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Article: BOS 2, MIN 0: Offense Squanders Berrios’ Gem

jose berrios jorge polanco nelson cruz eddie rosario
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#1 Kirby O'Connor

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 09:14 PM

Tonight’s game featured incredible starts by Jose Berrios and Boston’s Rick Procello. The only runs of the game came in the first inning and the last. Boston never put more than one runner on the bases at a time, but were able to still plate the only two runs of the game. A frustrating night for the offense, but encouraging stuff from Berrios.Box Score
Starter: 8 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 10 K, 76.1% strikes (83 of 109 pitches)
Bullpen: 1 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 0 K
Home Runs: None
Multi-Hit Games: Cron (2-4, 2B)

WPA of +0.1: Berrios .328
WPA of -0.1: Castro -.158, Gonzalez -.176, Rosario -.222, Cruz -.304
Download attachment: Win617.png
(chart via FanGraphs)

Starting Pitchers Duel
Jose Berrios started the game by giving up three singles and a Red Sox run. After that run scored, Berrios sat down 19 men in a row. Berrios was dealing all night, but was on the short-end of tonight’s decision.

Red Sox starter Rick Porcello was also on the top of his game, and did not allow a run through seven innings. He also struck out five in a row from the second out in the second through the last out of the third. Porcello surrendered the first walk of the game with two outs in the seventh inning.

It’s not often in today’s game that you see two starters go seven-plus innings, but tonight’s game was very much a throwback in how it was played. Porcello and Berrios were both working ahead, trusting their defenses, and getting strikeouts. Jack Morris and Dick Bremer were beside themselves with glee with how tonight’s game went.

An Ineffective Offense
The Twins have one of the best lineups in the MLB, but tonight they were unable to come up when it mattered most. C.J. Cron was able to get to second base with one out in the seventh, but fly outs from Marwin Gonzalez and Jason Castro ended the threat.

In the eighth, the Twins got a leadoff single from Jonathon Schoop, which was followed by a Max Kepler walk. With two men on and no outs, Jorge Polanco laid down a sacrifice bunt to advance the runners. Schoop ran himself into an out on a nubber by Nelson Cruz, but Kepler compounded the mistake by running back to second when he could have had third base. Of course Kepler’s mistake didn’t make a bit of difference because Eddie Rosario chopped out to first base to end the inning.




Streaking Sox
The Boston Red Sox entered tonight’s game having won five straight games, and seven straight road games. Since the Red Sox last loss, they have outscored their opponents 39-19. Even with the hot streak, Boston entered tonight’s game 5.5 games behind the AL East-leading New York Yankees. It would have been nice to upset the streak, but Boston is very much a playoff contender.

Postgame With Baldelli


Bullpen Usage
Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:
Download attachment: Pen617.png

Click here to view the article
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#2 Monticore

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 09:20 PM

Cruz never gets it done when they really need him to. They talk about his leadership but he doesn't lead by example.

#3 james2334

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 09:23 PM

Somebody please tell Polanco that he is one of the best hitters in the American League and to stop sacrificing his at bats in key situations at the end of the game. He has a much better chance of getting a hit than anyone else on the team. Paul Molitor is not the coach anymore, swing away!

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#4 Aerodeliria

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 09:25 PM

Welcome Twins to the bitter taste of reality!

 

This is what the playoffs feel like. Time to buckle down. Forget about how the start of the season went for Boston; we're now playing the real Red Sox who take no prisoners.

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#5 AlwaysinModeration

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 09:42 PM

I disagree about Cruz—I’d want him up in that situation every time.

I do agree that Polanco should have been hitting away. They finally got a new pitcher, a guy who walks guys—-take your cracks at him! Hopefully Rocco learns a lesson from that.
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#6 jz7233

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 09:58 PM

 

Cruz never gets it done when they really need him to. They talk about his leadership but he doesn't lead by example.

I guess he leads in salary. That's what they talk about his leadership. At least Mauer is pretty good when RISP.

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#7 MNT1996

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 10:07 PM

Polanco bunting in that situation was such a bad decision. That easily was the play that lost us the game. You call for the best hitter in the league to bunt with runners on 1st and 2nd and no out? Bonehead management.


#8 Otwins

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 10:26 PM

Before you guys fire Baldelli you may want to re-listen to the post game show.Polanco bunted on his own.It was not called from the bench

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#9 Han Joelo

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 10:27 PM

I think these write-ups are almost TOO good.  They've certainly attracted a bunch of, umm, interesting comments lately.  I'll resist any temptation to go further, but Mods, please preserve the sanity (tried to type sanctity but autocorrect had other ideas) of this site.

 

I'm pretty thrilled that Berrios mustered up this kind of performance.  That's a pretty big notch to put in his belt.

 

The bats were cold.  That will happen, I guess.  This team keeps bouncing back, though, so the dread I had earlier in the year has subsided pretty much--none of that, "oh, this is the real Twins team" feeling.  Except for the bullpen part.

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#10 Vanimal46

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 10:32 PM

Cruz never gets it done when they really need him to. They talk about his leadership but he doesn't lead by example.

Ahh... That's the good stuff! I love me a strong hawt taek!

