Article: Good Days & Bad Days
Posted 25 March 2012 - 07:55 PM
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Posted 26 March 2012 - 12:37 PM
Is there a non-zero possibility that he's turned some sort of corner and is the sort of hitter he was in 88 PAs last year married to (I'm guessing here) 40 PAs in Spring Freaking Training? Sure.
Is it significant? No.
It's like people might even know (or have the sense) that in a sample of 100 players whose true talent is to hit, say, .230/.270/.330, one or two of them will put up awesome numbers in a given 100 PA sample - that's just how random variation works - but they refuse to believe that could possibly be this Parmelee guy - who did nothing in the minor leagues to suggest he was MLB ready - because BY GOD they've seen him crush a few balls.
What is lost by sending him to AAA? You remove a massive risk of non-production at a key position and of lost or even regressed development for Parmelee. And 6-8 weeks of tearing it up in Rochester (because that's what he's likely to do if his bat is truly ready to carry first base or an outfield corner) will tell you if he has somehow hit the developmental lottery. Realistically, he needs a season in AAA if he's going to be a viable major leaguer.
*sigh* It could be REALLY ugly when teams start pitching to him with book in hand a month or so in.