If it all correlates, then the same direct line that runs through the proper amount of rest and his effectiveness should also run through what is a velocity that is capable of success, which when he was rested last year appears to be 92 MPH. Since rest is pretty arbitrary and his effectiveness can't be determined until after the fact, shouldn't we just determine if we want to go forward with him based on his velocity which has already shown to be an effective gauge of his success?
I'm right there with you Nick. The only thing I care about during his rehab stint is velocity readings. Getting AAA hitters out shouldn't be much of a challenge for an 8 year MLB vet... I don't think his outcome is a good indicator whether he's ready or not. If the velocity doesn't come back, I'm afraid we have another Phil Hughes situation. Reed's secondary offerings aren't good enough to overcome a straight 90 MPH fastball.