Posted 06 December 2012 - 04:38 PM
FYI, Seth, looks like you accidentally added a "have" in the first sentence:
According to Darren "Doogie" Wolfson (via twitter), the Minnesota Twins and representatives for Jared Burton have are very close to an agreement for a contract extension.
Posted 06 December 2012 - 06:19 PM
Posted 06 December 2012 - 06:23 PM
Another smart move by Ryan.
Hmm, don't hear a lot of people calling for his head this week. Strange.
I've been a big Terry Ryan believer for a long while now.
His presentation at the SABR Convention this summer was one of the best I've heard an insider offer. He was supposed to take part in a panel discussion, but the other panelists didn't show up, so he proceeded to give a 30-minute soliloquy that amounted to "GM 101". He's smart, experienced, humble, and as much of a straight shooter as anyone who has to manage public expectations can be.
(No, this is not part of my job application for within the Twins organization.)
Posted 06 December 2012 - 06:49 PM
not to bad of an extension, I think the ultimate decision on this contract will be dependent on how often he is available. He didn't pitch enough innings last year, some of that was injury history, but he will need to pitch more meaningful innings and do so successful.
Not really. He just needs to stay healthy and do what he did last year for this contract to be considered a steal.
Posted 06 December 2012 - 09:31 PM
Looking at 31 year old right handed set up men from 2000-2010, there was a significant drop off in performance from age 31 to age 33.
To summarize, I searched for every season pitched by a 31 year old set up man from 2000-2010. I sought pitchers with a workload of at least 60 games. I eliminated closers as they have a different work load. I eliminated guys with ERAs over 4 as most were on their way out of baseball. I found 28 pitchers. I eliminated pitchers jailed for attempted murder in their home country and was down to 27. At age 33, 7 of the 27 pitched 60 games with an ERA under 4. Add one guy who became a starter to make 8 effective pitchers.
Eight effective pitchers at age 33 from a group of 27 effective pitchers at age 31. It seems like the Twins are on the wrong side of the odds with this contract.