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Article: Could Oswaldo Arcia's Ascension Mean Josh Willingham's Exit?

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#1 Cody Christie

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Posted 18 April 2013 - 08:06 PM

You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.co...llingham-s-exit

#2 jorgenswest

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Posted 18 April 2013 - 08:22 PM

If the Twins decide Arcia is ready, they can reduce Doumit's playing time at DH when everyone is healthy.

Any trade of Willingham or Morneau should based on the quality of return the Twins can get from a team in need of a bat.

The trade should not be based on the Twins need to find him a spot for a 21 year old. When Arcia is ready to contribute, Doumit will be a valuable piece on the bench. A trade is not necessary.

#3 clutterheart

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Posted 18 April 2013 - 08:37 PM

W/O Willingham this team becomes really left handed.
I can't see the trading him unless they are blown away.

#4 Don't Feed the Greed Guy

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Posted 18 April 2013 - 08:51 PM

We can only hope. Willingham's exit means that he produces over the first half and makes himself even more marketable than ever. Arcia's ascension means that he produces at a level where the Front Office believes he's the 'real deal' for the long term. We end up with two for one--a productive rookie who's raking, and a top notch prospect in trade for the thirty-four-year-old Hammer. That's the best case scenario.

Edited by Don't Feed the Greed Guy, 18 April 2013 - 08:59 PM.


#5 Brandon

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Posted 18 April 2013 - 09:26 PM

The third wheel in the trade options is if Parmalee doesn't hit enough to stay up either. While he should, it should be noted that he may not hit enough also Willingham can get pushed to DH making Doumit a backup catcher/ back up OF/ pinch hitter/ back up 1B and Arcia starting in LF. There is no reason to rush to trade anyone as we don't have to trade anyone we can just have a stronger offense. There's also no reason to trade Morneau as we can make him a qualifying offer and get him on another 1 year deal or get another first round draft pick. I mean if we can get a top rated pitcher in a deal sure we make the trade but I don't think we will get the return needed to make a deal beneficial.

#6 mako83

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 12:05 AM

He is the cheapest 30-100 guy we could have and everybody says we should trade him. Same with Morneau qualifying offer for what he is making now get a first rounder if he doesn't take it. I still believe it also in the interest of ticket sales to.

#7 josecordoba

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 04:41 AM

Few Thoughts on Hammer

1. The issue though really shouldn't be his value in 2013. Extreme Best Case Scenario (And I Mean Extreme)- The Twins win 80 games. Trading Hammer maybe makes a difference of 5 games (A highly extreme scenario). Nothing really lost. I would think playing for 2014 even would be a bit of stretch (When Willingham's contact would expire). So the goal should be finding value for the next good Twins Team which might be 2015. If TR finds a Pitcher or Middle Infielder that looks attractive for these teams (They need to consider it)

2. The Liriano trade was criticized in some corners throughout the Twins Blogosphere. Yet the reality is Escobar looks to be the Twins Utility Guy for the Next Half-Decade where as Roberto Hernadez seems to be a 4 AAAA type pitcher. This is more value then going forward then Liriano would have offered.

#8 Jeff P

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 07:17 AM

There has been a lot of discussion about Hicks and team control, what about Arcia? In other words, if he does stay up without going back down to the minors, would he have spent enough time at Rochester this year so that the Twins get an extra year of team control?

#9 DK

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 07:38 AM

I am big Willingham fan and would like to see the Twins keep him. They need his right handed bat in the lineup. If the Twins wanted to put their best lineup on the field, they should go with this lineup: 2b Escobar, C Mauer, Lf Willingham, 1b Morneau, DH Parmalee/Doumit, Rf Arcia, 3b Plouffe, Cf Hicks, SS Florimon. If Florimon faulters then Escobar to SS and Dozier back in the lineup. The pitching staff is another question.

#10 mike wants wins

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 08:05 AM

If you get an offer of a guy that is a good prospect, you take it. They are not competing this year, and probably not next.

#11 Steve Penz

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 08:07 AM

[quote name='josecordoba']Few Thoughts on Hammer

1. The issue though really shouldn't be his value in 2013. Extreme Best Case Scenario (And I Mean Extreme)- The Twins win 80 games. Trading Hammer maybe makes a difference of 5 games (A highly extreme scenario). Nothing really lost. I would think playing for 2014 even would be a bit of stretch (When Willingham's contact would expire). So the goal should be finding value for the next good Twins Team which might be 2015. If TR finds a Pitcher or Middle Infielder that looks attractive for these teams (They need to consider it)

I like this and that there is a lot of focus on the value to be gained from Willingham and Mourneau. Arcia, Parmarlee and/or whoever would fill open spots provide no assurances but these are gambles the Twins need to make. Recently there is talk of how Span is performing vs the value of May/Worley. The twins gained a possibly serviceable player and possible front runner for a guy who might not be around when the team will next be relevant. If they are able to make these types of moves for Willingham and Mourneau I think it will be awesome and I will be comfortable with the risk that is does not work out vs resigning the older guys.

