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Article: Building a Perfect Twins Trade Deadline

will smith madison bumgarner shane greene marcus stroman zack greinke
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#1 Cody Christie

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Posted 18 July 2019 - 06:30 PM

Over the next couple of weeks, Twins fans are going to be checking their phones and waiting for a notification. Did the club acquire a front-line starting pitcher? Could a bullpen arm or two be on the way to the Twin Cities? Even with one of baseball’s best records, Minnesota’s roster has some holes. When you look at your phone on July 31, what would be the perfect trade deadline scenario?Deadline Blueprint
With one of the baseball’s best offenses, it makes sense for the Twins to focus on adding pitching before the deadline. Minnesota’s most glaring need is the bullpen. Taylor Rogers might be the AL’s most valuable reliever, but he won’t be able to pitch every postseason inning. Ryne Harper, Tyler Duffey and Zach Littell have been more than serviceable, but they might be better suited for pitching the middle innings.

Jose Berrios and Jake Odorizzi have been leading the pitching staff, while the rest of the rotation has fit into their roles nicely. Kyle Gibson and Martin Perez have had some up and down moments throughout the year. Michael Pineda has provided an upgrade over recent fifth starters. Would you trust one of these pitchers to face the Yankees or Astros line-up in the ALDS?

Ideally, the Twins would add two relief arms and a starter before the calendar turns to August.

In a perfect world, the Twins would be able to add both a right- and left-handed reliever to assist Rogers in his late inning role. There are some internal options for the Twins including two left-handed pitchers that are already on the 40-man roster. Both players would be unknowns in a relief role, so it makes sense to find someone with some experience if the price in prospects isn’t too steep.

When it comes to left-handed relievers, Will Smith is the name on everyone’s list. He is currently being used as the Giants closer, but his cost might be slightly lower since he is a free agent after the season. John projected a package of Kohl Stewart and Edwar Colina for Smith. If that’s the deal on the table, I pull the trigger.

For Ron Gardenhire and the Tigers, there have been few bright spots this year. However, Shane Greene has been one of the team’s best players. In 2018, he struggled in his first chance being the full-time closer. He posted a 5.12 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP with a 65 to 19 strikeout to walk ratio. For how bad he was last season, he has done a complete 180 this year. He has a microscopic 1.06 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP with 35 strikeouts and 10 walks. He’s also under team control through 2020.

Starting Pitching
There’s been lots of talk about Madison Bumgarner since he is a pending free agent and the Giants are likely to be sellers. One must wonder what version of Madison Bumgarner a club would receive in a trade. He’s been a World Series hero but that was half a decade ago. This season he has posted a 3.86 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP to go along with 121 strikeouts in 116 2/3 innings. Another thing to consider is Bumgarner has a lot of miles on his arm with 1755 big league innings over the last 11 seasons.
Toronto’s Marcus Stroman is another potential trade target and he is younger than Bumgarner. So far this season, he has a 3.25 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts in 110 2/3 innings, so Bumgarner has him beat in that category. Stroman has another year of team control as the 2020 season will be his final year of arbitration eligibility.

Both above-mentioned pitchers could help the club, but I’d rather the team target Arizona’s Zack Greinke, even if he has a no-trade clause that includes the Twins. There are a few reasons I’d rather the team go after a 35-year old pitcher with a big contract. First, it would likely take fewer high-ranking prospects to acquire Greinke because of his large contract. Greinke has been very good this year with a 2.95 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP.

Minnesota has the financial flexibility in the years ahead to absorb the Greinke contract. Plus, three of the Twins current starters will be free agents following the World Series. Greinke could fit in at the top of the rotation with Berrios for the next handful of seasons. If he isn’t still an ace in 2021, the Twins could still fit him in some part of their rotation.

