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Vegas sets odds on signing teams signing Ohtani

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#1 John Bonnes

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 10:48 AM

It seems Vegas (and gamblers) are nowhere near as optimistic about the Twins signing Ohtani as folks are locally. I got this in my email this week:

 

 

 

BetDSI.eu has opened odds on which team will sign Shohei Ohtani as well as his projected season stats for batting average and earned run average. Oddsmakers view the Yankees as the team most likely to sign Ohtani, but the odds are tight among the top 4 contenders.

Shohei Ohtani team for 2018 MLB season (must sign with MLB team for action)

New York Yankees +175
Los Angeles Dodgers +300
Seattle Mariners +350
Texas Rangers +500
Tampa Bay Rays +1200
Los Angeles Angels +1200
Chicago Cubs +1200
Boston Red Sox +1400
Field (any team not listed above) +1000

 

So if you think the Twins have better than a 10:1 chance, rush to get a bet in, because you also win if any more than 21 other MLB teams sign him, too. 

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#2 nicksaviking

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 11:20 AM

Tampa? What am I missing? Is Ohtani a fan of shuffleboard?

#3 Hosken Bombo Disco

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 11:30 AM

noise

It's a mere moment in a man's life between the All Star

Game and an old timer's game. - Vin Scully


#4 nytwinsfan

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 12:24 PM

 

Tampa? What am I missing? Is Ohtani a fan of shuffleboard?

 

It is because by last year drafting and publicly stating recpeatedly that they will develop McKay as a two-way player they have CREDIBLY shown they are willing to have a player develop as a two-way player. That seems to be something Ohtani cares a lot about. He may not trust others who claim the same as much, because the others have never actually pulled the trigger like Tampa has seemingly done with McKay. That being said, while it is something Tampa has going for it, I still don't think the odds are as high as Vegas thinks for Tampa.


#5 drjim

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 12:49 PM

It is because by last year drafting and publicly stating recpeatedly that they will develop McKay as a two-way player they have CREDIBLY shown they are willing to have a player develop as a two-way player. That seems to be something Ohtani cares a lot about. He may not trust others who claim the same as much, because the others have never actually pulled the trigger like Tampa has seemingly done with McKay. That being said, while it is something Tampa has going for it, I still don't think the odds are as high as Vegas thinks for Tampa.


Don't buy it either. No higher than the Twins minimal chances.
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Papers...business papers.

#6 HrbekRules

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 06:18 PM

Normally Vegas is good with these odds. But, in this case they don’t, since their number one team has already been told they are no longer being considered, that would be the Yankees! Ohtani is looking for a small market or west coast team.
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#7 h2oface

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 06:34 PM

Interesting. None of these odds mean a thing to the guy making the decision. But Vegas is always looking for suckers to take some $ from.

Edited by h2oface, 03 December 2017 - 06:35 PM.


#8 ashburyjohn

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 06:57 PM

Interesting. None of these odds mean a thing to the guy making the decision. But Vegas is always looking for suckers to take some $ from.

That's the kind of bet you want, isn't it*? Pete Rose was banned because of this concern.

 

* Unless you have inside information.

If the first person on the phone can't answer your question, it's a bureaucracy.


#9 blindeke

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 06:57 PM

Betting the field might be wise!


#10 DaveW

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 10:01 PM

I’d put $1,000 on Seattle at 3.5:1

But imagine after tonight it’s closer to 1.5:1

Aaron Hicks 2017 stats so far (5/17/17): .326 BA .464 OBP .616 SLG 1.080 OPS  7 HR 19 RBI 6 SB 22 BBs 1.8WAR