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Article: The Case For Brett Anderson

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#1 Nick Nelson

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 09:57 AM

You can view the page at http://www.twinsdail...-Brett-Anderson

#2 Winston Smith

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 10:23 AM

Any guess as to what it would cost in prospects?

#3 mike wants wins

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 10:46 AM

I don't know that anyone is saying he's not worth a risk, the question is, what risk/cost?

#4 beckmt

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 10:54 AM

Would depend on the price, and I would want a timeframe for an extension to be signed. Giving away much for 2 years is not worth it, especially when you don't rate to contend this upcoming year.

#5 Monkeypaws

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 10:56 AM

Billy Beane is no dummy, and prying him away from Oakland wouldn't be cheap, regardless of health issues.

It is a classic high risk/high reward proposition.

#6 ericchri

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:08 AM

Lottery tickets are cheap for a reason. Oakland can have someone from our bullpen not named Perkins and a middling prospect (not in our top 15 or so), but I wouldn't feel good about most anything else. His last injury doesn't look like the kind of thing that should have a lasting effect on his pitching, but even so he's barely pitched recently.

#7 Thrylos

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:18 AM

Prospects prospects prospects. You know at some point you got to trade them when high enough, otherwise they become what the Twins' minor league pitcher of the year award winners (other than Gibson) became.

I have no issue trading any tradeable (ie. Steward, Eades, Gonsalves are not) prospect not named Sano, Meyer or Buxton for Anderson. Funny enough, the Twins are having a jam of RHSP in their prospect ranks and it is certain that some of them will not pan out. May, Berrios, Felix Jorge, et al. You got Meyer, Gibson, Nolasco and Hughes ahead of them, so you got to trade them when they still have value...
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#8 richardkr34

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:21 AM

Lottery tickets are cheap for a reason. Oakland can have someone from our bullpen not named Perkins and a middling prospect (not in our top 15 or so), but I wouldn't feel good about most anything else. His last injury doesn't look like the kind of thing that should have a lasting effect on his pitching, but even so he's barely pitched recently.


After getting Gregerson I'm not sure how interested in bullpen help they'll be. Maybe something like Santana and Melotakis...

#9 diehardtwinsfan

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:24 AM

20M in committements have to be factored into this too. This really is selling low for Beane, which is something he doesn't do much. I have a hard time thinking his value will be worse next year than it is right now (which honestly is likely a major league reliever or a C+ level prospect). If he has another injury plagued season, the value wont' change. If he doesn't, it likely will. So here's what I would ask. Would you trade a prospect like Adam Walker, who strikes me as a boom or bust guy in the majors and is likely redundant in this system for a guy like Anderson with the hopes of locking him up long term if he rebounds? Something tells me Beane is floating this, but he's not going to take a Jarrod Burton or Casey Fein.

#10 Thrylos

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:30 AM

. So here's what I would ask. Would you trade a prospect like Adam Walker, who strikes me as a boom or bust guy in the majors and is likely redundant in this system for a guy like Anderson with the hopes of locking him up long term if he rebounds?.


In a heartbeat.

But not sure that this would be enough
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#11 AScheib50

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:39 AM

I haven't been as high on the Anderson talk as a lot around here, but the more I hear about it and the more I read I get more interested. I think I would do Adam Walker for Anderson...depending on who else is in that deal. But the idea of getting a possible ace lefty in his mid 20s is pretty enticing. I'm with Thrylos on trading some prospects while we have em. Can't keep them all, just have to make sure you trade the right pieces. But I think this would be a huge addition for the Twins.

#12 cmb0252

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:45 AM

I don't know that anyone is saying he's not worth a risk, the question is, what risk/cost?


Pretty much this. Anderson would be a great lottery ticket but you buy lottery tickets because they are cheap. Everything depends on the asking cost.

