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Potential 2013 Twins Draft Pick: Chris Anderson

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#1 Jeremy Nygaard

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 09:43 AM

Minnesota's Mr. Baseball in 2010 (Tom Windle was a finalist) left home to play baseball at Jacksonville U. After being a two-way player as a freshman, Anderson moved into the rotation as a sophomore. Now in his junior year, Anderson has really taken off.

Despite only ranking as the preseason #7 Draft Prospect in the Atlantic Sun by Baseball America, Anderson probably has more early season helium than any other pitcher in the nation. While I'm not ready to put in him the discussion at #4, there is a buzz around him, both here at TwinsDaily and nationally. Anderson has put himself in the first-round discussion though and, being a local product, that is deserving of his own thread.

Personally, I consider Windle and Anderson to be on about the same tier. I think Anderson has some projection left, so he may climb. Windle is left-handed, so he has that going for him. Both should be in the discussion for the Twins 2nd round pick (as of today) if they're available.

3/24 EDIT: Anderson has helium and is in the top-half of the first round discussion. I'm guessing the Twins will send a few scouts to the JU/FGCU game on 5/3, though I know they've seen him already.

2/15 vs Radford - 7 IP, H, BB, 13 K, 2 HBP. 83 pitches/55 strikes. (No decision.)
2/22 vs Richmond - 7 IP, 4 H, 7 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 9 K, 119/81. (Loss, 0-1.)
3/1 vs TCU - 9 IP, 7 H, 3 R, ER, BB, 13 K, 138/91. (Win, 1-1.)
3/8 vs UCF - 8 IP, 4 H, BB, 10 K, HBP, 108/74. (Win, 2-1.)
3/15 vs ECU - 7.2 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K, WP, 112/69. (Win, 3-1)
3/22 vs USC Upstate - 8.1 IP, 8 H, BB, 10 K, WP, 9:6 FO:GO. (Win, 4-1)
3/28 vs Mercer - 6 IP, 11 H, 9 R, 8 ER, 10 K, 3:4 FO:GO. (Loss, 4-2)
4/5 vs Stetson - 6.2 IP, 6 H, 4 R, ER, BB, 5 K, WP, HBP. (Win, 5-2)
4.12 vs Kennesaw St - 4.1 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 3 K, WP. (Loss, 5-3)


*This post will be updated throughout the season. Please link game stories or other related Anderson-themed posts below.

Edited by Jeremy Nygaard, 19 April 2013 - 08:11 PM.


#2 lightfoot789

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 10:17 AM

Baseball America had Chris Anderson's weekend game against UCF as the #1 Marquee Mound Showdown in the country yesterday. Chris pitched against another Top Prospect in Ben Lively (LHP).

BaseballAmerica.com: College: Weekend Preview: March 8-10

Chris is moving up like Kyle Zimmer did in last years draft. Zimmer became an eventual #5 pick in the first round by the Royals. Start counting him out - right now - as that second round option. He won't be there. I'd rather have a home town kid who probably always wanted to be a Twin, as opposed to an Appel who has shown to be money oriented and might jet for the west coast (free agency) as soon as his opportunity presents itself. Chris is our next Joe Mauer and has that Roger Clemens will to win on the mound. Not rushing to judgement with first round pick yet, but keep him in your radar................................................. maybeeee...........

#3 Jeremy Nygaard

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 10:47 AM

Baseball America had Chris Anderson's weekend game against UCF as the #1 Marquee Mound Showdown in the country yesterday. Chris pitched against another Top Prospect in Ben Lively (LHP).

BaseballAmerica.com: College: Weekend Preview: March 8-10

Chris is moving up like Kyle Zimmer did in last years draft. Zimmer became an eventual #5 pick in the first round by the Royals. Start counting him out - right now - as that second round option. He won't be there. I'd rather have a home town kid who probably always wanted to be a Twin, as opposed to an Appel who has shown to be money oriented and might jet for the west coast (free agency) as soon as his opportunity presents itself. Chris is our next Joe Mauer and has that Roger Clemens will to win on the mound. Not rushing to judgement with first round pick yet, but keep him in your radar................................................. maybeeee...........


Believe me, Anderson's been on my radar for a long time. And I hear most of what you're saying. I'm going to slightly disagree on a couple of points.

1) Kyle Zimmer wasn't completely off the draft radar before his junior season. BA had him as the 15th rated college player in last year's Prospect Handbook. A better comp would be Chris Stratton (who went 20th to the Giants), who wasn't as highly regarded before the season (both Stratton last year and Anderson this year missed the Top 100 College Prospects). Stratton needed to dominate the SEC (and LSU) to make the jump he did. The comp in that article is Matt Garza (who the Twins took 25th). I wouldn't put Anderson at that level yet. Could he continue to rise? Absolutely.

2) I'm hoping putting him in the same sentence as Joe Mauer and Roger Clemens was a joke.

I like Anderson, I do. And he's on my radar, he was on my Draft Board 1.0. I'm just not ready to hand him $4.5m (or call him a sure-fire first-rounder) after a phenomenal start to his junior season coming off a not-so-good (actually really bad) Cape Cod performance (and the Twins love Cape success). He'd be good value for the Twins in the 2nd round today.

