Posted 18 February 2013 - 11:47 AM
Posted 18 February 2013 - 12:08 PM
Boras does not have the leverage he did last year. What is Appel going to do go to graduate school? He will sign for slot value. That being said he may be the 1st pick and get his money. If he is available at #4 and the twins like him they should draft him.
I've stopped thinking any system can beat Scott Boras at his game. I don't know what Appel would do, but if he's in a situation to sign for "slot", which is less than what he turned down last year... I don't think he'll sign.
The irony is that #1 is going to be Boras v. Houston again and last year it didn't work out for Boras. Houston also had a great draft. I bet they're happy with they decision they made (and might make it again).
Posted 18 February 2013 - 12:09 PM
Posted 18 February 2013 - 12:13 PM
Edited by Jeremy Nygaard, 18 February 2013 - 12:17 PM.
Posted 18 February 2013 - 12:16 PM
Good write up, Jeremy. It'll be interesting to follow college baseball this year. I guess I'm really hoping Appel falls to the Twins. I'd also like to see the Twins take a chance with their second pick on someone like Florida pitcher Karstan (I think is his name) who got hurt but had top 10 stuff. He didn't take 2m as a high schooler. Now with an injury and falling draft stock, maybe he'll want to start his pro career and get some money.
Thanks to those leaving compliments.
I am under the impression that Whitson will redshirt (still would be eligible for the draft) and return for his junior year next year. Considering it's a shoulder deal and the likelihood is that he won't be able to throw before the draft, I would bet that Whitson doesn't go in the Top 10 rounds (those tied to money), but goes later so that teams could a) spend money the saved on him and hopefully see him throw before July 15. Smart money says the Twins won't even kick those tires.
Posted 18 February 2013 - 12:24 PM
Posted 18 February 2013 - 01:16 PM
And, frankly, I don't think that the Twins would be afraid to take Appel at all, if they believed he was the best guy available. I'd be surprised if Appel didn't sign this year. There is less leverage. His options are certainly more limited. And the Twins aren't afraid to go a little over-slot to get him or anyone. They've shown that before. It may mean taking a couple of college seniors in the next 10 picks, but that's OK.
Posted 18 February 2013 - 01:41 PM
Did you consider any of the prep shortstops for your list? JP Crawford, Oscar Mercado, Jan Hernandez and Chris Rivera have all been mentioned on various first round lists, though they each have significant fielding or hitting questions. If they are able to put it all together in the spring, they may move up quickly.
I'm looking forward to following your updates throughout the spring.
Posted 18 February 2013 - 02:48 PM
Posted 18 February 2013 - 03:01 PM
What exactly did not signing last year leave Appel for options this year? What happens if he doesn't sign again this year? I've never heard of such a thing happening.
Look up two very different results of Boras having players hold out... 1.) JD Drew, 2.) Matt Harrington.
Posted 18 February 2013 - 03:51 PM
He's a good agent with great knowledge of the market and CBA but he still ultimately works for his client.
Posted 18 February 2013 - 04:04 PM
I also recall - it's on a thread somewhere that I couldn't find - projecting Walker to the Twins. I thought Mitch Brown would be a Twin, liked Berrios (as you can see in the link), but didn't anticipate the college relievers.
Posted 18 February 2013 - 04:05 PM