Greinke, Smith, and Greene put the Twins in better position to win October games. Who would be part of your perfect trade deadline for the Twins? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

Other Stories of Interest
Internal Relief Help Could Provide Second Half Upgrade
Arraez is What Minnesota Has Craved
Twins Trade Rumors Roundup: Teams Pondering Selling

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Cody Christie

#2 jaimedude2



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Posted 18 July 2019 - 10:40 PM

They tried for Chris Archer once, they should take a run at him again.

#3 Otwins


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Posted 18 July 2019 - 11:30 PM

Trade for Carlos Martinez.He could help in the bullpen this year and stretch out in spring training for next year as a starter

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#4 twinsfanstreif


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 03:41 AM

I'd love to do a Stroman/Giles package and then get Smith (especially if the cost is that low). Would be a decent prospect haul for all of those guys but I would be ok with something like Graterol or Larnach, Gordon, Wade, and Gonsalves for Stroman/Giles and the aforementioned Stewart and Colina for Smith. All in all that's 6 prospects for 3 MLers and only sacrificing 1 top 10 prospect. Would it be enough? Not sure, maybe we would have to switch out Gonsalves for a higher rated prospect like Duran or Thorpe to get it done but I think the return is worth it
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#5 LanceJS


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 06:10 AM

Yes to Smith and Greene for the bullpen, but my ideal starter wou!d be Boyd to be in a package to the Tigers.
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#6 071063



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Posted 19 July 2019 - 06:37 AM

I like the Greinke idea because it should cost us fewer prospects.With the financial flexibility the Twins have and with the number of FA starting pitchers currently on our roster, it might be a very good move.

#7 ChrisKnutson


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 07:15 AM

I want a big move, but I also wanna save up on prospect capital for next season as well, so how about just Vazquez and Kennedy?? If we wanna add onto our rotation of Berrios and Perez, why not just wait till the offseason to bring back Odorizzi and sign either Porcello, Keuchel, or Wheeler instead of overpaying for a “good not great” starter like Stroman (still like him though) who would only be controllable for one more season after the current one.

Vazquez <—> Gordon/Larnach/Jeffers/Colina/Jax
Kennedy <—> Littell/Cave/$4M of $14M for 2020

#8 Vanimal46


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 07:59 AM

I want a starter under contract at least through 2020. If the Twins like Matthew Boyd I'm willing to trade the prospect capital to acquire him.

Relievers are so hard to predict year over year, I just want a couple of rentals who are pitching well. Will Smith (SF) and Chris Martin (TX) fit the bill.
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#9 HawksNest


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 08:00 AM

Twins have had recent conversations with Tigers regarding Boyd and Shane Greene per Jon Morosi.He goes on to say the Twins are looking to add a starter and a reliever.



#10 SpicyGarvSauce


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 08:23 AM

Say no to the internal options at this point.


The Twins need to go outside the organization to fix these issues.

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#11 Monkeypaws


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 08:37 AM

As the trade talks heat up, one guy I hope the Twins take off the table is Balazovic. There is an article about him in the Athletic, and he sounds like Berrios 2.0 with the work ethic, but in a 6'4" frame and with an emerging change-up to compliment the mid 90s heat. This guy has future ace written all over him.


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#12 TerwilligerBuntsOne


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 09:34 AM


Say no to the internal options at this point.


The Twins need to go outside the organization to fix these issues.

Absolutely agree.If the internal options were better than the existing bullpen arms...wouldn't they already be on the team?Replacing AAAA arms with unknown AAA arms isn't the answer for a team hoping to achieve some success into October.


Regarding Greinke, the Twins seems to like their future financial flexibility. Not sure that dealing for a 35 year old with a FAT contract fits that mold.

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#13 DocBauer


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 09:56 AM

Sorry, but Bumgarner scares me. The SO and ERA look nice, and he's not close to old, but he is simply not the pitcher he was, has a lot of miles on his arm, is a short term rental, and would be changing leagues.

Stromal is quality, but no better than what we already have, IMO. Same with a lot of guys I've heard mention. I think I could get behind Greinke. He's pitched in the AL, he's not a rental, the prospect capital shouldn't be as high, and other than a somewhat disappointing 2016, he has been a model of consistency and his 2019 numbers are right in line with career norms. It appears he has enough in the tank to actually make a difference the next couple of years. And isn't that what we need? An experienced difference maker.