#4 lightfoot789

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 03:45 PM

As you use Garza as a Comp - Also know that Anderson's pitching coach was also Matt Garza's pitchig coach in college as well (Tim Montez). I looked up Montez and he also coached Cliff Lee - Doug Fister - Barry Zito - Russ Ortiz (retired) and current Twin minor leaguer Matt Tomshaw. There is something to say about each of these guys - They ALL know how to pitch and don't soley rely on thier velocity and arms. They all have multiple pitches in their arsonel.

And you should know, that being rated 15th as a college prospect doesn't guarentee you first round money. With so many H.S. players being drafted in the 1st round - 15th could mean being drafted 35th or higher for a college player. Chris Beck was rated extremely high after Cape and dropped big time. Zimmer actually moved way up in terms of his college prospect ranking and was drafted as the 3rd college player selected. I'm not ready to sell our 5th pick either, but I'm getting awfully tempted based on his pitching coach's track record and Mr. Anderson's (Matrix Like) performances.

#5 diehardtwinsfan

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 06:18 PM

If he keeps it up, he certainly won't be there in the second round. That said, if the Twins are sold on him, I could see this as an opportunity to see if he will split the difference on slot between where he's drafted and number 4. If he did that, the Twins could go out and grab another tough sign similar to what Houston did. Not a bad option. He's likely starting A+/AA and would not be that far from the bigs.

#6 lightfoot789

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 06:27 PM

If he keeps it up, he certainly won't be there in the second round. That said, if the Twins are sold on him, I could see this as an opportunity to see if he will split the difference on slot between where he's drafted and number 4. If he did that, the Twins could go out and grab another tough sign similar to what Houston did. Not a bad option. He's likely starting A+/AA and would not be that far from the bigs.


I agree with your assessment [2 for 1 philosophy this year] - If he continues on same path?

#7 Jeremy Nygaard

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 07:16 PM

There would be a definite savings if he went that high, though in my conversation with Sean Johnson he told me that the Twins would be less likely to do that because you could end up saving money without necessarily getting the guys you were saving for. They'll have a number of strategies in mind, who knows what they'll do.

#8 Thrylos

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 07:21 PM

If he keeps it up, he certainly won't be there in the second round. .


Really? Keep what up? Have you checked his numbers in college? If not, they are here.
4.50 ERA, 88 IP, 40 BB, 69 K, 1.5 WHIP

in College. For me these are like 10th-15th round numbers. Maybe.

He is from Minnesota, whatever. Are you all glad that the Twins picked the kid from Puerto Rico (Berrios) over Rochester, MN's own Mitch Brown last season? I am.

Edited by Thrylos, 09 March 2013 - 07:27 PM.

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#9 Jeremy Nygaard

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 07:55 PM

Really? Keep what up? Have you checked his numbers in college? If not, they are here.
4.50 ERA, 88 IP, 40 BB, 69 K, 1.5 WHIP

in College. For me these are like 10th-15th round numbers. Maybe.

He is from Minnesota, whatever. Are you all glad that the Twins picked the kid from Puerto Rico (Berrios) over Rochester, MN's own Mitch Brown last season? I am.


The hype is over what he's done in 2013. Obviously he wasn't great before or he'd have been in the first round discussion already.

#10 nicksaviking

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 08:21 PM

If the Twins picked a local kid to get a break on the slot recomendation they would be rightfully lynched.

#11 righty8383

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Posted 09 March 2013 - 10:59 PM

Are you all glad that the Twins picked the kid from Puerto Rico (Berrios) over Rochester, MN's own Mitch Brown last season? I am.


No, but I wish they had taken Brown over Bard.

#12 Seth Stohs

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 12:05 AM

Really? Keep what up? Have you checked his numbers in college? If not, they are here.
4.50 ERA, 88 IP, 40 BB, 69 K, 1.5 WHIP

in College. For me these are like 10th-15th round numbers. Maybe.

He is from Minnesota, whatever. Are you all glad that the Twins picked the kid from Puerto Rico (Berrios) over Rochester, MN's own Mitch Brown last season? I am.


Strange response...
1.) Who cares about his overall numbers. Scouts certainly aren't looking at those very much. How about 5 walks and 45 strikeouts in 31 innings this year? Shows a pretty good trajectory.
2.) The Twins aren't going to take anyone just because they're local. If it makes sense, they do. They took Mauer because they believed he was the best player in the 2001 draft. The took Glen Perkins in 2004 because they felt he was the best available at that pick (around 22, I believe). They didn't take Mitch Brown last year. No one is suggesting they take him because he's from Minnesota, especially not at 4.

#13 Seth Stohs

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 12:06 AM

No, but I wish they had taken Brown over Bard.


Of course, that's subject to change after Bard gets healthy and starts the 2013 season. Just like Brown may become a better pitcher long-term than Berrios. Won't really know for another 6-8 years.

