Of course it doesn't work that way.Teams want to profit, so if they expect a player to earn $30M dollar value, they'll want to pay $15-$20M.The $/WAR number is not irrelevant though, as that's a calculated number (albeit some variations year-to-year) to show how much it has cost salary-wise to get WAR out of a player.
I think the point is more that if a player has 2.7 WAR on an awful year (classified as a 'solid starter' by FanGraphs), and has averaged 4.2 WAR/year (All-Star by FanGraphs), then they are worth a qualifying offer. Especially one of high character like Brian Dozier.
That's really not true at all either. Teams do not pay 2.7 WAR players $15-20 million / year in the open market.
Take a look at the Twins most recent off-season.
Logan Morrison (3.7 WAR 2017) - 1 year/ $8 million
Lance Lynn (3.2 WAR 2017) - 1 year / $12 million
Addison Reed (2.4 WAR 2017) - 2 years / $16 million
Will the Twins (if they don't trade him, which i expect they will) make Dozier a qualifying offer? Maybe if he heats up in 2nd half? They likely can pay Nick Gordon $550k to produce a win or two above replacement as a rookie and spend the $17-18 million elsewhere.
His character also has no bearing, how he hits the ball does.
Edited by alarp33, 12 July 2018 - 04:48 PM.