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Article: MIN 5, KC 4: Bats Rally, Bullpen Protects 1-Run Lead

marwin gonzalez max kepler taylor rogers jake odorizzi joe mauer
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#1 Tom Froemming

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 09:20 PM

With this lineup, you can never count out the Twins. They fell behind 4-1 tonight, but rallied back to tie the game in the fifth and took the lead in the sixth. Working with just a one-run lead over the final three innings, the bullpen not only got the job done, but even managed to pitch around a couple of errors.Box Score
Odorizzi: 6.0 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 7 K, 71.7% strikes (66 of 92 pitches)
Bullpen: 3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

Home Runs: Kepler (17), Gonzalez (9)
Multi-Hit Games: Gonzalez (2-for-4, HR)

WPA of +0.1: Gonzalez .205, Rogers .170, Cron .120, Polanco .102
WPA of -0.1: Odorizzi -.111, Schoop -.122, Cruz -.126
Download attachment: Win615.png
(chart via FanGraphs)

No Lead is Safe
The Twins fell behind 4-1 heading into the bottom of the fifth. They were within a run of the Royals by the time an out was recorded that inning. Mitch Garver singled and Marwin Gonzalez socked a two-run bomba.

Later that inning, Jorge Polanco provided a game-tying RBI double with two outs. The comeback was complete when C.J. Cron hit an RBI double in the bottom of the sixth inning.

Bullpen Secures Victory
Sometimes that “no lead is safe” statement applies to the Twins’ bullpen, but not tonight. After the bats stormed back, the bullpen managed to protect that lead.

Trevor May pitched around an error to record a scoreless seventh inning. There was another error committed in the eighth, but Blake Parker and Ryne Harper combined to keep Kansas City off the board that inning. Taylor Rogers gave up a one-out single and issued a two-out walk in the ninth, but worked around them to earn his eighth save.

Odorizzi is Human
Jake Odorizzi gave up as many earned runs tonight, four, as he had in those previous eight outings. He looked a little more human tonight, though he did still provide the Twins with six innings.

Odorizzi gave up seven hits, walked two batters and struck out seven. He gave up multiple home runs for the second time this season, but to his credit, never flew completely off the rails.

I’ve Got a Riddle for You
Who’s the most underrated Twin? I started brainstorming an article around this question, but it was too difficult. There are so many guys on this 2019 teams that are doing so well, but still have such low profiles across the landscape of baseball.

Now of course, if you’re here at Twins Daily reading a game recap, you’re obviously more invested than the average sports fan. But how many people actually realize that, say, Max Kepler is doing what he’s doing?

Anyway, Kepler hit his 17th home run tonight. He entered this game with a 134 OPS+ so far. He’s never even cracked 100 before (which is league average).

People around town are definitely starting to take notice of what this team is doing collectively, which is tremendous, but it’s pretty incredible what so many of these guys are doing on an individual basis, as well.

No.7 Retired
Before tonight’s game, the Twins put together a ceremony that was pretty neat. Joe Mauer’s No. 7 was retired.



Postgame With Baldelli


Bullpen Usage
Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:
Download attachment: Bullpen615.png
And One More Thing ...
I try really hard to avoid ump talk, but I’m sorry, we have to go there tonight. It’s a tough job, I get that, and both teams are stuck with the same umpire, so things typically even out. But, my word, is Angel Hernandez terrible. If anybody needs a retirement party, it’s that guy.

Here’s a look at the called strikes on Twins hittters:
Download attachment: KCPitcherCalledStriks.png
And below are the called strikes on Royals hitters:
Download attachment: MINPitcherCalledStrikes.png
The guy basically made a joke of this game. How can MLB allow this to continue to happen?

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#2 terrydactyls1947

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 09:27 PM

Today is Saturday, June 15 and it was the 69th game of the year.The Twins are now 43%of the way through the season.Out of 59 years, the current team ranks 28th on the all-time list of Twins' home runs in one season and are on a pace to hit 317 home runs this season.

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#3 Dantes929

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 09:40 PM

"Odorizzi is Human
Jake Odorizzi gave up as many earned runs tonight, four, as he had in those previous eight outings. He looked a little more human tonight, though he did still provide the Twins with six innings."...

For all we know this could have been the best Odorizzi has thrown. We forget that results are not dictated solely by the Twin's actions but by the other side as well. My theory is that all the no hitters in history would not have happened if the pitcher was facing any other team that day. There are no unhittable strikes.  Most of the times a pitch is called a mistake there were several other pitches in the same spot but that is the one the batter actually squared up. Ok, off my soapbox. Nice job Odorizzi for battling. Good job offense for being relentless. Nice job bullpen for going three scoreless despite two errors.  

