It's not just cash. It's cash PLUS a draft pick. It's probably nitpicky, but that pick should be worth a lot to the Twins. Kimbrel will probably have several suitors after the draft when the draft pick penalty goes away.
I was thinking about this....
If you're either of the two big names out there at this point do you prefer a 1 year deal? Sure you'd have to do it all over again next winter, but without the draft compensation attached. Counterpoint to that, it sure would be nice to get that guaranteed money you've been chasing for 7 months.
If you're a team, how does the price/deal change from before the draft until after it starts. If you're giving up a draft pick you'd like to get more than 4 months out of the guy.... unless the price is right. After the draft, you're just buying a hired gun and he's going to go to the highest bidder.
With Keuchel I'd go 2/30 right now and eat the draft pick, but before the draft if I was doing a 1-year deal it'd have to be pretty inexpensive. Like.... $10M. After the draft, I'm sure he'll get a 1-year $15M offer from someone.
Pretty much the same thing for Kimbrel, but maybe dial back those prices by 20%
The advantage Kimbrel would have is that I'm sure a RP can dial it up to full speed faster than a SP, after the signing.
Edited by amjgt, 30 April 2019 - 01:40 PM.