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  1. JDubs

    JDubs

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    mikelink45

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Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/11/2021 in all areas

  1. Good write up, but I feel like signing Cruz is a no-brainer. The one position the Twins appear to be fully set at for years to come is DH, so there's no need to sign an expensive long term player there when worst case scenario the spot can serve as a mostly off day for a rotation of sluggers.
    8 points
  2. My choices - RookerLarnachWhoever we are restingSpend the money on a pitcher.
    4 points
  3. Where is the option for the case against both? Rather than spending ten plus million on Cruz or much, much more for the other guy, how about spending $600K on one of the young kids in the system? That would also open up a spot to rotate several of their big bats in the regular lineup thru the DH spot. Seeing that the Twins have pulled their offer to Cruz off the table, got a feeling looking internally is high on their list.
    4 points
  4. Rotating internal options is a better option because it gives a chance to rest established players like Sano and Donaldson. It creates more opportunity for younger players who are ready to be called. I don’t want Rooker and Larnach to sit on the bench. It is also more cost effective. I loved the Nelson Cruz years but last year should be the last.
    3 points
  5. Safely Cruz for me. Ozuna is a good hitter but very likely will never match his 2020 output. Moving forward I expect him to be a ~.280 hitter, ~.330 OBP with 30-35 HR a year. That's only a modest improvement over Eddie Rosario. Ozuna is very poor defensively as well, and it just doesn't make sense to me positionally to commit 4+ years to Ozuna. We'd have to juggle guys around basically each year to make space for Kirilloff/Rooker, enable a potential Sano switch to DH or Donaldson switch to 1B/DH, etc I wouldn't say no to Ozuna, but I don't think he's a very good fit here at all to be honest
    3 points
  6. It's really hard to compare anyone to Cruz in this context. Cruz was very good until he turned 35 when he became phenomenal. I doubt there has ever been a player that improved their career stats between the age 35-40. Trying to compare Rooker is hard to do. Does anyone remember the scene in Money Ball when Billy Beane explains to the staff they can't think in terms of replacing Giambi with one player. I think that applies here. It's not if we can replace him. Can we build a better team by investing elsewhere?
    2 points
  7. Mlb.tv and a vpn. If you have a somewhat tech savvy (or experienced in google fu) friend that lives outside the region they can set up openvpn on their router and give you the client files. You can also just buy vpn service and choose a server outside the region and then mlb.tv won't block you.
    2 points
  8. In his age 24 season (2019), Rooker OPS'd .933 at AAA. In his age 24 season (2004), Cruz OPS'd .989 in A+, and .919 at AA. Based on this, Rooker would appear to be more advanced than Cruz at a similar point in their careers--why would we be so quick to assume Rooker can't possibly come close to Cruz' production? This is not to say I think he well--I am reasonably certain Nelson Cruz will put up better numbers in 2021 than Rooker. Will those numbers be far enough better to offset the extra millions Cruz will earn, and the decreased flexibility the Twins will have to endure?
    2 points
  9. The CLE OL had NO Chance against Pittsburg, except for superior coaching. They threw quick passes....something MN won't do. Most every offensive problem on this team is coaching related, not talent (the OL is mediocre, and is a problem, but they could makes philosophical changes). It's all on Zimmer (and to some degree Spielman).
    2 points
  10. I think the biggest problem/concern I have with the offense had more to do with its philosophy more than anything else. With Cousins, Jefferson, Theilen, Cook, Smith and Rudolph, this should have been a pedal to the medal attacking offense that builds an early lead and then has the ability to pound the game away. Instead, and I think this is Zimmer's fault, it seems that we want to be an early ball control team that keeps our defense off the field and create long 10+ play scoring drives. The TB game was probably the worst example of this where our offense dominated a good defense but had only a few points at the half because of missed field goals despite a huge advantage in stats and time of possession.