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#4 Monticore

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 09:58 PM

The defense has been very spotty. Nice to come away with another win but kudos to the relief corps for working around the errors.

#5 terrydactyls1947

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 10:08 PM

Watching Parker pitch is like playing golf with someone who takes a dozen practice swings, hovers over the ball for twenty seconds and then proceeds to hit the ball about 20 yards.Just throw the damn ball over the plate and quit twitching and grimacing.Geez!!!!!!!

 

I feel much better now, thanks.

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#6 MNT1996

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 10:16 PM

Need to clean up the defense

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#7 jimbo92107

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 10:23 PM

Blake Parker continues to worry me. Good stuff, but his control is so erratic. At least Trevor May looked a little better than last time out, when he challenged Romero for wildest Twins pitcher of the year. 

 

Maybe May needs to learn Zen meditation. All his self-critical muttering and agitation can't be good for his control. Breathe through your eyeballs, Trevor!

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#8 carlito_b

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 11:00 PM

Great point about Kepler.17 home runs already! Wow. Almost everyone is having a breakout or career year it seems.

#9 MNT1996

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 11:32 PM

 

Blake Parker continues to worry me. Good stuff, but his control is so erratic. At least Trevor May looked a little better than last time out, when he challenged Romero for wildest Twins pitcher of the year. 

 

Maybe May needs to learn Zen meditation. All his self-critical muttering and agitation can't be good for his control. Breathe through your eyeballs, Trevor!

 

Honestly his stuff isn't even all that great (7.3 K/9). The only thing that was making him somewhat decent for the first couple weeks was his command, but if that continues to be bad then he should be the first one to be kicked out of the BP if the Twins get an arm before the deadline.


#10 Aerodeliria

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Posted 15 June 2019 - 11:38 PM

We could add Odorizzi to the list of players no is really talking about, and Cron, and Garver, even Rosario and Buxton. I was reading suggested all stars by various sports gurus and the Twins players were conspicuously absent. Only one analyst had two Twins players on the list (Polanco and Rosario). Of all the others, only one Twin was even mentioned and that by only one guru (surprisingly that was Castro). In a sense, maybe that's the beauty of the Twins; there are different heroes depending on the game.
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#11 MVP Nick Punto

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 01:05 AM

What percent of HR by German-born players does Koepka have now?

#12 twinsfanstreif

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 04:32 AM

Most Underrated Twin for me has to be Gonzalez. His super utility-ness has provided the much needed rest that all the other players are getting and on top of that it's not really a drop off when he comes in, he frequently plays the hero offensively and defensively. I think he's one of the major reasons we are a good this year as we are
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#13 Eephus

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 05:16 AM

Underrated candidate - Buxton. 2nd highest WAR on the Twins. Not that it all boils down to WAR, but I saw this stat recently and was very surprised. Polanco is 1st, Kepler is 3rd. 

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#14 the_brute_squad

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 06:24 AM

You could say the entire team is underrated. Take a look at the All-Star balloting and only Polanco is at the top of the list. Most of the squads #'s compare favorably to each of the vote leaders.

Speaking of Polanco, the campaign for him to be an All-Star is great but it shouldn't stop there. I realize it's not even the halfway point but he should be in the discussion for MVP.

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#15 ashbury

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 06:36 AM

Several takeaways for me, some already touched upon.

  • Marwin is a butcher in RF and isn't getting better. Either give him intensive drills, or play him elsewhere. Nelson Cruz used to play RF, and I bet he still could give you better innings out there than Marwin has shown us. Our backup right fielder is in Rochester. When Buxton sits, either use Rosario in center and put Marwin in left (where he's said to be good, I can't remember), or else give Ehire a try out there. Remember JD Martinez playing RF in the last World Series? Yeah. We're potentially facing that embarrassment when the stage gets bigger and we're not playing the Royals.
  • Cron, what the what? Shake it off and get 'em next game, I guess. I counted 3 plays that he would have made on a different day.
  • Ehire has a major league glove at all the infield positions, but he ain't perfect, as we saw again yesterday.
  • I trust four of our baserunners, Rosario and Kepler and Polanco and Buxton. If you're not in that list, don't go stretching a single into a double in a situation that would only work in a beer league. I'm looking at you, Jonathan Schoop; with two outs a double would be helpful, but it'll have to be the next guy, so be off at the crack of the bat and let him drive you around. It actually catches me by surprise that two capable middle-infielders on our roster, Schoop and Adrianza, are so plodding on the basepaths, but they are what they are. We're mostly a slow team.
  • You can make this many mistakes against the Royals and still win. We used to be the Royals. Heck, we're not that far removed - they're running Lucas Duda out there, and we almost did.
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#16 jorgenswest

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 07:14 AM

Several takeaways for me, some already touched upon.

