C- Mauer 5.0
1B Morneau 2.5
2B Carroll 2.5
3B Plouffe 3.0
SS Floriman 0.0
RF Parmelee 2.0
CF Hicks 2.5
LF Willingham 3.0
DH Doumit 2.0
Bench 1-4 -.5
Total 22 WAR. That's sorta doable, Twins position players had that last year. Hicks should be worth 2WAR on defense/base running alone. Expects improvement from Parmelee and Plouffe but what the heck. Expects solid seasons from the core guys but no monster years. It's not entirely unreasonable and they do have some depth to cover a little bit.
Pitchers would need 16 WAR. They were -3.3 last year. I have no idea how they can get to that level.
Worley 3.5 (assumes best year)
Diamond 2.5 (no slump)
Correa 0.0 (isn't a black hole)
Hendriks 1.0 (sorta best case hope)
Gibson 2.0 (between starter/bullpen)
Other starters -3.0 (kind of a best case hope over about 40 starts)
Perkins 1.5 (similar to last year)
Burton 1.5 (similar to last year)
Fein 1.5 (similar to last year, with more playing time)
others 0.0 (being kind)
That's 9.5 WAR and extremely kind. I doubt anyone other than Worley and Diamond make even 18 starts. Last year, Pavano, Marquis, Blackburn, Duensing and Hendriks combined for nearly -7.0 WAR in 64 starts. That will probably happen again but let's hope not.
I think Gibson will be ok. I hope he starts in the pen and gets moved to the rotation midway through the season. Hendriks hasn't really shown that he can be anything but he's young so we'll give him more time. May or Meyer could have huge seasons in the minors and come up but that's unlikely.
If they don't get anymore solid starters, I don't see anyway this could happen. They need better pitchers to cover those 64 starts. Correa can't do it and we just spent 10m on him. Hendriks and Gibson are too young to cover much of it.
Edited by gunnarthor, 11 December 2012 - 10:19 AM.