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Article: Twins Can Welcome the Perfect Storm this Summer
#1
Posted 25 June 2019 - 07:50 PM
Timing
Coming into 2019 the AL Central was never going to be more winnable for the Twins than it is right now. Cleveland had clearly peaked, and without having an influx of talent, their only opportunity was to go backwards. Only the White Sox are trending toward a mature state in their rebuild, and even they are going to experience growing pains over the next year or so. Taking advantage of virtually a free pass to the postseason was an absolute must as the Twins' window opened.
Performance
As noted above, Baldelli’s lineup is arguably the best in baseball. Without being made up of names like Judge and Stanton, a collection of homegrown talent and scrap heap pickups have come together in an effort to pound a baseball more juiced than it has ever been. Wes Johnson and the Twins entire infrastructure on the pitching side of the game has allowed the staff to take steps forward, and though they may not receive the same praise, the group has certainly been among the game’s best.
Deficiency
Because of how good Minnesota has been there’s also not a significant amount of need to take the club to the next level. While the bullpen certainly needs to be addressed and the rotation could use a boost, we aren’t talking about an overhaul here. Minnesota’s active roster is legitimately a few players away from being a sustainable and serious threat in October. This isn’t the NBA where one guy can transform a team, but the Twins are so close that one or two additions can be what puts them over the top.
Landscape
Never in the history of major league baseball have fewer organizations been trying at any giving time. There’s a handful of clubs tanking in an effort to supplement their lagging systems and move out of the dreaded middle ground. Because of this reality it’s a wonderful time to be a buyer. Clubs are parting with big league assets and there are only so many places for those players to land. In a trade market that will be influenced by an earlier and single transaction date, competing offers aren’t solely in the form of dollars as is the case in the offseason.
Capital
If there’s one thing Minnesota fans consistently ride the organization for, it is its payroll. Without touching on that subject, the only other capital in the game is in the form of players. Given the front office’s decision to hold onto dollars this winter, and the impending 40-man crunch coming up, there’s an abundance of prospect capital to be doled out. Not only are the Twins loaded at the top with some of the game’s best prospects, but the system's depth is also impressive and backs their organizational prospect ranking.
By no means should the suggestion be that Minnesota attempt to throw away their long-term window for one run at the World Series. That said the opportunity to make bold acquisitions that will impact this team and those of the future lies ahead. The cost will be substantial, but the reward is also tangible through these same means. I don’t know if Minnesota will ever be in position to sign a free agent like Jacob deGrom or Noah Syndergaard, but right now they’re certainly positioned to trade for one.
As the organization bides its time and collects more depth in the form of big league vets such as Cody Allen and Carlos Torres, the time to pounce looms large. It’s a bonus if any of those guys work out to be serviceable arms down the stretch. In the month ahead engaging teams on the outs and swapping future assets for current ones is where Falvey finds himself, and given all of the factors, it should be the most comfortable storm he’s ever stood in.
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- glunn, Blake, nicksaviking and 1 other like this
#2
Posted 25 June 2019 - 09:56 PM
- bighat likes this
#3
Posted 26 June 2019 - 07:10 AM
friendly correction to: hear, hear ;>)
- woolywoolhouse and bighat like this
#4
Posted 26 June 2019 - 07:50 AM
Perfect time for this topic. Unless something unpredictable happens the teams from New York and Houston are the only serious (note serious) threats to keep the Twins out of the World Series. If they do make it, the Dodgers do appear to be early favorites to win it. Only problem is there are still 5 games in June plus all of July, August and September left to deal with. Only bump in all of July are the 3 against the Yankees and its not too early to circle those 3 games and treat them like a playoff preview. Pitching and lineups should be set accordingly.
No point in even dwelling on pitching since it is so obvious but priority needs to be to keep everyone healthy and game ready.
Go Twins!
Edited by Number3, 26 June 2019 - 07:51 AM.
- Minny505 and bighat like this
#5
Posted 26 June 2019 - 07:56 AM
Perfect time for this topic. Unless something unpredictable happens the teams from New York and Houston are the only serious (note serious) threats to keep the Twins out of the World Series.
Any team can knock out another team once the postseason begins. In the past four seasons, a Division Series has been played 16 times. The lower-seeded team has won six times (37.5% of the time), including the Wild Card winner three times (also 37.5% of the time).