  • Marwin is a butcher in RF and isn't getting better. Either give him intensive drills, or play him elsewhere. Nelson Cruz used to play RF, and I bet he still could give you better innings out there than Marwin has shown us. Our backup right fielder is in Rochester. When Buxton sits, either use Rosario in center and put Marwin in left (where he's said to be good, I can't remember), or else give Ehire a try out there. Remember JD Martinez playing RF in the last World Series? Yeah. We're potentially facing that embarrassment when the stage gets bigger and we're not playing the Royals.
  • Cron, what the what? Shake it off and get 'em next game, I guess. I counted 3 plays that he would have made on a different day.
  • Ehire has a major league glove at all the infield positions, but he ain't perfect, as we saw again yesterday.
  • I trust four of our baserunners, Rosario and Kepler and Polanco and Buxton. If you're not in that list, don't go stretching a single into a double in a situation that would only work in a beer league. I'm looking at you, Jonathan Schoop; with two outs a double would be helpful, but it'll have to be the next guy, so be off at the crack of the bat and let him drive you around. It actually catches me by surprise that two capable middle-infielders on our roster, Schoop and Adrianza, are so plodding on the basepaths, but they are what they are. We're mostly a slow team.
  • You can make this many mistakes against the Royals and still win. We used to be the Royals. Heck, we're not that far removed - they're running Lucas Duda out there, and we almost did.

I guess a few questions...

How many plays has Gonzalez missed this year that he should have made? I can recall a great catch he made against Chicago and his catch last night in the ninth kept an incredibly fast runner off the bases. Is that balanced with several balls he should have caught like the Maldonado ball? I don’t recall others and I don’t see any on inside edge fielding.

Didn’t Adrianza have a game earlier this week against the Mariners where he showed off some excellent base running skill? If I recall he was on second and took third on a ball in the dirt. His secondary lead allowed him that base. He then followed by scoring with the infield in due a nice secondary and great slide. Those don’t seem like the moves of a plodding base runner.

#17 james2334

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 07:18 AM

 

 

Several takeaways for me, some already touched upon.

  • Marwin is a butcher in RF and isn't getting better. Either give him intensive drills, or play him elsewhere. Nelson Cruz used to play RF, and I bet he still could give you better innings out there than Marwin has shown us. Our backup right fielder is in Rochester. When Buxton sits, either use Rosario in center and put Marwin in left (where he's said to be good, I can't remember), or else give Ehire a try out there. Remember JD Martinez playing RF in the last World Series? Yeah. We're potentially facing that embarrassment when the stage gets bigger and we're not playing the Royals.
  • Cron, what the what? Shake it off and get 'em next game, I guess. I counted 3 plays that he would have made on a different day.
  • Ehire has a major league glove at all the infield positions, but he ain't perfect, as we saw again yesterday.
  • I trust four of our baserunners, Rosario and Kepler and Polanco and Buxton. If you're not in that list, don't go stretching a single into a double in a situation that would only work in a beer league. I'm looking at you, Jonathan Schoop; with two outs a double would be helpful, but it'll have to be the next guy, so be off at the crack of the bat and let him drive you around. It actually catches me by surprise that two capable middle-infielders on our roster, Schoop and Adrianza, are so plodding on the basepaths, but they are what they are. We're mostly a slow team.
  • You can make this many mistakes against the Royals and still win. We used to be the Royals. Heck, we're not that far removed - they're running Lucas Duda out there, and we almost did.

 

Fielders at all positions make errors, it happens no matter how good they are. Gonzo's drop was brutal, but his catch in the 9th was outstanding and I'm not sure very many others make that catch including Kepler. That catch changed the whole 9th inning. 

 

As for Schoop getting thrown out, I would take that chance with two outs every time the fielder just made a good play. 

 

On another note the Twins should have guests in the booth more often. The broadcast was much more entertaining, especially Johnny Bench. 

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#18 AlwaysinModeration

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 07:19 AM

When they finally get around to instituting an automated balls and strike system, Angel Hernandez will be argument #1. Or #1A (Joe West.)
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#19 AlwaysinModeration

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 07:22 AM

What percent of HR by German-born players does Koepka have now?


This seems like a trick question. I’m not sure how best to answer it, but by the end of today, he may have 100% of the last three US Opens (and, perhaps more appropriately, be 50% of the way towards a consecutive grand slam.)
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#20 Tom Froemming

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Posted 16 June 2019 - 07:24 AM

 

Gonzo's drop was brutal, but his catch in the 9th was outstanding and I'm not sure very many others make that catch including Kepler. That catch changed the whole 9th inning. 

Here that is for anybody who missed it:

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