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Twins Daily 2021 Top Prospects: #5 RHP Jhoan Duran

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#1 Seth Stohs

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Posted 18 February 2021 - 08:30 PM

He’s tall. He’s strong. He throws a triple-digit fastball. He has as many as five pitches, including one with a cool nickname. There are a lot of reasons to like the potential of Twins pitching prospect Jhoan Duran, Twins Daily’s #5 prospect heading into the 2021 season.Age: 23 (DOB: 1-8-1998)
2020 Stats: Pitched at the Twins alternate site in St. Paul.
ETA: 2021
2020 Ranking: #6

National Top 100 Rankings
BA: NR |MLB: NR | ATH: 83 |BP: NR

What’s To Like
Before becoming the Twins bench coach before the 2020 season, Mike Bell spent eight years as the Vice President of Player Development for the Arizona Diamondbacks. In July of 2018, the Twins sent infielder Eduardo Escobar to Arizona in exchange for three players including Jhoan Duran.

A year ago, I was talking to Bell about Duran. “It was a painful trade, being on that side of it, watching him go. I was definitely in the room. I think it was a good trade for both teams. Escy’s a very good player, and a good teammate. I’ll tell you what, Duran is an incredible talent. I think he’s going to do a lot of good things here in the organization. I’m super-excited to reconnect with him.”

Bell noted, “When we saw him, he had a real heavy sinker. We took some baby steps with him. We knew the kind of talent he was, so we were playing it pretty safe with him in rookie ball. We saw a fastball up to 99 with heavy sink, and he is around the strike zone with command.”

Duran has continued to develop. A year ago, he was added to the 40-man roster, and he spent the 2020 season at the Twins alternate training site in St. Paul. When he pitched in some intrasquad games ahead of the start of the regular season, he impressed fans and coachesalike.

Duran is an intimidating presence on the mound. He stands 6-5 and is a very-strong 230 pounds. He is blessed with a fastball that sits in the upper-90s and frequently hits triple-digits.

As he said a year ago in a Twins Fest interview, he likes his fastball but he is very comfortable with his sinker as well, a pitch that is sometimes called a “splinker.” (combination split-finger fastball and sinker) Whatever it is called, it has the potential to be a big pitch for him as it can sink and fade in on a right-handed batter as seen below.



The third pitch will be the key to the trajectory of his career. He has a really solid breaking ball that will just need to be cleaned up. He has a sharp slider but also occasionally will throw a slower curveball. If even one of those pitches can become an average pitch, he could be a starter for a long time.




What’s Left To Work On
At this stage, it is really just about refining his stuff and getting to the big leagues and gaining confidence in it.

The third pitch, whether it’s a slow curveball, a slider or a change up will likely determine whether he can remain a starter or will need to be a reliever. That’s a question for every starter, especially guys that throw as hard as Duran.

He has generally shown good control in the minor leagues, but he will need to sharpen his command to find success in the big leagues.


What’s Next
Duran ended the 2019 season with a handful of starts at Double-A Pensacola. He then impressed during his time in St. Paul in 2020. He will again head to big league spring training. While he may technically be competing with Randy Dobnak and others for the Twins fifth starter role, he will likely start the season with the Saints. The Twins could even justify sending him to Double-A Wichita for another partial season if needed since he missed game-innings in 2020. .

Assuming he continues to impress and make improvements, it is very likely he will make his MLB debut in 2021. Because of the lack of innings in 2020, he could be on a pitch and innings limit in 2021, so it’s possible he could debut out of the Twins bullpen late in the season too. This kind of arm warrants patience and caution.

Yesterday, Cody asked if you think Balazovic should be the Twins top pitching prospect? After reading today's profile, what do you think? Is it Balazovic or Duran? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.


Twins Daily 2021 Top 20 Prospects
Honorable Mentions
20. Bailey Ober, RHP
19. Jose Miranda, INF
18. Alerick Soularie, OF
17. Ben Rortvedt, C
16. Edwar Colina, RHP
15. Cole Sands, RHP
14. Misael Urbina, OF
13. Matt Wallner, OF
12. Brent Rooker, OF/1B
11. Gilberto Celestino, OF
10. Blayne Enlow, RHP
9. Matt Canterino, RHP
8. Aaron Sabato, 1B
7. Keoni Cavaco, SS
6. Jordan Balazovic, RHP
5. Jhoan Duran, RHP

Stop by on Monday for prospect #4!

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#2 Dman

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Posted 18 February 2021 - 08:39 PM

That is one nasty pitch but if he only really has two pitches I would give the nod to Balazovic but if he does find that third pitch with the splinker I would have to give it to Duran.That is just filthy.

 

Nice to see 5 pretty solid guys in Duran, Balazovic, Canterino, Sands and Windor with some pretty impressive stuff. Would love to see all of them make it.

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#3 Seth Stohs

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Posted 18 February 2021 - 08:50 PM

 

That is one nasty pitch but if he only really has two pitches I would give the nod to Balazovic but if he does find that third pitch with the splinker I would have to give it to Duran.That is just filthy.

