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    nicksaviking

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Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/18/2021 in all areas

  1. old nurse

    Chris Archer: Update

    If Chris Archer learns a whole new set of mechanics as a pitcher he could be good. Isn’t that every pitcher?
    4 points
  2. SIMMONS! Seriously, Simmons at SS and Buxton in CF would already be unfair. With Donaldson, Kepler, and Jeffers, that's a darn good defense
    4 points
  3. Marwin's OPS+ went from below average, but not killing you at 94 in his first year with the Twins and cratered to 68 last year. He isn't a good enough baseball player anymore. And team chemistry in the majors isn't about simply having the same guys in the same clubhouse year after year. These guys are professional athletes who are used to having guys come and go. You definitely want guys who get along and trust the guys next to them, but Marwin leaving will have no effect on the clubhouse chemistry. And running back the same team as last year is not a serious attempt at a WS. It's a team
    3 points
  4. I am in need of some action. I do not know how many articles I can read about all the FA that are just right for the Twins. This has been going on for four months. And today Aaron Gleeman has a similar article. I lean towards the young player unless the veteran significantly upgrades the team. I do not want to be as good as last year, I want to be better. Our history of going to the playoffs is more than our losing streak. When we get there we see what is lacking or should and then what? Last year we went to Jeffers, Alcala, Kiriloff, and Rooker. I do not want any of them replaced
    3 points
  5. bighat

