Posted 12 January 2014 - 11:48 PM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 12:01 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 07:21 AM
If the Twins want to give him a legit shot at it, I'd be fine with the move. What I wouldn't want (which is what will happen) is him to start in the pen and then jump back and forth a few times and not have success so they scrap the idea. If they want to try him at starter, let him start. Shoot, let him switch roles with Gibson to start the year. Wouldn't be the worth thing to let Gibson come out of the pen a little bit and build confidence to start the year. If Swarzak fails you could then switch them back. Not much harm done in that scenario.
Posted 13 January 2014 - 07:30 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 07:36 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 08:03 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:20 AM
That the Twins are considering him to start shows how little faith they have in their returning starters
Of the three returning starters in the rotation, two are veterans being paid to start. The other is a young pitcher whose had major league success.
Frankly, I'm with Nick. The guy, at best, is 7th in the pecking order, I'd rather they start to work him in more towards late-inning situations and see if they can't generate some long-term value in him that way.
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:22 AM
Maybe the Twins aren't entirely sure they could trade Worley/Diamond/Deduno but still don't want to lose them to waivers. Swarzak almost surely has some trade value and it would only be higher if league-wide perception is that he is a swingman.
Of the bullpen arms, Swarzak and Duensing seem the most likely to get traded. Both are in arbitration and the Twins have said they have no intention of working out multi-year deals with either. Seems odd they have no intention of working out multi-year deals with two pitchers they reportedly like as a number five pitcher. Unless this lip services is simply trying to make them more attractive to other teams.
Edited by nicksaviking, 13 January 2014 - 09:27 AM.
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:29 AM
I also wonder how much trade value Swarzak has. Maybe not much, but I'd think more than Worley.
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:32 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:36 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:40 AM
Diamond and Duensing compete for a lefty role.
Unless Diamond undergoes a splits transformation, there isn't much competition there. Diamond doesn't do well getting lefties out.
I don't see, if the pitching we signed actually helps out, why we'll have more than one long reliever. Hence why I think sliding him closer to a 6th/7th role might be beneficial for everyone.
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:41 AM
I'm just assuming the guys that finish 6 and 7 for the starting jobs are the long-relievers. This group includes Duensing and Swarzak. Diamond and Duensing compete for a lefty role. Worley, Deduno, Diamond, Gibson and Swarzak compete for the #5 job/long-relief role.
You don't want your lefty who was your best relief pitcher in high leverage situations in 2013, be your long man, you want him to be the set up lefty. I just don't get all the non-appreciation that Duensing gets sometimes (and I am not talking about Jeremy here, just a general comment)
I think that based a. on their performance in 2013 and b. on their contact situation in 2014, both Duensing and Swarzak earned the right to compete for that last spot. And, as horrible as some people think that Duensing has been as a starter, he has pitched better than Diamond.
Career as a starter:
Duensing: 23-24, 4.18 FIP, 4.11 xFIP, 1.428 WHIP (.320 BABIP), 5.9 K/9, 2.38 K/BB
Diamond: 19-27, 4.46 FIP, 4.33 xFIP, 1.405 WHIP (.304 BABIP), 4.2 K/9, 1.92 K/BB
So, in other words, if you want a lefty in the rotation, the one who has succeeded the most in the majors as a starter within the current group is Duensing.
Blogging Twins since 2007 at The Tenth Inning Stretch
Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:49 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 10:23 AM
Having all 8 prepared to start means that from May to August you have depth to cover the inevitable injuries and doubleheaders without dipping into the minors (unless Meyer is ready--and that is doubtful because he lost too much time in 2013). To me this is telling Albers and Gibson to pick it up or your chances to be in the show are over.
Posted 13 January 2014 - 10:40 AM
I agree with most things that have been said. One point hasn't. Depth. Twins have 8 starters. In no particular order--Hughes, Nolasco, Pelfrey, Correia, Deduno (if healthy), Diamond, Duensing, and Swarzek.
What about Worley (not that I'm excited about him)?
Posted 13 January 2014 - 10:54 AM
To me this is telling Albers and Gibson to pick it up or your chances to be in the show are over.
No. And comparing a former top prospect and first round pick who has not yet reached his peak to a career independent league guy, does not make much sense. Gibson (and Worley, for many of the same reasons) will be given many opportunities; Albers not that much.
Blogging Twins since 2007 at The Tenth Inning Stretch
Posted 13 January 2014 - 11:42 AM
Posted 13 January 2014 - 12:20 PM
Now before going all figgy pudding, note the difference between "just barely possible" and "likely," please.
Posted 13 January 2014 - 12:50 PM
Just say no to Duensing. That ship has sailed. I'd love to see Swarzak get a shot. If he can beat out Deduno, I'd be fine with them switching roles.
Deduno doesn't throw enough early strikes to be a good reliever. He's either a starter here, or a starter somewhere else.