how do you plan to get great pitching, if you won't trade top prospects, or sign guys to long term deals?
A couple years ago someone made a similar statement. I put up a chart of all of the playoff teams and the source of their SPs. It was overwhelmingly how grown. Some were drafted and some were trades before the player became established. Granted, that has shifted some the last couple years.
There were 2 relatively high profile free agent SPslast year. Collectively they produced 2WAR for $51M (Arietta-2 / Darvish-0)
There were not any high profile SPs in 2017. Rich Hill was the highest price FA at less than $13M AAV.
In 2016, there were 4 high profile signings. Two of them (Price / Cueto) produced well in 2016. The other two not so much. Production went down for the group in 2017. Only Greinke was good. The other 3 produced 1.6 - 1.0 WAR.Production down even further in 2018 where this group averaged 1.825WAR
21.00 / 126 Darvish ….. 0
25.00 / 75 Arietta…... 2
34.40 / 206 - Zack Greinke 2.2/5.1/3.5
31.00 / 217 - David Price 4.5/1.6/2.7
23.00 / 110 - Jordan Zimmerman 1.3/ 1/ 0.9
21.66 / 130 - Johnny Cueto 5.5/1.2/ 0.2
Average WAR per year ………....3.375 2.225 1.825
The premise that signing this type of free agent has a high probability of making the team better is not supported by recent history and the history is the front end where the production should be very good. All four of these deals look bleak in terms of the final years. They produced 1WAR/$18M last year and that's going to look good compared to the final years.
Edited by Major League Ready, 30 November 2018 - 08:19 AM.