    Chris Archer: Update

    You know the offseason has been bleak when you revisit a month-old Chris Archer thread, hoping the Twins made some kind of move.
    3 points
  6. I like this list, but my thoughts: 1) Simmons has to get more than a 1-year contract. There's no way the best defensive SS in the league, who also has a 99 wRC+ over the past 4 years as he changed his approach for the better at the plate, is getting a 1-year contract. 2) I think you're being a little pessimistic about Hernandez, if he's used correctly. If he's used strictly as a LHP masher (career 120 wRC+), then he's a perfect fit to spell Kepler (74 wRC+), Polanco (89 wRC+), and Arraez (89 wRC+). But if he starts drawing constant starts against RHP (82 wRC+), then there's a problem. I al
    3 points
  7. Has anyone in an official capacity spoken in these terms? Being vaccinated doesn't mean you can't still be a carrier.
    3 points
  8. Well that's a given. But what does Tampa's poor attendance have to do with Covid?
    2 points
  9. I would love to see Tanaka instead of Odorizzi. Jake seems to be at a 5-inning limit. If you put him with an opener, you might be able to get an extra inning. I think the Twins seriously need to get an infielder who can play third when you put Donaldson at DH and not lose the punch. Simmons would be a GREAT choice. I would long-term him. Semian would also be a great choice. I see the Dodgers would like tu use him at third. Hand being passed for one-year at $10 is my question. Yes, Rosenthal would be a wonderful choice. The Twins could do save by committee. And I would be game for Clippar
    2 points
  10. Good article. I agree 100 percent that Yates and Rosenthal would be good fits for the Twins. Unfortunately, they would fit on a lot of teams, and I don't see them signing for the projected amounts shown here, especially when Trevor May got what he did. This front office has shown they don't want to devote significant dollars to relief pitching. Once the music stops, I'm afraid the Twins will be left without a chair for the area they need the most help.
    2 points
  11. Makes sense that the first team stating they will admit fans is the only one playing in a sealed enclosure.
    2 points
  12. I agree, Simmons on a 2-year $12.0 million per year deal works better. I'm not sure when Lewis would be up in 2021 (if at all) and then 2022 would give you a chance to see Lewis as your "Super Utility" guy. I'm a HUGE Nellie Cruz guy. But I think while Nellie WANTS $16 million, he's not going to get that from anybody even if the N.L. adopts the DH (and it's sounding like the owners are holding that back until 2022 for leverage). I see the upside of Paxton as higher than Odorizzi but Odo is much more of a sure thing durability wise. I'd go 2 years for both with Odo getting 2 yrs $2
    2 points
  13. Pretty much agree 100% with you, Tom. Not surprising as I've pretty much been saying the same things for two months. Tanaka probably has only 1-5 teams he would sign with and the Yankees a clear #1 choice. Healthy and coming off solid years, I'm interested in both Richardson and Walker. Each offers up a bit of healthy "upside", especially Walker. I think it's about 50/50-60/40 the Twins sign a FA or trade for a SP. But it has to be Paxton or Odorizzi if they go the FA route. They have the $ to afford either and both are clearly the best options available. Good news is each of them are re
    2 points
  14. This front office has had a ton of success with building bullpens without making big investments. I think this approach makes sense, but they will need to extend themselves in other areas to have a good offseason. I'd much rather they make a big investment on a starting pitcher or everyday player than a reliever.
    2 points
  15. Wow, great article and series of comments. You guys rock!
    1 point
  16. Tanaka made it clear he wants to play in a big market on either coast. Minnesota doesn't fit the bill.
    1 point
  17. I agree Mikelink45 it's time for the Twins to eclipse the Hansel Robles signing. I too am tired of all these "great fits" with nothing happening. To the idea that we should shy away from Simmons because it might hurt the "feelings" of Polanco or Arraez TOUGH CRAP ! The Twins are in the business of winning baseball games, and hopefully their first playoff game victory in 18 years, NOT holding the hands of players who might be "triggered" by someone taking their place in the lineup or on the field. As a matter of fact, trading Polanco to the Reds in a package for Gray and Castellanos might jus
    1 point
  18. If my memory is correct, they got Berrios with the comp pick they got for Cuddy. If so, that was a pretty good result.
    1 point
  19. If Yates willing to come to Twins and will sign for 5M, I am all for it. Plus Cruz, Simmons, and Walker. Cruz on one yr. contract, Simmons fine with 2 yr. will have other offers at 2 yrs., Walker, thought Twins missed on him last year, signing Bailey to 7M contract and only offering Walker a minor league deal. 2-3 yr. deal for Walker.
    1 point
  20. I actually think it's the opposite. I think the Cruz decision probably hinges on what they do with the middle infield help. If they make a move that allows Donaldson and/or Sano to DH regularly, then they may move on from Cruz.
    1 point
  21. Torii Hunter was productive all 5 years with the Angels, ranging from 2 to 4.7 fWAR. As well as 2 more productive seasons in Detroit before his farewell tour with us in 2015.
    1 point
  22. Unless it's Bauer, I don't want to give any of these free agent pitchers more than a two year deal. I'd rather the Twins take the same approach to the starters as last year. Trade for someone who's a lock to be one of the top three rotation pieces if possible, then sign two or three of the bounce back/lotto ticket guys to fill out the last spot or two. Maybe try some of Paxton, Foltynewicz, Hamels, Godley, Lester, Hill, Samardzija or Leake. They're not exciting, but I don't know that if you tried out a few of them you'd find them to have dissimilar results to Odorizzi. We already know if Odo
    1 point
  23. That, or something similar, would be my choice of offseason moves as well. Simmons is my #1 position player signing, and adding 2 starters and 2 bullpen guys would be my move. I'd love to see Cruz back, but his risk of regression mixed with his reported contract desires makes it hard to build out the team around him, unfortunately.
    1 point
