Posted 03 April 2012 - 01:14 PM
145 games: I'll go under, around 135, because I think the Twins will be cautious and give him off days even if he is entirely healthy, although if his production continues to hold up through the all-star break they may try to keep him in the lineup.
110 games at DH: I'll go under, around 75 because I think Parmelee will finally start to struggle a few months into the season once teams start scouting him more heavily and exposing his weaknesses, and Morneau will start getting significantly more starts there as the organization and Moirneau both gain confidence in his durability.
35 games at first: over, 60, for the same reason
.270/.340/.490: over, .285/.350/.505, this is pretty bullish, but if you look what he's done when healthy the last few years, a .270 BA and .490 slugging seem like the absolute minimum, so I'm going to be optimistic and say that he really does return to form this year.
(I'm assuming 550 PAs here)
21 HRs: over, 25, Target Field depresses his potential here a little bit, but he's still got the strength to hit it out to right field
30 doubles: over, 36
91 RBIs: over, 100