Why I have hope for the Twins in 2012
Posted 07 March 2012 - 10:46 AM
When people have asked me, I've been giving my outlook in percentages. I think there's about a 40-50% chance that they're very bad again (let's say 50), and a 35% or so chance that they're improved and healthier enough to get back to mediocre, somewhere within a few of .500. But, that leaves a 15% chance that everyone is healthy, everything clicks back into place, and they're actually really good again--maybe not good enough to beat the Tigers, but enough to keep it interesting. And I think people are overlooking that chance and ignoring just how much we don't know about all those injuries and how they're likely to play into 2012.
Posted 07 March 2012 - 11:18 AM
Posted 07 March 2012 - 11:19 AM
A few weeks ago, I posted on my blog giving them about a 10% chance of winning the division. Your analysis was much better, but basically I agree that it's going to take that rare combination of Mauer, Morneau and Liriano all being healthy and playing well in order for that possibility to materialize.
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Posted 07 March 2012 - 01:22 PM
Posted 07 March 2012 - 04:11 PM
Posted 07 March 2012 - 04:41 PM