First, 101 wins is not the team record. The Twins won 102 games in 1965.
Second, when I look at Arraez, I'm not sure I see the star everyone seems to be sold on (at least everyone on Twitter and in the blogosphere). I see a guy who gets the bat on the ball, but without a lot of authority (35% hard hit rate, 24% FB-IFFB%)). He puts the ball on the ground (42% GB Rate) and last year he benefitted from a .355 BABIP. I guess I see him more as a solid placeholder until Lewis is ready to join the club and take over up the middle, not a reason to be excited about the team.
All of that said, I'm definitely excited about the team, and I think everyone is sleeping on how good Rich Hill can be when he's healthy. If Berrios takes a step forward and Hill comes back healthy, that's a 1-2 that can compete with anyone in the league come October.
Sure, Rich Hill can be good when healthy. But, expecting anything out of him is a huge mistake, IMO. He’s never pitched over 135 innings in a season in his career. For whatever reason, he seems to always be having blister issues. He’s over 40, and is coming off of an elbow surgery.
It’s more likely Rich Hill doesn’t throw an inning as a Twin than becomes a postseason horse.
Decent back-up plan/flier. Awful plan A for a team desperate for starting pitching.