#12 mike wants wins

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 08:13 AM

While the upside for the future is good, what do they do about the present? Just give up? I think they are in a tough spot, a spot they created.

#13 kab21

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 08:19 AM

There has been a lot of discussion about Hicks and team control, what about Arcia? In other words, if he does stay up without going back down to the minors, would he have spent enough time at Rochester this year so that the Twins get an extra year of team control?


He needs another week or so of AAA time to delay FA another year.

Any Willingham trade should be based on the return that the Twins get back. I don't think you will get a productive rookie and a good prospect unless you take a low upside solid rookie (worley for example) and a flawed prospect (May). that's not bad but I would be looking for more of a Meyer type return (a risky potential front line starter). They at least need to get something decent since they can still trade him during the offseason or next trade deadline.

#14 cc80man

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 09:06 AM

If Pirates are indeed in the talk that is great, with Willinghams team friendly contract, you have to ask for one of their 3 good pitching prospects; Cole, Taillon or Holmes. Resign Morneau 3 year 24 Million and now all of a sudden your rotation potential next year is Myers, May, Gibson, Taillon and Diamond or Worley. You could even throw in Worley/Diamond/Hendricks to make sure you get Taillon AA or Cole AAA.

#15 Steve Penz

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 09:08 AM

[quote name='SRP'][quote name='josecordoba']Few Thoughts on Hammer

1. The issue though really shouldn't be his value in 2013. Extreme Best Case Scenario (And I Mean Extreme)- The Twins win 80 games. Trading Hammer maybe makes a difference of 5 games (A highly extreme scenario). Nothing really lost. I would think playing for 2014 even would be a bit of stretch (When Willingham's contact would expire). So the goal should be finding value for the next good Twins Team which might be 2015. If TR finds a Pitcher or Middle Infielder that looks attractive for these teams (They need to consider it)

I like this and that there is a lot of focus on the value to be gained from Willingham and Mourneau. Arcia, Parmarlee and/or whoever would fill open spots provide no assurances but these are gambles the Twins need to make. Recently there is talk of how Span is performing vs the value of May/Worley. The twins gained a possibly serviceable player and possible front runner for a guy who might not be around when the team will next be relevant. If they are able to make these types of moves for Willingham and Mourneau I think it will be awesome and I will be comfortable with the risk that is does not work out vs resigning the older guys.[/QUOTE]

I have just realized that I have mixed up the details of the Span trade and the Revere trade. Sorry about that. I will now go to penalty box and feel shame.

#16 SweetOne69

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 09:09 AM

There has been a lot of discussion about Hicks and team control, what about Arcia? In other words, if he does stay up without going back down to the minors, would he have spent enough time at Rochester this year so that the Twins get an extra year of team control?


I believe that he is about a week short. Now he would have to be sent down for 3 weeks to get that week back. A player has to be sent down for 21 days for that time to NOT count against his clock.

#17 kab21

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 09:20 AM

If Pirates are indeed in the talk that is great, with Willinghams team friendly contract, you have to ask for one of their 3 good pitching prospects; Cole, Taillon or Holmes. Resign Morneau 3 year 24 Million and now all of a sudden your rotation potential next year is Myers, May, Gibson, Taillon and Diamond or Worley. You could even throw in Worley/Diamond/Hendricks to make sure you get Taillon AA or Cole AAA.


One of these are not like the other...

Cole
Taillon
Holmes


Cole and likely Taillon are probably not even close to attainable for Willingham. Holmes would only be acceptable as a 2nd (or 3rd) piece. The guy I would target on the Pirates is Alen hanson. I doubt the Pirates would do that but he's the only guy that really interests me (attainable guys). Heredia perhaps but there would have to be a few other really good prospects to go with him. Heredia sounds like the former prospect Deolis Guerra at this point.

#18 SweetOne69

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 09:26 AM

Assuming Parmelee can hold his own, I believe that Morneau will be traded first. Willingham is one of the few right handed power bats that the Twins have, so I would hold on to him as long as possible.

#19 mike wants wins

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 09:27 AM

I agree, Cole and Tallion are probably not attainable, but what if you did this?

Willingham, Worley, Wimmers (or something like this). yes, that makes 2013 even WORSE, but 2014 looks a lot better....

What I just typed is probably an opinion, not a fact. I mean, I'm usually right, so you should maybe assume it is or will be a fact soon, but that's up to you. :) Also, I am NOT trying to convince anyone I am correct, I'm just talking here, not arguing.


#20 Top Gun

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Posted 19 April 2013 - 09:34 AM

Parmelee sucks pretty soon he will have no value at all, should have traded him last winter.