#13 Smcginnity

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 11:50 AM

I think anything aside from Sano, Buxton, Stewart or Meyer, the Twins need to strongly consider this trade. I have to imagine a trade of Berrios, Taylor Rogers, and Tonkin could get this done. But, who knows with Beane. I'm VERY hesistant to trade Lewis Thorpe or Gonsvalves but at the same time, they are very far away.

#14 Smcginnity

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 12:06 PM

You know Beane will ask for a young pitcher in ANY deal. That's how they always have a well oiled stable of pitchers. They traded Dan Haren for Brett Anderson (and 7 others - including Carlos Gonzalez). Gio Gonzalez was traded for Tommy Milone. Trevor Cahill was traded for Jarrod Parker. That's what I worry about...I'm worried they will try and poach our SPs from the Single-A level and that they know more than we know. I guess it shows the trust I have in the Twin's brass to evaluating pitching talent :)

#15 Thrylos

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 12:07 PM

I think anything aside from Sano, Buxton, Stewart or Meyer, the Twins need to strongly consider this trade. I have to imagine a trade of Berrios, Taylor Rogers, and Tonkin could get this done. But, who knows with Beane. I'm VERY hesistant to trade Lewis Thorpe or Gonsvalves but at the same time, they are very far away.


Cannot trade Gonsalves (or Stewart for that matter) until a year after they signed... Late summer
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#16 SouthDakotaFarmer

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 12:56 PM

Beane also loves cash. Check his history and he almost always gets his trading parter to send some cash considerations in the deal. Adam Walker, Tonkin, and cash could work. Who knows though. As Mcginnity said above, Beane loves to stockpile young SP. So, with that said I imagine my proposal wouldn't work without a Low-A SP in the deal. Crap, I typed all of that for nothing I guess.

#17 Seth Stohs

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 01:27 PM

I think that Brett Anderson is equivalent to what Ricky Nolasco is in terms of potential, but he does come with higher injury risk (at least in theory). He is I would be fine with him being part of the rotation, but this conversation is correct. It's completely about what the Twins have to give up.

It's not going to be a package of guys like Walker and Santana and relief pitchers. I mean, those guy may be included, but it will take a Rosario, Kepler, Berrios type as the starting point, and likely will take 3 more.

Billy Beane will ask for Sano, Buxton and Meyer... Terry Ryan will say no. And then the negotiations will begin.

#18 Trautmann13

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 01:46 PM

I would like almost any trade involving Rosario (as hard as that may be right now), and one or maybe 2 of our bullpen guys. The only guys I would not be happy about trading is swarzak and Perk. I feel like the two of them are key to that bullpen being what it is. But if Kepler, Meyer, May, Sano, or Buxton are involved...shut the door in Beanes face.

#19 Steve Lein

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 01:47 PM

Walker isn't going to land him as a frontrunner in a deal. It would have to start with a Rosario, Kepler, Berrios type, and then Walker as one of the other pieces.

#20 halfchest

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Posted 06 December 2013 - 01:56 PM

I think that Brett Anderson is equivalent to what Ricky Nolasco is in terms of potential, but he does come with higher injury risk (at least in theory). He is I would be fine with him being part of the rotation, but this conversation is correct. It's completely about what the Twins have to give up.

It's not going to be a package of guys like Walker and Santana and relief pitchers. I mean, those guy may be included, but it will take a Rosario, Kepler, Berrios type as the starting point, and likely will take 3 more.

Billy Beane will ask for Sano, Buxton and Meyer... Terry Ryan will say no. And then the negotiations will begin.


I don't see how any pitcher who's averaged just over 50 innings a year for 3 years can command that much in a trade. That and the fact his innings these last three years weren't that amazing. I'd love to get him but just don't see any team giving up multiple prospects for him. Now if they keep him and he has a hot first half and they trade him at the deadline then yes. But right now I just don't see any team giving up more than C level prospects for him. Maybe one B level and that's it, even that I just don't see any teams paying up that much for him with the injury history.