Posted 15 March 2019 - 07:12 PM
I absolutely am on board with an extension. I also believe he truly did re-invent himself the last half of 2017 and it carried over through 2018. And to be honest, I'm not sure we've seen the best of Gbson yet with this new coaching staff onboard, as well as just experience. Remember, he's only 31. He should be primed for, potentially, the best 2-4 years of his career.
IMO, Gibson has earned a very unfair and un-deserved reputation over his career. Much like Berrios, and many/most young pitchers, you almost have to throw out his debut, 2013 in this case. He was a rookie getting his first taste of MLB, coming off TJ surgery, probably tiring, and put up bad numbers in a SEA of 51 IP. (Still better overall numbers than Berrios in situations).
2014 was his first full season and he missed rookie status by 1 IP. He had a nice, quality season. Other than his W-L record, he improved in virtually every category in 2015. For whatever reason, the wheels came off in 2016, as they seemed to for the entire team in that horrendous year. The wheels were still spinning the first half of 2017 before he really found himself.
So in short, he had 2 very solid, quality years, a pretty bad 1 1/2 season's, followed by the best 1 1/2 he's ever had. Just do the math. Numbers can be interpreted in different ways, argued and manipulated even, but they can't be denied. 3 1/2 good to very good seasons vs 1 1/2 poor seasons. And his very best have been the most recent.
All that being said...and I may sound like I'm contradicting myself, but I'm really not...the market has shifted and there is not a sustained pattern of success to place him in a "top of the rotation" category in regard to potential contract earnings. I believe a contract should be 3-4yrs in length, and should average out to about $14M per. I'm fine with a bump to around $15M or so. The money would be guaranteed, of course, so I'd try my best to front load the first couple of years due to future contract situations for the rest of the roster.
"Nice catch Hayes...don't ever f*****g do it again."