    2 points
  11. I've said it elsewhere on this site, but I think it's never a good idea to sign a DH to a long-term contract. A short-term deal locks down an effective bat for the roster but offers long-term flexibility with how you use the full 25+ roster over a few years. There are always exceptions of course, but a David Ortiz only comes around so often (fortunately).
    2 points
  12. Cruz. I don't like the idea of signing long term DH only contracts unless you're getting Edgar Martinez or David Ortiz. And I don't think Ozuna is either of those guys. And while he can technically play the OF, so can I. You can put me out there, but I wouldn't be helping the team. Ozuna is a DH only moving forward and I just don't think he can replicate his 2020 stats for full years moving forward. Cruz is likely not a 162 game DH this year even. I think his end of the year slump was caused largely by his ailing knee, but as you get into your 40s you don't become less likely to have joint pain. I think he still has a good year in him and some classic Boom Stick stretches where he can carry the offense, but don't think I'd pencil him in for all 162. But he's still useful to have in the lineup and in the clubhouse on a 1 year deal. Part of his usefulness is that counting on the young guys to come up and replicate anywhere close to his numbers, or even provide above league average DH numbers, is not a smart plan going into a year you're looking to contend. Rooker has never put up Cruz like numbers in the minors so why would we think he'd suddenly do it in the majors? He looked really good for a week in the majors, but that literally means nothing. The league is going to have scouting reports on him now and he's going to have to adjust from the jump this year. It's time for the young guys to start getting their chances, but don't do it without a safety net. Cruz provides a nice 1 year (throw in an option year again if he really wants it) safety net for the kids. He can get the majority of the DH ABs as long as he's proving to be useful while also helping mentor the young kids. Cruz and Donaldson are both professional hitters who have shown they're more than willing to work with the young guys and disseminate the wisdom that have helped them both produce at very high levels. Put Cruz in the DH spot for 2021, but give him some regular rest while cycling other guys through to keep him as healthy as he can at 41 years old and getting everyone who needs/disserves them regular ABs. Cruz is the perfect veteran safety net as the team works to contend while continuing to look to be competitive for the years to come.
    2 points
  13. Ha ha! True but I got the tv free as it was rejected by the avid indoorsmen who inhabit my basement (they got new TV's). It's not really the money is is the whole business model where customer loyalty is rewarded with jacking up the rates. It creates animus,I mean who likes their cable or satellite company? And $175 is just plain wrong especially considering all the commercials you are expected to sit through.
    2 points
  14. wRC+ takes ball park into account. Story playing half his games in Coor's field is considered has a significant impact on wRC+
    2 points
  15. Since I now live far from Minnesota, I am signed up for the MLB broadcasts and I don't miss a game.
    2 points
  16. Zimmer does like to collect big names for his staff, but I agree that they don't seem to have the same philosophies. Only way I see it happening is if Spielman tells Zimmer he's not calling the shots on offense. I could also see Pederson getting one of the available HC jobs though too. Personally, he seems like a bit of a dope to me and I think that Super Bowl season was likely largely due to his coordinators, Reich and Swartz, but plenty of others seem to think highly of him.
    1 point
  17. How do we trade for a free agent?
    1 point
  18. Keep Cruz until he burns out. Make him a member of the coaching staff when he begins to rust. He is still a stud.
    1 point
  19. I seriously only need live TV for Twins games. That's it. Everything else I can find elsewhere or don't really care enough about to pay for at all. So not only is the cable package more expensive than a streaming service, I wouldn't be using it at all for a big chunk of the year. If a traditional cable provider would allow customers to go month-to-month, I'd go for that. In addition to simply not needing a cable package for much of the year, I'd be concerned Sinclair would pull FSN off the provider I have within the term of my contract. I believe that happened to Dish customers. Sounds like you're finding other value from your cable package, just trying to explain where I'm coming from.