  24. Very well-written article, Nick!! Mostly agree with you but have a few questions: First, you rank Odo #2 on your list of gets but summarize by saying "Now that May has signed elsewhere, Clippard and Cruz are the only Twins free agents that I'm particularly keen on bringing back." Huh?? Agree totally that Odo should be resigned(and yes, Paxton is #2 most desirable FA target), assuming the Twins are unable to trade. Twins cannot afford to take high risks here if they want to compete with the big boys. They need a solid top 4!! Second, while you didn't place Cruz as a top priority to r
    1 point
  25. Also Odo? You had him higher in your ranking than those two. The need to include the descriptor "healthy" in front of Odorizzi's name is why I've been lukewarm on giving him the contract he wants. I like him, a lot, and I think in particular he's a bulldog when on the mound. But the inability to get more than 5+ innings out of his 100-pitch allotment tempers my enthusiasm, and I just have this sense that he's always going to be juggling one nagging ailment or another for the rest of his career. I don't share your fascination with Profar. The risk with bringing in Simmons for SS is clubho
    1 point
  26. Rod Carew was pretty good. Calvin Griffith either traded or let walk all his good players instead of paying them back in the day. Larry Hisle and Lyman Bostock also got cut loose for financial reasons.
    1 point
  27. Okay ... let's not go down the broader road here discussing whether or not those vaccinated can still infect an unvaccinated person. There isn't enough data yet to support that one way or another and going with our individual speculations on that isn't a productive discussion. But ... I get the missing baseball part ... I have been to ST every year since 2001, and a handful of others before then since they started training in Fort Myers. I was lucky to be down there last February, you know, before, and got to see some practice and one game. And I would hate to miss this year. However, if the p
    1 point
  28. I totally agree JLease. K's are great, but if he comes in and gives up hits in key situations, that does the Twins no good. I believe Stashak will be given opportunities in higher leverage situations early in the season and how he performs during those opportunities will determine how many more he gets.
    1 point
  29. Yeah, it's hard to believe that even with vaccinations, there won't be some sort of limits on attendance for the first month or two. Adding, from rotoworld.com: According to Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times, the Rays are planning to open the 2021 season with a limited number of fans attending games at Tropicana Field. The defending American League champions could be one of the few teams allowing fans in attendance when they host the division-rival Yankees for their 2021 regular season home opener on April 9. Per Topkin, seating will be limited to around 7,000 per game, with fans requir
    1 point
  30. I'm just going to try and address about everything here because there's a lot of good meat on the bone to chew on. But first, a tip of the cap to Matt for so much hard work and a very interesting and detailed OP! 1] EVERYONE wants that ONE GUY to finish a game or get the crucial outs in a big bullpen moment. But for DECADES the bullpen was just a group of guys to come in and finish things off and HOPEFULLY secure a win. Sometime in the 80's, roughly, the SAVE became a countable and important stat. In those days, 20-30 saves was excellent. A few guys even saved more than 30. Around the 90's
    1 point
  31. I think if we'd signed Hendriks and/or Hand the article would have been written. It would have been along the lines of "He's good and makes the bullpen better, but is it the best use of our resources?" Which I think is fair. Would I have wanted Hendriks? Sure, in a vacuum. In a world where the Twins have no financial constraints. Do I want him at what the ChiSox paid him? I don't think so. He's getting a premium as a "proven closer" and it's just so rare that those guys add enough extra value consistently over relievers that can be found/made at much lower prices that it's usually not worth
    1 point
  32. I was interested in Kluber...but $11M is pretty high for a guy who might be completely washed. This is the advantage to being a team like the Yankees or the Dodgers: you can toss an extra $3-5M on a contract and not care about it. On a 1 year deal they can basically out-bid anyone and it doesn't really matter. I wonder what it will take to bring back Odorizzi on his version of the 1 year "prove it" deal? I don't think he's getting the kind of multi-year deal he wants and a 1 year deal to show he's healthy and rebuild his value with an organization he likes and has had respect with makes sens
    1 point
  33. A few things to throw my 2 cents at: 1) Marte is so, so good. Just don't see us giving up the prospects necessary to land him. 2) Chris Taylor is a good ball player. I have seen a lot of Dodgers games-both on TV and in person. He makes some great plays wherever he plays in the field, then makes some horrible ones that leave you wondering how he can play defense at the MLB level. Solid bat and he is a body to put at multiple positions. Too inconsistent for my liking. Kike is a nice player-but I would only spend money on him if the price is right. 3) Starting Pitching: has to be #1 priori
    1 point
  34. Hey Doc! Glad to see the question of what is Twins greatest need now. Just can't agree that a utility infielder/OF leads the list. Let's consider other top needs: 1. The bullpen has lost some key arms. Rogers had a very shaky season. Was this a one-off or beginning of a decline? A FO serious about breaking the playoff jinx needs a shutdown bullpen, starting with a closer. Duffy was great, Rogers so-so, and maybe Robles will fill a key role. Wouldn't Rosenthal, Hand, Roberto Osuna, or Yates be a significant upgrade? 2. Second place should go to the rotation. Yes, Maeda, Berrios and
    1 point
  35. Where are some of the Twins prospects in development, Celestino is on the 40 man roster. Is he an option at CF if Buxton gets hurt. I am ready to move on from Cave/Wade. Lets see Kirilloff, Rooker, Larnach, and Celestino. SS is further behind in development, Lewis may be a year away. I like Simmons at SS, then go within organization for other players. Pitching, sign midlevel FA to compete for 4th spot, and maybe a veteran FA like Chacin from last year for depth. Also feel need to sign FA relief pitcher that could help in high leverage situations and maybe a cheap veteran FA for depth. I feel T
    1 point
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