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Article: MIN 4, LAA 3: Throw Down

byron buxton mitch garver blake parker kyle gibson
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#1 Tom Froemming

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 08:56 PM

Byron Buxton made a beautiful defensive play — this time with his arm — but it ended with Mitch Garver being assisted off the field, not putting any weight on his left leg. It was the loudest Target Field has been all year, immediately followed by concern for Garver, who hit his ninth home run earlier in the game.Box Score
Gibson: 5.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 5 K, 56.8% strikes (50 of 88 pitches)
Home Runs: Garver (9)
Multi-Hit Games: None
WPA of +0.1: Parker .229
WPA of -0.1: None
Download attachment: Win514.png
(chart via FanGraphs)

With the Twins clinging to a one-run lead, Brian Goodwin sent a solid single into center field. Buxton corralled the in-between hop, set himself and fired a bullet to home plate, right on the money, to nail Shohei Ohtani trying to score the game-tying run. This play … wow.

Garver did an excellent job at positioning himself wisely to make the catch and tag at home plate, but sometimes trouble just seems to find you no matter what you’re doing. Ohtani slid into his foot and Garver had to be assisted off the field.

According to old friend Rhett Bollinger, who is now the MLB.com beat writer for the Angels, that thrown from Buxton was 98.6 mph and traveled 253 feet. That play ended up being the difference in the game, as Blake Parker protected the one-run lead to earn his seventh save of the season.

Gibby’s Strike Rate
If there’s one number you can look at in regard to Kyle Gibson and have a pretty good indication of his overall performance it’s his strike percentage. When Gibson is able to throw a good amount of strikes, things typically go very well. If not, it tends to catch up with him eventually.

This has typically been characterized as Gibson nibbling. I’m not so sure if that’s necessarily accurate, I think it has more to do with his command than his confidence. But whatever your takeaway with Gibson’s difficulties throwing strikes, the numbers don’t lie. Check this out:
Download attachment: GibsonTable.png
When Gibson has a strike rate of 60% or higher, which has happened in exactly half of his starts this season, he’s tremendous. Unfortunately, Tuesday was not one of those nights. Gibson carried a shutout into the sixth inning, but he gave up three runs on four hits and a walk before being pulled.

RISP Review
A couple games ago I touched on how much this team was struggling to hit in clutch situations. Eddie Rosario got things off to a great start in this game. With two down and a runner in scoring position in the first inning, Rosie drove in Jorge Polanco with a single. Buxton drove in the Twins’ second run on another hit with two outs and a runner in scoring position.

Unfortunately, they couldn’t keep that mojo working. The Twins loaded the bases with two outs in the seventh inning, but C.J. Cron struck out to end the threat. Angels reliever Taylor Cole started the at bat with a slider out of the zone, threw a changeup that Cron fouled off, then amped it up to pound two 95 mph fastballs on the outside edge.

Three-Pitcher Inning
Rocco Baldelli used three pitchers in the seventh inning. Ryne Harper, who recorded the final out of the sixth inning, faced the first three batters. Tyler Duffey was called upon to face right-handed hitter David Fletcher. He gave up a single and Mike Morin was brought in to face left-handed hitter Tommy La Stella.

Strange. I’m not sure I’ve seen a three-pitcher inning where they were all right-handers. Usually there’s a LOOGY in the mix somewhere. Maybe this tells us that Morin, who has a killer changeup, is effectively the Twins LOOGY right now.

The Shift Works!
Well … sometimes. After a poor run of luck on the shift last night and some good conversations in the comments section of the game recap, I tried to pay closer attention to when it did work and wanted to come away with some visual evidence :).

There were a couple instances it worked, but the big one resulted in Mike Trout grounding into a double play.

Of course, the shift taketh and the shift giveth away. There were times it did not work, like when Shohei Ohtani hit a dribbler through the infield for an RBI single in the sixth inning.

Postgame With Baldelli

Bullpen Usage
Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:
Download attachment: Bullpen514.png
Next Three Games
Wed vs. LAA, 12:10 pm CT (Odorizzi-Cahill)
Thu at SEA, 9:10 pm CT (TBD-Swanson)
Fri at SEA, 9:10 pm CT (TBD)

Last Game
LAA 5, MIN 4: More Missed Opportunities

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#2 MNT1996

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 09:17 PM

That was a hell of a stressful game, but good teams manage and get the W in these gritty games. Twins did that.

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#3 AceWrigley

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 09:23 PM

This is the type of game that the last few years seemed hard to win. Get a lead, the other team comes back and grabs the momentum, then . . . well you know, another loss. Not tonite. Gibby hung in there until he didn't, then the pen men held the fort. Check out the ERA's of the relievers in the box score. Can't remember the last time seeing such a string of low ERA's. Hope Garv is alright. Go Twins!

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#4 MNT1996

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 09:27 PM

Also if Garver needs a DL stint we gotta bring up Sano. I don't trust Adrianza or Tortuga one bit in this line up. Sure Sano will strike out, but at least he'll bring a power threat.

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#5 Aerodeliria

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 09:29 PM

Well, we can all start breathing again at least.

