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It's Never Too Early for Magic Number

al wild card magic number playoffs twins
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#21 Mike Sixel

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Posted 20 September 2017 - 08:20 AM

 

Thank you Cleveland. Down to 11 with 11 games to play.

Is anyone else glad that the Angels may trot out Ricky Nolasco three times in their final 12 games?

 

Losing Meyer to injury is a real bummer for them, as is having no farm system they could have used to trade for legit SP.....Imagine if they had added Verlander...

I remain hopeful on Buxton and Sano.....but I'd not bet the franchise on them.


#22 AlwaysinModeration

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Posted 20 September 2017 - 08:31 AM

Losing Meyer to injury is a real bummer for them, as is having no farm system they could have used to trade for legit SP.....Imagine if they had added Verlander...


I went looking for news on Meyer and found the news on his labrum surgery. Then I found the 200-post thread on him in the other baseball forums. Whole lotta hand wringing going on!

That is a shame about Meyer. I had high hopes for him, felt the Twins didn't give him the chance he deserved, and was disappointed he was traded.

But back to the point. Let's hope Nolasco gives up 2-3 home runs per start over these next three games.
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#23 tvagle

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Posted 20 September 2017 - 11:20 AM

Prior to Today's Games

 

9-20 Win and Tribe help gets us to single digits

 

Win and Tribe help gets us to single digits

Is it 2020 yet?


#24 tvagle

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Posted 21 September 2017 - 12:37 AM

Making the Yanks overconfident...Mission Accomplished...See you on the 3rd

 

9-21 Morning Standings

 

Thank You Cleveland!

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Is it 2020 yet?


#25 AlwaysinModeration

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Posted 21 September 2017 - 10:06 PM

Down to 8. Thank you Cleveland again. Now, feel free to lose all of the rest of your games.

#26 tvagle

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Posted 21 September 2017 - 10:25 PM

9-21 End of Day...Not staying up for Rangers Score

 

9-21 End of Day...Not staying up for Rangers Score

 

Is it 2020 yet?


#27 tvagle

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Posted 22 September 2017 - 08:40 AM

9-22

Rangers Win 4th Straight...

Coincidentally M's drop 6th straight (imagine the kerfuffle that would cause on Twins Daily if that was the Twins)

 

 

9-22 Rangers Win M's drop

 

 

Is it 2020 yet?


#28 spycake

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Posted 22 September 2017 - 08:54 AM

 

Coincidentally M's drop 6th straight (imagine the kerfuffle that would cause on Twins Daily if that was the Twins)

Interestingly, Seattle hasn't fallen back too much in that time -- 3.5 games to 5 games behind the 2nd wild card.  But as late as it is, their playoffs chances have gone from long shot (5.3%) to virtually zero shot (0.3%).  As noted in the other thread, they are a risk for rolling over for Texas next weekend.


#29 tvagle

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Posted 22 September 2017 - 11:08 PM

Rangers and Angels both lose...Twins WIN

 

8 to go Magic Number 6

 

9-23 Couldn't be Better

 

Just realized...Magic Number = MN (it's fate)

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Is it 2020 yet?


#30 PseudoSABR

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 12:48 AM

Weird.  3.5 game lead with 8 to go.  Twins will make the playoffs (er, one game wild card thingy), baring the very unlikely. Who'd a thought? 


#31 diehardtwinsfan

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 08:25 PM

4 over the angels now... Rangers TBD, but if they lose it's 4... 

 

 


#32 jimmer

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 08:27 PM

 

4 over the angels now... Rangers TBD, but if they lose it's 4... 

4.5 over the Angels and Royals, 4 over the Rangers.


#33 spinowner

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 08:51 PM

Baltimore has been eliminated from contention for the postseason.


#34 spinowner

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 09:52 PM

 

4.5 over the Angels and Royals, 4 over the Rangers.

Texas loses to Oakland 1-0. All three teams now 4.5 back.

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#35 mikecgrimes

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 09:54 PM

I'm guessing the Twins have at least a 30% of getting in if they don't win another game

Edited by mikecgrimes, 23 September 2017 - 09:55 PM.

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#36 tvagle

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 11:03 PM

9-23 MN (Magic Number) 4 with 7 to go

Orioles preparing for long flight south

 

9-23 MN 4 with 7 to go O's is Done

 

Latest projections and probabilities based upon MGF*:

 

2 Wins and we're in

 

*MGF - My Gut Feeling

Edited by tvagle, 23 September 2017 - 11:08 PM.

Is it 2020 yet?


#37 wagwan

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Posted 23 September 2017 - 11:32 PM

If the Twins get swept in Cleveland... a real possibility. . and either KC LA or Texas wins 4 in a row ... the Twins' lead would be less than 2 with 3 to play. It's not over yet

Edited by wagwan, 23 September 2017 - 11:33 PM.


#38 Brock Beauchamp

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Posted 24 September 2017 - 12:36 AM

If the Twins get swept in Cleveland... a real possibility. . and either KC LA or Texas wins 4 in a row ... the Twins' lead would be less than 2 with 3 to play. It's not over yet

Think about what you just said and the probability of it happening.

Somewhere in there, you’ll likely find the ~5% of the Twins not making the postseason.
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#39 wagwan

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Posted 24 September 2017 - 02:47 AM

Not unlikely at all. The Twins could get swept easily. Cleveland has done it twice already this season. Then they got hot. Meanwhile it would only take one of those three teams, doesn't matter which one to have a modest win streak. The Angels are due. KC and Texas are streaking.
A win today would help but a 4 game sweep on the road is tough. So I see the Twins likely to lose 4 in a row.
Personally I hope they clobber the Indians and clinch in Cleveland. But I bet there will be meaningful games at Target next weekend against Detroit.

#40 wagwan

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Posted 24 September 2017 - 03:24 AM

Also the Royals and Angels are playing the White Sox and Tigers while the Twins are playing the Indians.
I like their chances but there will be sone hand wringing before its over.



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