 

Nice to see 5 pretty solid guys in Duran, Balazovic, Canterino, Sands and Windor with some pretty impressive stuff. Would love to see all of them make it.

 

He throws 5 pitches, but the two are plus pitches and the other three are more average and still in progress... how they develop further may be the biggest thing to tell us what his future is. 

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#4 dbminn

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Posted 18 February 2021 - 09:30 PM

 

Nice to see 5 pretty solid guys in Duran, Balazovic, Canterino, Sands and Windor with some pretty impressive stuff. Would love to see all of them make it.

 

I love the depth. Not every prospect turns out great, but when you have a handful of prospects, something good is going to happen. A couple of these guys are going to be solid or better starters for several years. 

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#5 Fatbat

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 01:05 AM

In September of 2023. Everyone one in the top 7 will be headed for the playoffs in a Twins uniform.
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#6 Doctor Gast

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 05:31 AM

It's a tough call, they are pretty close. Right now I'd have to agree with you and pick Duran. I trust the competition of our top pitching prospects will help push themselves to the next level.
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#7 arby58

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 07:20 AM

Given that the question was 'best pitching prospect' rather than 'best starting pitching prospect' I'll go with Duran. When you can regularly hit triple digits on the radar gun with reasonable command, you are going to attract a lot of attention. While Balazovic has notably increased his velocity, I doubt he's going to be hitting triple digits. If Duran 'just' ends up as an overpower late inning arm, that would make him a highly valued prospect (see Brusdar Graterol).

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#8 mikelink45

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 07:41 AM

I would choose to put them both in next years rotation - two young arms, two different styles - it should not be either or.The Dobnak, Smeltzer, Thorpe group better get their act together, the future is breathing down their necks. 

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#9 rdehring

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 08:32 AM

Love both prospects, but you may have sold me on the idea of Duran being our top pitching prospect.


#10 nicksaviking

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 08:45 AM

Thorpe, Graterol, Romero, Gonsalves, Jay, Stewart, Jorge, Eades, Meyer, May. It's been a long time since one the team's top starting pitching prospects debuted and actually stuck as a starter. Berrios is getting lonely and he and Gibson were probably the only two since the Baker/Garza/Liriano/Blackburn era. We are way overdue for a homemade starter to click; I think Duran is going to be the one. Or I really want him to be the one anyway.

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#11 MN_ExPat

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 09:18 AM

I have to say (to me and my uneducated opinion), I see them as two sides of the same coin. Both have tremendous potential and upside and I would call them 1A and 1B (or sharing the #5 slot).

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#12 MMMordabito

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 09:30 AM

 

I would choose to put them both in next years rotation - two young arms, two different styles - it should not be either or.The Dobnak, Smeltzer, Thorpe group better get their act together, the future is breathing down their necks. 

 

I agree on that group, especially Smeltzer and Thorpe, to a degree.I'm still holding out hope (possibly ill-advised) on Dobnak.He finished the year 1-4 in the giving his team a chance department.Not a good finish, and he may be figured out.However, I just can't stop rooting for the guy, because when he's on and the defense is on it makes for fun baseball.I hope he ends up being the change of pace pitcher in the rotations of coming years. 

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#13 LewFordLives

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 09:52 AM

That heavy sinker reminds me of Scott Erickson in his prime.

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#14 Trov

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 10:13 AM

If he can change up his speeds on the fast ball to save a little, that will go a long way. I am not a fan of 5 pitches really I like 3 with the ability to change speeds on them to keep guys off balance.Really those 4th and 5th pitches get tossed so rarely they are kind of waste to work on.I have high hopes for him though.  

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#15 twinfan

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 10:33 AM

I see Duran and Ober in the Twins future. We'll see about Balazovic.


#16 strumdatjaguar

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 10:37 AM

Please - Can somebody give us the correct phonetic pronunciation of his name???

#17 saviking

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 12:02 PM

Late 2022 .. 

 

Berrios

Maeda

Duran, Balazovic, Canterino


#18 AceWrigley

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 01:36 PM

i think its "Yo-WAHN Doo-RAHN".


#19 flpmagikat

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 01:45 PM

 

Thorpe, Graterol, Romero, Gonsalves, Jay, Stewart, Jorge, Eades, Meyer, May. It's been a long time since one the team's top starting pitching prospects debuted and actually stuck as a starter. Berrios is getting lonely and he and Gibson were probably the only two since the Baker/Garza/Liriano/Blackburn era. We are way overdue for a homemade starter to click; I think Duran is going to be the one. Or I really want him to be the one anyway.

 

Remember Kevin Slowey? It seems weird to look back and think I was really into Kevin Slowey lol

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#20 drivlikejehu

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Posted 19 February 2021 - 04:12 PM

 

Remember Kevin Slowey? It seems weird to look back and think I was really into Kevin Slowey lol

 

He did finish with 7.7 fWAR in his career, which honestly isn't that bad for a 2nd round pick.

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