was pretty much a train wreck in appearances over the last 2-3 weeks. As someone who was likely to platoon quite a bit (and on the short end of the platoon), I’d much, much rather see Rooker iron out some issues as an every-day player at AAA. He’ll be back when/if he irons things out.
    2 points
  8. And here I thought Guaranteed Rate Field would remain the dumbest stadium name in baseball for a long, long time. Didn't take long for that to be made completely wrong!
    2 points
  9. mike8791

    .624 OPS Spring

    Flash! Final ST #s in! Twins win the trifecta. Dead last(out of 30) in BA, OBP, OPS. To top it off, we have 5 regulars under the Mendoza Line: Garver - .172 Sano - .159 Simmons - .138 Buxton - .135 Kepler - .070 I know pitchers use ST to experiment with tweaks in their arsenal but I thought hitters use ST for getting ready for the regular season. Let's hope these above results are quickly forgotten. The stench is pretty bad!
    2 points
  10. I'm not disagreeing with anything you said here, just wanted to respond to the "Proof comes over time" comment, as I love Randy Dobnak and it was a personal crusade of mine to spew out the numbers showing just how consistent he had been in his rise to the majors, which was ridiculously so. The final tally of the stat sequence I liked to throw out to show this, was the following: Randy Dobnak, from the Midwest league all the way to the majors (may of 2018 through august of 2020), did not allow more than 4 runs in any game over a period 67 appearances. In that time frame, he went 28-11 with 2 saves, a 2.06 ERA, .232 BAA, 1.06 WHIP, and 3.62:1 K/BB ratio over 324 innings pitched. I know all of that is not the majors, where I agree proof could still be necessary, but that's a significant span of time to do something like that. Count me in the category who thought Dobnak should have been handed a rotation spot before any free agent signings were made. He'll be in the rotation to stay before May is over, book it. And if that slider unlocks some strikeout potential, All-Star is certainly possible in the future. (knocking on wood as I remember that Corey Kluber was never really a great prospect and didn't turn into a Cy Young pitcher until he had a few years of experience in the majors... with Derek Falvey running Cleveland's pitching development department...)
    2 points
  11. The Twins can certainly "put pressure" on Bally Sports but ultimately, they have little to no leverage to do anything about the situation. The Twins, like most pro sports franchises, sell their broadcasting rights to another company and once that ink is laid to paper, the broadcasting agent has most of the power to exercise those rights as they see fit, as the sports franchise gets paid either way. I'm sure there are clauses that prevent "no broadcast to anyone" but I'm equally sure there is a lot of leeway to drop some providers and grant access to others. Which sucks for consumers. As is the case so often today, we're stuck in the middle of billionaires yelling at each other while we don't get the service we expect.
    2 points
  12. Thank you Tom. This has been a really fun series, especially this year. To all the contestants, I have this advice: "Just keep swimming!"
    2 points
  13. A platoon of two LH batters? You did not think that one through. Baddoo would probably not even been invited to spring training. Even if he had been invited and showed as well as he did, the team would not have jeopardized his development by throwing him in at the ML level when he has never played an inning at AA.. AT an absolute minimum they would have had him play at AA for a good portion of the season. Then, if Buxton was hurt he MIGHT be brought up but the list of guys that make it to the MLB level with less than a full season at AA is very small and those guys killed it every step of the way. Rosario made $8M as an ARB-2. You are assuming a cost at least a couple million less than projected. . There is no way they were getting him for $8M. So, who are you eliminating. Happ and Robles or Simmons. I guess passing on Cruz would have been an option as well. If you ignore the team has a finite amount of money which allows you to ignore the equation is Rosario / Cave vs Garlick / Cave and Simmons, it's plausible to argue they should have kept the Rosario / Cave combo.
    2 points
  14. IMO LAD is the one that really expounds in depth. They put a lot of importance on depth especially on SS and CF, the crucial positions, where there is very little drop off in performance, 3 or so deep. This is what I desire for the Twins.
    2 points
  15. I don't want to see Arraez in LF at all. He is not good out there. If his knees are a problem then I surely don't want him running around in the outfield. He is infield depth for me really only playing second and third with Polanco covering short. Maybe first and DH once and a while as it stands now but if Rooker and or Kirlloff were up and performing they could cover those positions. DH ok, but Luis is too short for first.
