In the beginning of spring training related to LF, Baldelli said he was going to bring the best w/ him to start the beginning of the 2021 season. He was talking about Kiriloff but the the truth should still pertain. Keon has proven that he is more than able to come up with team. All indications points to Cave as the starting LF and main replacement for Buxton but is he the best selection?
Broxton has clearly shown he's by far better in each category than Cave. I get it that Broxton isn't on the 40 man roster and we'll use him as Buxton insurance. The 40 man is very tight and it'd be hard to justify bumping anyone out to find room for him, especially since Law is pitching well and is out of options. But can we afford not bringing him up?
Twins pride themslves about being so analytical, so lets look at a very complicated stat call wins and losses.
I couldn't find any exact records of Buxton throughout his career about this subject but this article by Sid Hartman gives us an idea on what they could be. When Buxton is playing CF we win about 2x as many games as we lose, when his substitutes play there we lose about 2x more games than we win. This stat not only show how great Buxton is defensively but also how inferior his replacements are. Of all his replacements Cave is the worst, it has been announced that he'll be his main replacement this year. Why does this matter?
This matters because CWS has been predicted to win the divsion by many pundits. On paper CWS look very good and we need to win as many games as possible because it'll be very close. If we lose the division, we should make the WC then more than likely we'll face our nemise NYY. I'd like the honor of winning the division and missing the Yanks. When Broxton wouldn't be playing LF, he'd close the gap between Buxton & his subs at CF& he could PR & be defensive replacements in crucial games. All this means many more wins. So you see we can't afford not to bring Broxton up to start the season.