As for the bullpen, we all know the names, just TWO PLEASE. But if we can get the big RH arm, I'd like to toss out Tony Watson from SF as an experienced, solid LH who shouldn't cost much. His SO numbers are down this season, but he has had a very nice career and still looks good.
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#14 spycake


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 10:49 AM


Sorry, but Bumgarner scares me. The SO and ERA look nice, and he's not close to old, but he is simply not the pitcher he was, has a lot of miles on his arm, is a short term rental, and would be changing leagues.

Who cares about the miles on his arm if he's a short term rental?


And if the prospect price reflects the fact that he's a rental, that should be fine too.


And Bumgarner is FAR more likely to be actually available (especially to the Twins) than Greinke.

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#15 TFRazor


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 11:11 AM


They tried for Chris Archer once, they should take a run at him again.

Have you seen him pitch this year? Just no.

#16 DocBauer


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 11:11 AM

Who cares about the miles on his arm if he's a short term rental?
And if the prospect price reflects the fact that he's a rental, that should be fine too.
And Bumgarner is FAR more likely to be actually available (especially to the Twins) than Greinke.

Agreed if you are OK for a rental. Guess my point wasn't fully clear. If you already have 3 SP without contracts you have to make decisions on, do you want a 4th? If the answer is yes you'd better be thinking that new guy is going to make a real differences and worth the cost of obtaining him. Is Bumgarner that guy?

Seems to me if they were to add a SP it would be with 2020 in mind as well. Greinke fills both roles, difference maker this season and back for next season. But for the record, I'm also not sure Greinke is truly available.
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#17 nicksaviking


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 11:20 AM

I'm not as big on Bumgarner as some, but sometimes those types of pitchers find a second wind. Also, if Carl Pavano can energize a club house after an August deadline trade, I'd think a big name Bumgarner would really get the other players pumped up.


Not my first choice, but I could see some intangible benefits if nothing else.

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#18 Trov


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Posted 19 July 2019 - 03:33 PM

First, why are people so down on Pinada?Look at what he has been doing lately, he should be considered our third started not our fifth.Do I want him pitching in Yankee stadium in playoffs, maybe not compared to some others, but he is improving.Over his last 7 games he has pitched 39.2 innings, walked 5 struck out 37, gave up 13 earned.That is a good 7 games.You say 7 is not long enough, he has only pitch 18 games so still a decent chunk of his season.Time to give the guy a break. 


That being said, I would love to see a top end starter added and at least one more top pen arm.I am all for trading away prospects to do it.Why do we always say we cannot trade prospects?Because we fear the unknown of what they may become, but they may also become nothing worth much either.If you can increase chances in playoffs trade the prospects, just don't sell the whole farm.We have plenty of middle infield depth and plenty of outfield depth, sure some will draw interest. 

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#19 pierre75275


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Posted 21 July 2019 - 05:56 PM

I would like Robbie Ray from the Dbacks and Giles from the jays.

I would be thrilled if there could be a Ray Grienke combo trade plus Giles

Yes I know the Twins are on his no trade list but still...

#20 TwinsTerritory



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Posted 22 July 2019 - 10:52 PM

If the Twins are going to add a starter, I feel strongly that it needs to be someone that would slot into our top 3 for the playoffs and have control beyond 2019.That's a short list of available pitchers. 


Relievers on the other hand could be rentals or have team control, I just want a couple guys that are pitching well this year.My two trades happen to be for relievers with team control in 2020.I'm curious to hear other opinions of my trade packages.Fair trade value is so hard to determine.


Twins trade Brusdar Graterol, Brent Rooker, Nick Gordon, and Cole Sands to the Mets for Noah Syndergaard.


Twins trade Jorge Alcala and Gabriel Maciel to the Giants for Sam Dyson and Tony Watson.

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