    2 points
  16. Best defensive lineup probably only has one spot in question: pitcher 1 Berrios 2 Jeffers 3 Sano 4 Polanco 5 Donaldson 6 Simmons 7 Cave 8 Buxton 9 Kepler
    2 points
  17. Once in a while, I forget if I've commented on a post or not, lol. I guess I didn't as I ran through everything here and didn't see myself. (Unless I was self-blinded somehow). But I really enjoyed most posts. Very interesting stuff and perspectives. The All Star game has always been a popularity contest. But it seems to me, years past, there was more immediate knowledge to the voters to make selections. I guess the saving grace the last decade or so is the staff and bench usuaĺly actually being deserving. To the OP, can Dobnak be an All Star? Yes, based on his story and continued growth and experience. Deserving? Probably not. And I'm saying this as a fan of Dobber. He's shown in his short career...and bullet rise through the milb system...that the Twins may have a "decent" arm to work with. A guy with a floor as a 6th SP who could rise to 5th SP option with enough potential to MAYBE be a legit #4. But you don't have to be a baseball savant to look at his new slider and how wicked it looks to realize/speculate just how good he MIGHT be with his control and GB tendancy combined with AT LEAST a few more K's. If he can maintain that new slider consistently, we are talking about a LEGITIMATE #3 SP. And that's crazy to think about, but so is his whole story. But the craziest part is, the Twins said, "try this". And he did. A few days later he used it and it was suddenly a potentially devastating pitch. Just days later! And I know the whole "ST doesn't matter" mantra. Except, he wasn't throwing it in just junk time. He was throwing it against ML hitters. Replay shows it as WICKED! I refuse to annoit him to any level at this point. Proof comes over time. But that new pitch with the rest of his ability...how can you not be intrigued and excited about him at this point? Just to re-interate, when have you EVER heard of a pitching coach/staff that suggested a change and a couple days later that pitcher just raked with that change? I mean, WOW, how do you describe or quantify how crazy that is? Only time will tell if he can harness that pitch with everything else he has. Much less how good he could be. I will not predict so much growth and production to be an All Star and don't care. But I dare say he will be amongst the top SP in GS and IP in 2021 unless health/luck blesses the Twins rotation in 2021. Because every rotation ALWAYS needs more than 5. I am also very optomistic that Thorpe is going to be important as the 7th SP and bullpen option for this season. With his head on straight and body ready to go, Thorpe is going to make a difference. But I digress. Dobber may never be anything more than #3 SP. He might take his new slider and become a #2 SP and dominate! All Star? Wonderful idea. Dobber and his family would love the idea. Earning every $ of his new contract for a winning team the next several season's? Priceless!
    2 points
  18. The Twins will beat the Dodgers in 7 games in the 2021 World Series.
    2 points
  19. Kirilloff didn't make the team and it wasn't because of Cave. Rooker was either going to beat Garlick out or go to AAA, I don't think it was ever him vs Cave. Cave being a lefty is fantastic for the situation we're in now. Once Kirilloff and Larnach are up his being left handed may be redundant, but I can almost guarantee you playing the matchups of Cave and one of the righties produces more value that rotating Rooker and Garlick.
    2 points
  20. All of the responses were submitted prior to the Eloy injury.
    2 points
  21. It's a bit much to suggest the FO that oversees a team that has gone 137-85 over it's past 222 games isn't making good moves. Perhaps you meant splashy move, but that should not be confused with good (btw, signing Donaldson would also count as a splashy move). Also, on June 1, 2019, the Twins were 39-18 (111 win pace), had a 10.5 game lead in the Central, and the best record in baseball. On August 14, 2020 (about a third of the way through the season), the Twins had a 12-7 record (102 win pace), had a 1.5 game lead in the Central, and tied for the 6th best record in baseball. I think the FO knows early season games count.
    2 points
  22. Final spring training averages: Kepler: .070 Buxton: .135 Simmons: .138 Sano: .159 Garver: .172 Maybe it's not Garlick or Astudillo who we should be worried about.