People really underestimate how unpredictable baseball is over five or seven games.
- Danchat, woolywoolhouse, Platoon and 3 others like this
#6
Posted 26 June 2019 - 08:06 AM
Any team can knock out another team once the postseason begins. In the past four seasons, a Division Series has been played 16 times. The lower-seeded team has won six times (37.5% of the time), including the Wild Card winner three times (also 37.5% of the time).
People really underestimate how unpredictable baseball is over five or seven games.
Unless the Twins play the Yankees... Then it's all too predictable.
*Ducks and run*
- Blake, notoriousgod71, Mr. Brooks and 3 others like this
#7
Posted 26 June 2019 - 12:02 PM
Also, maintaining health is key.
#8
Posted 26 June 2019 - 01:26 PM
Also, maintaining health is key.
I think the Twins are so deep that they're pretty insulated - at least on offense - from letting the injury bug really bite them.
Good article.
#9
Posted 26 June 2019 - 03:24 PM
Your point about all the teams not trying to win is a great argument for a relegation system as in football. In Europe, the teams at the *bottom* of the table are trying desperately to win every game possible to avoid relegation. Makes life much more interesting for everyone except the "comfortable mid-table" teams who have little to gain or lose from moving up or down a few places.
It's probably impossible to re-build the minor league system, so I'd set up the 30 major-league teams in three divisions, with relegation and promotion of 2-3 teams between divisions at the end of every season. The playoffs/World Series would be the top 5 teams from Division 1 (out of 10), the top 2 from Division 2, and the top 1 team from Division 3, seeded in that order.
Triples are more fun than home runs; stolen bases are more fun than strikeouts; singles are more fun than walks.
#10
Posted 26 June 2019 - 04:42 PM
Your point about all the teams not trying to win is a great argument for a relegation system as in football. In Europe, the teams at the *bottom* of the table are trying desperately to win every game possible to avoid relegation. Makes life much more interesting for everyone except the "comfortable mid-table" teams who have little to gain or lose from moving up or down a few places.
It's probably impossible to re-build the minor league system, so I'd set up the 30 major-league teams in three divisions, with relegation and promotion of 2-3 teams between divisions at the end of every season. The playoffs/World Series would be the top 5 teams from Division 1 (out of 10), the top 2 from Division 2, and the top 1 team from Division 3, seeded in that order.
The result of this would be the 21st “best” team making the playoffs. Right now, that would be the White Sox. No thanks.
- USAFChief likes this
#11
Posted 26 June 2019 - 05:37 PM
The result of this would be the 21st “best” team making the playoffs. Right now, that would be the White Sox. No thanks.
The Twins would probably in division 3 and have the best record in it.
So, no matter what the Twins did from here on out ... they'd be the bottom seed ... even if they won 120 games.
Edited by Doomtints, 26 June 2019 - 05:37 PM.
Twins Manifesto: Build for .500, hope for more.
#12
Posted 26 June 2019 - 07:02 PM
The Twins would probably in division 3 and have the best record in it.
So, no matter what the Twins did from here on out ... they'd be the bottom seed ... even if they won 120 games.
Based on 2018, they would logically be in “division 2” since they had the 19th best record in mlb.
#13
Posted 26 June 2019 - 07:52 PM
Your point about all the teams not trying to win is a great argument for a relegation system as in football. In Europe, the teams at the *bottom* of the table are trying desperately to win every game possible to avoid relegation. Makes life much more interesting for everyone except the "comfortable mid-table" teams who have little to gain or lose from moving up or down a few places.
It's probably impossible to re-build the minor league system, so I'd set up the 30 major-league teams in three divisions, with relegation and promotion of 2-3 teams between divisions at the end of every season. The playoffs/World Series would be the top 5 teams from Division 1 (out of 10), the top 2 from Division 2, and the top 1 team from Division 3, seeded in that order.
First of all, it's soccer, not football.
- glunn likes this
Cutting my carbs...with a pizza slicer.
#14
Posted 27 June 2019 - 08:05 AM
First of all, it's soccer, not football.
Only in this country. I can't bring myself to call it that any more...
Triples are more fun than home runs; stolen bases are more fun than strikeouts; singles are more fun than walks.
Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: minnesota twins, derek falvey, noah syndergaard, rocco baldelli, jacob degrom
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