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Article: The Advantageous Oswaldo Arcia

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#1 Parker Hageman

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 10:30 AM

You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.co...s-Oswaldo-Arcia

"You spend a good piece of your life gripping a baseball and in the end it turns out that it was the other way around all the time." -- Jim Bouton, "Ball Four"


#2 freshinthehouse

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 11:42 AM

" In the bigs, he reverted back to his previous ways and swung harder and more frequently than your parents at the neighbor’s key party in the late 1980’s."

Fantastic.

#3 ashburyjohn

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 12:36 PM

" in the bigs, he reverted back to his previous ways and swung harder and more frequently than your parents at the neighbor’s key party in the late 1980’s."

Ewww.


ftfy. :)

#4 Guest_USAFChief_*

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 01:16 PM

" In the bigs, he reverted back to his previous ways and swung harder and more frequently than your parents at the neighbor’s key party in the late 1980’s."

.

ah....memories...

#5 clank2000

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 01:16 PM

"Arcia thrived in hitter’s counts when he could anticipate the heater."

Sounds like a certain slugger who roamed rightfield for the Twins during most of the '80's. I just hope that's not what he's teaching our youngsters - to be "mistake hitters".

#6 clank2000

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 01:19 PM

" In the bigs, he reverted back to his previous ways and swung harder and more frequently than your parents at the neighbor’s key party in the late 1980’s."

Fantastic.


I thought key parties were a '70's phenomenon.

#7 mike wants wins

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 01:25 PM

I would love more mistake hitters......that's how bonds did it, when a pitcher made a mistake, he crushed it. Too many Twins can't do that right now.

What I just typed is probably an opinion, not a fact. I mean, I'm usually right, so you should maybe assume it is or will be a fact soon, but that's up to you. :) Also, I am NOT trying to convince anyone I am correct, I'm just talking here, not arguing.


#8 jay

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 02:20 PM

From the numbers we were looking at the other day, it'd be easy to say Dozier does the same thing. As I look at it more now, their numbers are both a bit more to the extremes (Arcia especially), but not really bizarre or anything. Parker, where'd you get the .510 for Arcia when ahead?

Splits via BRef, MLB:
Ahead - .297/.463/.494 (.957)
Behind - .202/.210.294 (.504)

Dozier:
Ahead - .312/.460/.618 (1.078)
Behind - .183/.197/.254 (.451)

Arcia:
Ahead - .365/.492/.719 (1.210)
Behind - .143/.149/.171 (.320)

#9 Parker Hageman

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 02:29 PM

Parker, where'd you get the .510 for Arcia when ahead?


ESPN/trumedia.

The difference is that B-R counts 3-2 counts as "batter ahead" -- which is 63 additional plate appearances in which he hit .186 thereby lowing his B-R splits total to .365. At ESPN/trumedia the 3-2 count is considered "even" which, for all intents and purposes, is an even count.

Dozier had a very similar problem of not being able to hit secondary stuff well.

#10 Parker Hageman

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 02:36 PM

The difference is that Dozier made contact (17.8% swinging strike rate when in pitcher's counts) and Arcia did not (34.8%).

#11 jay

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 03:42 PM

The difference is that B-R counts 3-2 counts as "batter ahead" -- which is 63 additional plate appearances in which he hit .186 thereby lowing his B-R splits total to .365. At ESPN/trumedia the 3-2 count is considered "even" which, for all intents and purposes, is an even count.


Correct you are, as usual, good sir. Thanks!

#12 SouthDakotaFarmer

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 05:26 PM

It may be the fact that he is a corner outfielder and has the same body type and facial features, but he reminds me of Bobby Abreu. I hope he ends up being a walk machine and hitting 25+ dingers a year like Abreu did. I have no idea how his "metrics" or whatever you number nerds call it match up to Abreu's but I like the way this kid approaches his at-bats.

#13 Jim H

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 05:32 PM

I am very excited for what Arcia can become. I think that with all the talk about the phenoms Buxton and Sano we the fans, sort of overlook Arcia. He is still quite young, was promoted quite quickly through the upper minors and clearly has things to work on. But, it would be nice to see him intrench himself in right field(I think if they put him there and leave him there he will be OK). The power is clearly for real and the swing is good enough to eventually allow him to hit for a good average as well. If the discipline and pitch recognition come along(as Parker says) he will be a lot of fun to watch.

#14 kab21

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 06:22 PM

I'm excited about Arcia but wary as well. There were hints (scouting reports and stats) of being overaggressive with problems hitting breaking balls in the minors and his first MLB season increased those concerns. Has still has nice (offensive) upside though.

#15 oldguy10

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 06:34 PM

I think any Twins' fans would take Abreu like numbers from Arcia. And I'd sure like to see some of the attitude Gardy displays toward him be a thing of the past, none of the young players need that, at least I sure do not think so. Encouragement not disparagement toward the younger players is what is needed from management at all levels.

#16 Madre Dos

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 07:55 PM

I messaged Oswaldo on July 4th and I told him that I didn't think that there were to many 22 year olds that can say that they have a hit off of Pettitte, Hughes and Sabathia. He was happy that his "Elizabethton Mom" was keeping track of his progress. Oswaldo will be fine. Remember, he won't be 23 until May.

#17 DocBauer

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 08:14 PM

At this point I don't know that he has much of anything to prove in the minors. (Yes he has things to work on!) I expect streaks as well as peaks and valleys. He's little more than an almost 23yo rookie. At this point, on a rebuilding club, getting younger all the time, I believe you run with him most days, sit him on occasion to collect himself once in a while.

I have a lot of faith in the Twins coaching staff as a whole. With the addition of Molitor, we now have four different coaches that have had various degrees of success as hitting instructors both in the minors and majors. Each has received positive reviews at different times collectively, and with/from individual players. And the staff seems to work well together as a whole, no egos getting in the way. I think this offers a lot of potentially good coaching not only for Arcia, but also the other young hitters on the way up.

#18 Thrylos

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 09:06 PM

Advantageous and adventurous as well...
This is from tonight:

-----
Blogging Twins since 2007 at The Tenth Inning Stretch
http://tenthinningst...h.blogspot.com/
twitter: @thrylos98

#19 jokin

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Posted 10 January 2014 - 11:13 PM

Advantageous and adventurous as well...
This is from tonight:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ak3rh0j3b0I


That was plain ugly and Delmon-esque, from all 6 angles....la pelota y el matodor whiffo ole'! I think there were more cameraman than fans watching that game.

Do you at least have an encouraging box score to share, Thrylos?:s-ctf:

Edited by jokin, 10 January 2014 - 11:19 PM.


#20 twinsnorth49

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Posted 11 January 2014 - 07:50 AM

Advantageous and adventurous as well...
This is from tonight:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ak3rh0j3b0I


Was he ahead in the count there or behind? I couldn't tell.