Here's a good read from MinnPost's Pat Borzi on Trevor Larnach (and the draft strategy in general): LINK
1. The Twins have emphasized taking position players early, as scouting direction Sean Johnson, because of injury risk/flame out potential of high slot pitchers. This method was first identified by the Chicago Cubs after Epstein and company took over. The Cub wanted position players rather than pitchers early in the draft because they viewed those players as cornerstones, guys they could built around. Pitching could be acquired or developed later. This is probably the better route to go considering the difficulty of getting top pitcher picks up to speed.
Since 2000, the Twins have targeted 17 pitchers with first round picks. Only Glen Perkins, Matt Garza, Kyle Gibson and Jose Berrios have provided value. Seven have not or have yet to pitch in a Twins uniform (Tyler Jay, Kohl Stewart, Hudson Boyd, Matt Bashore, Carlos Guetierrez, Shooter Hunt and Jay Rainville). Others have made little to no impact (Luke Bard, Matt Fox, Alex Wimmers, Kyle Waldrop, Adam Johnson).
With the four arms, the Twins did find some value over the last 18 years but it has been a low percentage play. The Twins have invested a lot of analytic power into the draft since Falvey/Levine have arrived, impressing many on the staff from before the regime change. Targeting bats is a much better proposition.
2. Back to Larnach... I loved the part about him discussing working with a hitting instructor to unlock his power.
“I never had a hitting coach in high school,” Larnach said. “The only time I started to work on it and change my swing was when I started struggling at Oregon State. I was able to work with somebody and not only get an understanding of the swing, but take bits and pieces out of my own swing mechanically and put new parts in. That helps add the power to all fields.”
He went from 3 home runs in 2017 to 19 home runs in 2018. That was a good adjustment.