.997 OPS in high leverage situations...

Screenshot_20190617-232642.png

Edited by Vanimal46, 17 June 2019 - 10:33 PM.

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#11 jz7233

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 10:39 PM

Polanco, Odorizzi, Berrios are the only Twins who deserve to be elected to the all star game.


#12 Dantes929

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 10:55 PM

I kind of wish we could turn back the clock and have Polanco hit away and ground into a double play just to see how many on here would moan that the Twins didn't advance the runners when only down one run late.I'm not saying bunting was the right play but we have seen Cruz hit sacrifice flies in that situation as well as 2 run base hits in that situation.Its almost like every day is different and sometimes guys come through and sometimes they don't.  

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#13 Aerodeliria

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 11:50 PM

I always like Rocco's perspective. Tomorrow is another day, and the Red Sox are much better than their record.

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#14 Aerodeliria

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Posted 17 June 2019 - 11:55 PM

 

I disagree about Cruz—I’d want him up in that situation every time.

I do agree that Polanco should have been hitting away. They finally got a new pitcher, a guy who walks guys—-take your cracks at him! Hopefully Rocco learns a lesson from that.

Me too--I mean the part about Cruz hitting. As for the bunting, I'll let Polanco decide that on his own.

 

I did want to mention that on a contact play like that, Schoop has to keep running. He starts hitting the brakes as soon as the pitcher fields it. The play with an underhand shovel is going to be much-much closer than he probably realizes. Once he started hitting the brakes of course, he was dead in the water.

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#15 terrydactyls1947

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Posted 18 June 2019 - 01:23 AM

Yesterday was Monday, June 17 and it was the 71st game of the year.The Twins are now 44%of the way through the season.Out of 59 years, the current team ranks 28th on the all-time list of Twins' home runs in one season and are on a pace to hit 313 home runs this season.

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#16 howeda7

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Posted 18 June 2019 - 01:37 AM

Cruz didn't come through, but I'll still take him in a big spot. Sano on the other hand, I have zero faith can even make contact in a key spot. And get Blake Parker to the IL and off this team already. He can re-hab during the All-Star break and give it another try before 7/31.

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#17 Platoon

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Posted 18 June 2019 - 04:32 AM

"An Ineffective Offense"? Picking nits here a little, but just a couple points. Good. Pitching. Beats. Good. Hitting. This wasn't as much a case of an ineffective offense, as it was a case of an excellent pitching performance by Porcello. As it was by Berrios. Much more a case of effective pitching! And a much more interesting game to watch. Dick and Jack made a valid point. Games like this each pitch counts, vs just waiting for the next three run bomb.
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#18 USAFChief

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Posted 18 June 2019 - 05:25 AM

I kind of wish we could turn back the clock and have Polanco hit away and ground into a double play just to see how many on here would moan that the Twins didn't advance the runners when only down one run late. I'm not saying bunting was the right play but we have seen Cruz hit sacrifice flies in that situation as well as 2 run base hits in that situation. Its almost like every day is different and sometimes guys come through and sometimes they don't.

a couple points about the bunt:

If it had been more a try for a bunt hit, I wouldn't mind as much.

IMO, intentional outs do more to relieve pressure off the pitcher than anything else. In this case, I felt that's exactly what it accomplished. I was watching Boston's broadcast, they were both surprised to see Polanco square off there.

A sacrifice reduces the chance of multiple runs. With the Twins bullpen, I'm not so sure playing for a tie there is good strategy.

And finally, I can only speak for myself...but I will never second guess a decision not to sac bunt. There might be times late in games where I don't hate them, but I will never question not using them. You only get 3 outs per inning. Giving away one of them intentionally just doesn't appeal to me.

I'm way more concerned about the bullpen than last night's offense anyway.

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#19 ashbury

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Posted 18 June 2019 - 05:36 AM

Cruz never gets it done when they really need him to. They talk about his leadership but he doesn't lead by example.

In addition to the other responses...

 

Win Probability Added is a context-defined stat - giving more credit for a plate appearance when the game hangs in the balance than when the outcome is all but decided. Nelson's doing just fine by that measure, trailing Polanco and Buxton who have missed less time.

 

It's true that the majority of his homers have been solo. On the other hand, his batting average has been higher with men on base than when empty. Slicing and dicing the numbers this early in the season always risks Small Sample Size anomalies, of course.

 

I don't trust any stat by itself, but when WPA lines up with the overall production numbers it suggests to me that there's nothing there to discuss in terms of situational hitting.

 

https://www.baseball...ability_batting

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#20 bighat

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Posted 18 June 2019 - 05:36 AM

Makes me sick to see guys here piling on Polanco. Dude actually did his job - something most Twins hitters didn't do!

 

A normal grounder to the right side by Cruz, a sac fly by Cruz - pretty much anything aside from a nubber to the mound and we're tied.

 

Criticizing Polanco is like criticizing Berrios for giving up that 1 run. There are lots of hitters to blame for last night's loss, none of them are named Polanco.

 

There are lots of games left, I know losing 2 in a row makes everyone grumpy but these things happen. The Twins coaches will have to start coaching and getting guys to make adjustments pretty soon but this team should be fine.

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