    2 points
  23. Over his last 1,000 ABs, Rosario had a wRC+ of 98. Jake Cave had a wRC+ of 103 during the same time period and 572 ABs. Cave’s defense is better and I would guess Garlick will be about the same, maybe even a little better given how often Rosario throws to the wrong base or airmails the cutoff man. I think a platoon of Cave / Garlick has a good chance of being an upgrade. The even better news is that Kirilloff and/or Larnach should being in those positions and producing well above average for the next 6+ years. I think there is a good chance Cave is traded sometime this year.
    2 points
  24. Great article. Platooning is still cool BTW.
    2 points
  25. 2020 was an odd year but so was 2019 with the juiced ball. It is really hard to get a feel for what guys might do or be capable of doing in 2021. I was fine with Caves production until last year when it was really bad. I think he gets hated on too much but he needs to perform this year. Larnach needs to be added to the 40 man next year so someone has to go as they are not going to carry 8 outfielders. Someone out of Garlic, Rooker and Cave need to be moved next year and honestly with all the pitchers that might need to be added they might want to slim down to 6 outfielders so might need to get rid of two of those three. Cave needs to have a good year if he plans on staying with the Twins. Average production won't keep him ahead of Kirilloff, Larnach and Celestino. Also with so many lefties Rooker and Garlic have more value as righties. He is going to have prove he belongs because after this year he doesn't look like a good fit in Minnesota.
    2 points
  26. First, Kirilloff will not hit under .200 in St. Paul, if he is even still there when they start up. I refute the argument though that our FO would have sent him over if he was hitting well. Of course we will never know because it did not happen. Only one time has anyone pointed to manipulation of service time under this FO and that was Buxton, but I would argue he did not warrant a call up. He was doing terrible that season at MLB level and he was not tearing it up in AAA when he was down there to end the season. To say he should have been called up because he could or you are manipulating service time is a step too far. Did it work in their favor yes, but at the same time he was not playing at MLB level. I agree the way the FO manages games now is not the same as it used to be. In part that is because they have learned new ways to try and win. I think teams would be happy to work on loyalty if they could expect it in return. Both sides need to take those steps. How often does a top FA stay with their present team? There are a few top guys that have, but they were playing in large market team already. So how often does a top FA, I mean the guys that can break the bank, stay with their home grown team? For some teams they are priced out of the market, and so they feel they need to manipulate service time to get that 1 more year of team control, or 1 more cheap year depending on how it was manipulated. I do not put blame on either the owners or the players. Both side agreed to the rules and both sides use them as best they can. The issue with the current CBA is that the FO started playing by new rules of how they decided to evaluate older players. In the older days, late 90's to around 2010, teams used same type of evaluation and would give 30 year old 7 to 10 year deals. They did this to lock up them for the first few years of the deal knowing it was dead money at end of it. Also, record deals were being reached each year, even when the players were not the best in baseball but the best on the market. Well FO started to say why should we do this? Lets start to limit these to not have bad money going out the door. They learn ways through the rules to get the most of a player for cheap and then not pay them on the back end. They also stopped giving out large contracts to lessor players just because they were the top guy that year. Well this led to players getting upset and now the big blow up is coming. I do not predict the new CBA will look anything like it used too. Before 1 year service time manipulation sucked, but player would still get paid, but now that 1 year manipulation could cost him a couple years on a deal and that much more money. Players want to hit FA when they are 27, not when they are 30. I would love to see a way to make players want to remain with teams, but a good FO needs to assume they cannot keep them all and plan for the future, as well as the present. The Rays are masters at this.
    2 points
  27. At 1st I saw the low price, then I saw the incentives and thought not to bad, he could easily reach most of them. But then I thought it could be to appease him and be an another excuse not to give him the opportunity to rise. Really hope that's not the case. Dobnak has a nice story but that's not the reason I cheer for him. It's because he can help the Twins to win, his avenue to success is the Twins. Hope they can see that and take full advantage of it. To me Dobnak is as steady as they come. Go Twins.
    2 points
  28. Just need Berrios and Bux to agree to 3-5 year extensions and the nucleus is here for awhile.
    2 points
  29. The reason we didn't pay Rosario is because we would've had to pay him 10 million. He's not worth 10 million. Also, I don't see why putting Garlick in LF over Kirilloff or Rooker is just to "hold the fort." Garlick looks intriguing, given the spring he's had. IDK if it will work out, but why not try it? He definitely could help the Twins, at least it seems. He's been better than Kirilloff and Rooker, as well. Bottom line - Rosario isn't worth $10 million.