    1 point
  20. Mlb package and a VPN gets it done for me. The radio isn't a bad way to follow a game when on the boat though.
    1 point
  21. Cruz and the Twins are waiting to see about the DL in the NL.... if it does go... Cruz will have many suitors and likely will not be back... if it is a no go we can go with a 2 year deal with a mutual option on year two.... at a reasonable price. We have other in house options if he does not return as well as a ton of FA that will be looking for jobs. More importantly we need to secure a SS and let Polanco be our super utility guy. Best for him and best for the team. Also have to work on one more starter and 3-4 more relief pitchers. We are in a VERY good spot so we should all relax and let our FO continue to do a great job. Patience at this point is in the Twins favor....
    1 point
  22. I truly enjoy the listening to games on WCCO. Like you Tom, I invested in the simplest, yet effective hand held radio last year. WCCO here at home and 103.5 or 94.3 while up at the lake (depending on weather). Nothing like sitting on the lake in the evening casting or jigging as Gladden and Provus talk you through the game, or sitting in the screened in porch during a thunderstorm. I truly miss Gordon's voice. Aside from that, how crazy would it be for the Twins and Wolves to go in on a TV station together? All kidding aside. This might be Dunning-Kruger Syndrome at it's finest, but the money to be made off of this, control of the airwaves, deciding what gets played, etc. would all be so beneficial to the fans. Or is this a headache s-storm the owners wouldn't want to embark on? I'm just so sick of Sinclair. They place the blame on YouTube and Hulu, but YouTube and Hulu do the same right back. Just dumb, because this is all due to rich people wanting to get richer.
    1 point
  23. Maybe you should have put a smaller TV in the garage and kept DirecTV?
    1 point
  24. Yeah. The Cave lock is where he lost me. He's willing to set a very high bar for "lock" by leaving off Polanco and Arraez because of trades (certainly possible, but not likely). OK Fine. I disagree, but whatever. However then he still has Cave in there as a lock, ignoring the very real possibility that the Twins sign a 4th OF that's a better fit for this roster (Right-handed, plays good CF), which would likely mean Cave isn't on the roster.
    1 point
  25. *Throws holy water at Cody Pirkl*. THE POWER OF CHRIST COMPELS YOU!!
    1 point
  26. Do you expect trades or do you think the Twins will roll with what they have?
    1 point
  27. Cruz at $16 M is probably a tipping point of not signing him. If the universal DH doesn't come thru, which as time passes less likely it will happen IMO. We can sign him for considerably less, which should be our plan A. If we sign for less, we should be able to trade for an under paid SS or SS/CF utility (a FA might be then out of our budget) plus a pitcher Cruz's stats has been great these 2 yrs. 2020 when most hitters slumped w/o the juiced ball, Cruz still put out respectable #s. Beyond the stats Cruz is the heart & soul of the team. Odds are that Cruz can`t maintain his great stats but his heart & soul will still be there. I can see where you are coming from, Cody & I believe it'd be a great plan B
    1 point
  28. Rosterman

    Twins DH

    When Donaldson is at DH, who plays third? That's a BIG potential dropoff.
    1 point
  29. Offer him 2 yr for 22 million, and settle with 3 years for 30 million and I bet he'll take it in this market.
    1 point
  30. I think Cleveland is being smart. They know they would have a hard time contending this year so why lose a ton of money trying with the possibility of few / no fans. They will have a clean slate to start building again with low payroll and plenty of young players.
    1 point
  31. The real question is who do we drop from our roster to make room for 40 pens? The stapler?
    1 point
  32. In 1988, I visited DodgerTown in Vero Beach, FL for a Spring training game between the Dodgers and Oriole's Standing along the RF line, took this picture. A few seconds later, LaSorda turned to me, extended his hand and said "Hi..I'm Tommy LaSorda". I was flabbergasted. Never forgot. One of a kind in baseball...what a guy! Thanks Tommy...Rest in Peace.