#14 lightfoot789

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 12:17 AM

[FONT=comic sans ms]thrylos98;89276 - Really? Keep what up? Have you checked his numbers in college?
If not, they are here. 4.50 ERA, 88 IP, 40 BB, 69 K, 1.5 WHIP in College.
For me these are like 10th-15th round numbers. Maybe.
[/FONT]
[FONT=Times New Roman]These are Appel's numbers his first 3 seasons at Stanford -
If your talking soley numbers - They don't scream 1st pick in the draft?
[/FONT][FONT=times new roman]2-1, 5.92ERA, 38.0 IP, 26K, 19 BB, .295 opp/avg Freshman
6-7, 3.02ERA, 110.1 IP, 86 K, 29BB, .277 opp/avg Sophomore
10-2, 2.56 ERA, 123.0 IP, 130 K, 30 BB, .213 opp/avg Junior
[/FONT][FONT=Calibri]
[/FONT]
[FONT=arial narrow][FONT=times new roman]Anderson's Freshmen and Junior year numbers:
[/FONT][FONT=times new roman]4-2, 3.91 ERA, 50.2 IP, 39 K, 34 BB, .217 opp/avg Freshman (All American as well)
Bad Sophomore season statistically on a terrible team and as an everyday player (DH / 1B)
2-1, 0.87 ERA, 31.0 IP, 4 5 K, 5 BB, .139 opp/avg Junior (thru 4 games)
[/FONT]
[FONT=times new roman]
Projectability and Pitchability - Bottom Line when it comes to Drafting Pitchers -
He has it. Already drafted once out of high school.

[/FONT][/FONT]

Edited by lightfoot789, 10 March 2013 - 12:25 AM.


#15 diehardtwinsfan

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 07:29 PM

Really? Keep what up? Have you checked his numbers in college? If not, they are here.
4.50 ERA, 88 IP, 40 BB, 69 K, 1.5 WHIP

in College. For me these are like 10th-15th round numbers. Maybe.

He is from Minnesota, whatever. Are you all glad that the Twins picked the kid from Puerto Rico (Berrios) over Rochester, MN's own Mitch Brown last season? I am.


My apologies as I thought it was clear that I was referring to his current season. The key for any college pitcher is progression, which thus far, Anderson is doing. Now perhaps you are right and he's going to regress to the mean a bit. If that's the case, I don't think we'd be having this conversation. My point, though is this. If Anderson continues, he might not get good enough to go 4 over all, but he won't be there for pick number 2. The Twins, if they believe in him, could throw a much lower than slot value at him to save 2 mil and go after a tough highschool sign much later in the draft, much like Houston did last year. I get that it isn't a perfect strategy, but in so doing, they turned the number 4 overall pick into 2 very good prospects instead of 1.

#16 Jeremy Nygaard

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 08:02 PM

If the draft were held today, Keith Law projected on Twitter, Anderson would go in the 20ish range (similar to Stratton and Garza, who I compared him to).

With that being said, you can add him to the category that Boldt and Windle are in - probably won't be around for Round 2, but cross your fingers...

#17 Pierre K.

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 11:05 PM

He's been very good at the D1 level earning All-America honors as a freshman. His sophomore season is very deceiving. He took hold of a starting role and pitched very well. His team (3 draft picks) was an early pick to make it again to regionals and win one. Well the team couldn't hit 'till the final month of the season, and with 100+ errors, the pitchers innings became slightly extended and the team bottomed out. This season, Chris is on a mission, and with the the expert guidance from one of the very best pitching coaches, it's all coming together at the right time, which is great because the 2013 team is already at 35+ errors. Pitching stats can be deceiving!!!!

Chris has progressed and excelled at every level and will become an outstanding pitcher in MLB, where-ever he ends up!

Edited by Pierre K., 10 March 2013 - 11:59 PM.


#18 Jeremy Nygaard

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Posted 18 March 2013 - 04:05 PM

There were 237 people in attendance to see Anderson pick up his 3rd win (and the team's 6th) on Friday night. Game log updated above.

Anderson didn't have his best game statistically, only striking out 5. (He had averaged over a K/IP in each of his previous outings.) Anderson doesn't have a lot behind him, so he's going to rely on striking guys out - and as a result, throw more pitches. His 112 seems pretty tame after throwing nearly 140 two outings ago.

#19 cmb0252

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Posted 18 March 2013 - 04:46 PM

I don't understand this whole take Anderson and save money later idea. Correa was ranked in the top 3-4 of most boards, some had him #1, while Anderson is in the 20s+ range. The two situations are totally different . Houston got top end talent while saving money. Outside of Anderson being from MN, widdle too, I don't understand why these guys have posts but no bryant or fraizer.

#20 Jeremy Nygaard

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Posted 18 March 2013 - 04:57 PM

Anderson and Windle have posts because there had been a lot of discussion about them, mostly because they are local guys, yes. Partially, too, because they are pitchers and pitching once a week is easier to update than position guys.

Do Bryant and Frazier deserve threads based on the fact they could be top 4 picks? Probably. It's just not something I have the time to update after each game. I know you're big on Bryant and he's been a monster, feel free to start a thread.