    1 point
  30. Agreed. The argument against Rosario was always that he was blocking the young players. Now you clear the spot, only to block it with Garlick? Com'n.... If you are going to make that move, you got to give the prospects a chance.
    1 point
  31. During Joe Maddon’s time in Tampa and Chicago, he was known for using players at multiple defensive positions. Will Rocco Baldelli, a Maddon prodigy, follow his footsteps with Minnesota’s defensive alignments?Catcher Mitch Garver and Ryan Jeffers are penciled in to get the majority of the innings behind the plate. However, Willians Astudillo is making the Opening Day roster and he can be used occasionally at catcher. Garver and Astudillo’s bats are strong enough that they may be used at other defensive positions as well. Jeffers is the best defensive catcher as his pitch framing skills are among baseball’s best. First Base Miguel Sano is set to be the primary first baseman, but his long-term role might end up being DH. Reports praise Alex Kirilloff and his athleticism at first, but he is starting the year in the minor leagues. Mitch Garver might be the team’s best back-up option at first until Kirilloff is called up. Max Kepler and Willians Astudillo also have some experience at first, but the Twins can get creative and use other players at first. Second Base Jorge Polanco has shifted from shortstop to second base, but he certainly isn’t anchored at that position. Luis Arraez will see time at second along with Astudillo. It is going to be intriguing to see how good Polanco can be in his transition to a new position. His previous defensive flaws won’t be magnified as much at second and some think he can be above average at second. Third Base As Twins fans saw last season, Josh Donaldson might not be able to be in the line-up for 162-games. Baldelli will need to find days off for him to get rest as he continues to age. Sano has the most experience at third among Twins players and the team sounds open to him making periodic starts at the hot corner. Arraez and Astudillo will also get opportunities at third. Shortstop If Andrelton Simmons is in the line-up, he is going to be the starting shortstop, because he has proven to be one of the best defenders at that position in baseball history. On the Opening Day roster, Polanco is the most likely player to take over if Simmons needs a day off. On the team’s official depth chart, Arraez is listed as the third option at short, but that would be in an emergency situation. Left Field One of the biggest question marks entering spring was who would take over for Eddie Rosario. Minnesota’s initial answer will be a platoon of Kyle Garlick and Jake Cave. Brent Rooker and Kirilloff were in the mix, but they didn’t make the club. Arraez has a chance to make starts in left, but he has very limited outfield experience and that inexperience showed itself during the spring. Center Field Much like shortstop, Byron Buxton is the primary center fielder, but he isn’t the club’s only option. Kepler has shown the ability to fill in nicely and he is an underrated defender in center. Also, Cave has experience starting in center even if he is the worst defender of the three. Right Field Max Kepler is one of the best defensive right fielders in baseball and he should start here on a regular basis. Many of the same options from left field can fill in for Kepler if he is needed in center field or if he needs rest. Garlick and Cave can shift to either corner spot so that adds even more flexibility. How many different defensive alignments will Baldelli use in 2021? What’s the team’s best defensive line-up? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email Click here to view the article
    1 point
  32. Derek Falvey played baseball at Trinity College. Thad Levine played baseball at Haverford College. Were you still playing at a level comparable to NCAA when you were in your 20s? You really should give the FO credit for having the experience that you say is important.
    1 point
  33. As a means to give Sano a day off here and there, it’s fine. Donaldson can play there, too, as a means to give Sano a day off, and Arraez or Astudillo can play 3rd. The article isn’t assuming that Garver or anyone would be a longer-term injury replacement, just that we have versatility to move people around when needed for a game here or there
    1 point
  34. 1 point
  35. I like the direction the squad is heading in this context, but they've still got work to do in this department. I do think it's coming though. This is where drafting athletes and finding a position for them later has it's advantages. The only thing I really worry about is that most of these positions have significant drop offs from the starter. Being capable and being adequate at a given position are two different things. But as I noted above, I do think some good options are waiting in St. Paul.