    1 point
  33. I know this is absurd, but why not be absurd.... Castillo AND Gray
    1 point
  34. Odorizzi's 2nd half wasn't as bad as you might think. Take out the 4 IP, 9 ER clunker against the Yankees and he was 5-2 with a 2.98 ERA. He was actually very good in Aug/Sep, posting a 3.04 ERA with 65 K's in 50.1 innings. That being said, I don't know if he worth $13+ MM a season at this stage of his career.
    1 point
  35. Hard to complain as a Twins fan when a rival team in the division decides to give up. We're re-living the 2004-2010 AL Central, where only the White Sox, Twins and Tigers seem to be the only teams that care about winning.
    1 point
  36. I see your point but will also have to disagree. There are a couple major points the NBA AND the NFL have over baseball. (Though popularity and viewership has been declining somewhat recently). Revenue sharing in these sports, particularly the NFL, are much more balanced than they are in MLB. That creates a more solid floor and ceiling for each franchise. And it becomes even more important for each franchise to draft and sign smartly and just run said franchise better. I refuse to take sides in MLB labor situations because I think both sides need to "smarten up" to understand the future health of the sport. If profit sharing was more equal in MLB, a salary cap actual works, because you then also have a concrete floor that all teams have to maintain. Today, forgetting covid adjustments, just think of a $200M payroll cap but a $75M floor. There might be fewer 5-7yr deals for $25-35M per, but like the NBA...who's roster size is closer to MLB...minimum contracts would be closer to $1M plus. Shorter FA regulations, which I would endorse with a new system, means players reaching FA status earlier. They might not get the HUGE contracts we talk about, but they would also gain at least as much $ in the long term by signing smaller contracts in their 20's vs the current arbitration years, etc. Both sides need to be smart enough to realize change takes place. I DO place some onus on the MLB union. What's more important? A small collection of players making BIG $, or EVERYONE seeing a rise in their potential $ earnings? I personally feel the union is absolutely focused on a power play for top earners vs a more balanced system and earnings for everyone.
    1 point
  37. Those aren’t unreasonable expectations for a new contract. I’m ambivalent about Odorizzi. We’ve probably seen the peak of his MLB performance, and it’s good. 95 accurate pitches and getting a couple of outs into the 6th inning. Maybe completing 7 innings if his pitch count is down. I shouldn’t downplay that because it wasn’t long ago we were clamoring for anyone who could throw 4 good innings in a row. But... I also can’t help thinking about being more risky with the money and shoot for more upside. Like Corey Kluber, or making a trade for a pitcher like Sonny Gray.
    1 point
  38. Plains men? Traded for a reason. He was solid in 2018 for a disappointing team. He was largely excellent in 2019 and made the All Star game. He slumped a bit and finished strong. He is coming off a ridiculous 2020 from back spasms early and a wicked chest contusion and and a crazy bloody blister. He suffered no arm or elbow issues. How is he not a quality 3rd starter brought back for 2021 or beyond?
    1 point
  39. Our FO tends to play very close to the vest. They were heralded a couple years ago for some very smart late signings that didn't turn out. But they seemed smart at the time. They traded virtually nothing for Odorizzi and that turned out pretty darn good. The Maeda trade was not on the radar and it looks pretty darn good despite giving up a good young BP arm. There is a method to their madness that usually makes sense. But I am surprised there has been no rumors about Oddo. They traded for him for a reason. He turned in a great 2019. While he was a darkly humorous 2020 injury factor, he had ZERO lingering injury concerns. He's actually the perfect guy to bring back. The devil you know. Dance with the date you brought. Either both sides are posturing here...OR...the FO is truly looking at Walker, Richardson and Kluber and deciding where the best value and upside is. My guess? Oddo for a 1yr deal around $12-13M, or a 3yr $39M because they really do like him and want him back. Mutual benefit. OR, they give Kluber some sort of $10M deal with a $12-ish option for a 2nd year deal with a buyout. Just makes too much sense at this point, IMO.
    1 point
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