 

Ohtani-san will be on the news again tonight, but he might be shown getting thrown out twice as well as the praising of his hits. (Personally, I like Ohtani-san to succeed, but not at the expense of a Twins' loss. Last night on just the sporting section of the news, they showed Ohtani-san's home run six times; his single once; they interviewed him after the game and they also interviewed the TV broadcaster for the Angels' games because apparently, he uses the term 'big fly' to indicate a home run, so clearly they were waiting for Ohtani-san to hit his first homer of the season so they could interview him. They have also now made the term 'big fly' into Japanese(ビッグ・フライ)and I suppose they are selling t-shirts as the broadcaster was wearing one. That is all to say, things just tend to get a little bit over the top--especially concerning Ohtani-san who is loved by virtually all Japanese across every generation.)

 

I wasn't really sure why Rocco switched from Harper to Duffey. It seemed like Harper was doing fine, but I really appreciated the switch from Duffey to Morin. I know that there are times when Duffey looks like Mariano Rivera (OK--maybe a stretch but it seems that way in the chatter), but in the context of today's game--clinging to a one run lead--I can say that he has been unreliable, so getting the hook was the right move IMHO.

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#6 jtkoupal

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 09:49 PM

Hope Garver is ok. The man was crushing it. Gotta get healthy and come back. The Twins have Castro and Astudillo who can hold down the fort in the meantime.

 

My money would be on Sanó getting the call-up. Guess the deliberation over Whether Adrianza or Astudillo or a pitcher was the odd-man out. Looks like this one may have worked itself out. Adrianza may be the #1 beneficiary, in my opinion.

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#7 USAFChief

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 10:01 PM

It's fun to care about winning or losing again.

I still maintain the Twins will not be able to survive this pen.

But good win tonight. Hopefully Garver isnt seriously hurt.
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#8 Danchat

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 10:05 PM

A high-ankle sprain is usually a multi-week injury, perhaps 2-4 weeks, at least in football. It may be more difficult to come back as a catcher since he'll be squatting so much.

 

This is why you don't trade Castro away 'cause now you'd be down to Astudillo and... Tomas Telis?

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#9 Aerodeliria

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 10:14 PM

 

A high-ankle sprain is usually a multi-week injury, perhaps 2-4 weeks, at least in football. It may be more difficult to come back as a catcher since he'll be squatting so much.

 

This is why you don't trade Castro away 'cause now you'd be down to Astudillo and... Tomas Telis?

 

Do you think the Twins will bring Telis or Sawyer up to the big club?


#10 Aerodeliria

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 10:56 PM

Rocco Baldelli nearly guaranteed himself a cameo appearance on Japanese TV by pointing out that Ohtani-san is one of the fastest players and that he runs like a gazelle. If the Japanese media find the clip posted here, it is almost a foregone conclusion.


#11 snotboogie

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 10:57 PM

High ankle sprains are nasty. I've had one, but I didn't have the benefit of a professional training staff. Hopefully Garver will be back soon.

 

Y'know I love Rocco and all, but y'know I wish I could just read a y'know transcript of his interviews with a certain y'know word edited out. 

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#12 Brock Beauchamp

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 11:02 PM

 

Do you think the Twins will bring Telis or Sawyer up to the big club?

No. That's why Astudillo exists. Either Sano is ready or they'll backfill with another reliever.

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#13 Don't Feed the Greed Guy

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Posted 14 May 2019 - 11:49 PM

Gonzalez was a Hoover tonight, picking up everything on the left side of the infield. And a Howitzer too.
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#14 Dantes929

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Posted 15 May 2019 - 12:04 AM

Pen won another game tonight. Walks always seem to loom large when the other team scores crooked numbers but especially for Gibson.  Whenever I see Gibson give up runs I look to see if he has walked anyone. Usually its how the first guy gets on base.

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#15 h2oface

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Posted 15 May 2019 - 02:15 AM

 

That is all to say, things just tend to get a little bit over the top--especially concerning Ohtani-san who is loved by virtually all Japanese across every generation.)

 

I had to look it up to see why you were going all -san.
https://www.sljfaq.o...faq/titles.html

 

Houston doesn't seem to have any trouble blowing out Detroit.

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#16 Original Whizzinator

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Posted 15 May 2019 - 03:37 AM

I had to look it up to see why you were going all -san.https://www.sljfaq.o...faq/titles.html
 
Houston doesn't seem to have any trouble blowing out Detroit.


They had a little trouble doing it to the TWINS
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#17 David HK

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Posted 15 May 2019 - 04:43 AM

Welp, I'm just an old-school old fart, but I'm wondering how it would play back home if Ohtani-san got to wear one in the seat of the pants his first AB, just for the hell of it.

#18 MMMordabito

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Posted 15 May 2019 - 06:12 AM

I had to look it up to see why you were going all -san.
https://www.sljfaq.o...faq/titles.html

Houston doesn't seem to have any trouble blowing out Detroit.


Yep, and according to some they don't even have Babe Ruth at catcher and Rod Carew at shortstop. AJ Hinch is a genius!!!
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#19 rdehring

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Posted 15 May 2019 - 06:49 AM

A high ankle sprain bothers me, especially for a catcher.Hopefully, it is a couple weeks and doesn't linger all season.

 

Duff looked so good in his inning last weekend.But last night he was like a deer in headlights.Come on, Duff, the Twins need ya!

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#20 Number3

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Posted 15 May 2019 - 07:30 AM

 

Gonzalez was a Hoover tonight, picking up everything on the left side of the infield. And a Howitzer too.

That is what bothers me about Sano playing 3b on an every day basis. Would show up in the L column I am afraid. These types of games are what make the difference in Oct. Definitely one of the 42.

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