    1 point
  36. I prefer talent and production.... but I'm no GM that misses the playoffs more than I make them, so what do I know?
    1 point
  37. You put a lot of stock in spring training because absolutely nothing about Baddoo's history suggests he is remotely ready to play at the ML level. He has not played an inning above A+ where his numbers were mediocre. Garlick's OPS at AAA was over 300pts higher than Baddoo's A+ OPS not to mention Garlick proved quite competent with the Dodgers in 2019. Granted it was a small sample size but any FO of a team hoping to compete that would start Baddoo should be run out of town on a rail. The Twins gambled that no team would carry a player all year that has never player an inning above A+. Of course, it remains to be seen if they roster him all year or return him.
    1 point
  38. I was skeptical that Wakefield had been an All Star, so I looked. Sure enough, he was an all star in 2009. His season-long stats didn't jump off the page, so I figured he had a really good first half. Nope. In fact, he barely played after the all star break. ERA: mid 4s K: 5.0K/9 WHIP: 1.44 ERA+: League Average Record... yep. This is why. 11-3 in the first half Tim freaking Wakefield... All Star. What a world.
    1 point
  39. I'm tired of us not giving our own developed minor leaguers a chance and playing waiver wire pickups that we keep for a month and then send away. I would think it would be really discouraging to the players developing in our system. As for Astudillo, sure he looks good in spring training when guys are trying to throw strikes, but when the season starts major league pitchers will just throw him balls and let him hit his way into soft contact outs.
    1 point
  40. The Whitesox are going to be very good. I would be real happy with winning the central by a tie breaker.
    1 point
  41. On a serious note - In honor of Kyle Garlick making the team it feels like the world needs a Garlick Mashed Tator T-Shirt from SotaStick
    1 point
  42. La Russa is that you?
    1 point
  43. With regards to Rooker it's actually very possibly Cave ends up with a better career than Rooker when all is said and done. Rooker is a volatile hitter with power and no defense and Cave can at least do a range of things reasonably well. I also was bummed Rooker got sent down, but if people want to win this season then Cave was probably the right choice over Rooker given the information above. The Twins have more value in a versatile left handed outfielder in the mix than two poor fielding right handed ones.
    1 point
  44. Well, one thing they see is the ability to play CF so they don’t have a defensive outfield of Arraez-Kepler-Rooker on days Buxton is off.
    1 point
  45. Garlick is good for morale - baseball is supposed to be a merit system, not playing favorites. Garlick had a better spring than Rooker, thus he gets a roster spot. Rooker did look well-schooled in left field. Catches with both hands, good footwork, etc. If he continues to hone his hitting on the taxi squad, he'll be the first one called up, should Garlick...um, lose his initial allure. Sorry. Tip-toeing around all those pungent puns.
    1 point
  46. It's a joke that Rooker isn't on this team but Astudillo is. Might as well just give TC Bear a glove and call it a day.
    1 point
  47. This FACT should be the end of any debate. Anyone who would argue the decision to let Rosario go presumes to have a superior understanding of Rosarios value in comparison to every organization in the league. It's not a bad thing that fanaticism elicits some irrational moments but to harp on endlessly in the face of the highlighted reality is absurd.
    1 point
  48. Great signing of a guy with a wonderful story. Good for the Twins. Good for Dobnak. Gotta make his family happy knowing they are set for life. Saw that there are some bonuses included in the deal for innings pitched. Are they for the extension years only? Or also included in the initial five years? Could be very important for Dobber. Am beginning to have a feeling that we won't see an extension for Berrios this year or next. Is the FO beginning to plan for a staff without Jose? Expectations are so high, yet hasn't been able to do it consistently. With that said, they will probably announce his extension tomorrow.
    1 point
  49. I also like Lin, hope he gets a chance
    1 point
  50. The only reason we hasn’t played at least AA ball is because of COVID. Not all prospects are required to delay their arrival due to COVID. It’s something to consider for sure, but it’s not a rule. Everyone thinks he’ll hit, he was drafted 3rd overall as a refined college bat two years ago now...at it’s not like he’s been anywhere close to overmatched this spring. Oh, and last year the Sox managed a very productive lineup with a DH that OPS’d 627. Of course you play him. (Almost same exact age as Kirilloff. Drafted higher. Performing much better in ST. And I haven’t noticed anyone here suggesting starting Kirilloff out of the gate would have been an act of desperation on the Twins part, despite the fact that Kirilloff would be replacing someone who OPS’d 792)
    1 point
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