Probable Starters: Matt Garza (5-5, 3.68 ERA) vs Adalberto Mejia (4-5, 4.30 ERA)
1. Today’s Special Event
I’ve whipped up a little game on Sporcle, a website for quizzes. If you click the link below, you can try and remember which 25 players where on the Twins roster on the same day one year ago. Can you go 25 for 25? Go ahead and try and post your score in the comments!
(Rules: You have 4 minutes to guess all 25 players and you can eliminate them by typing in their last names. Good luck!)
2. Twins Pitchers Summer Stats
Let’s look at how Twins pitchers have fared from June to August so far, and perhaps we will find some interesting things in their stat lines. (stats come from Baseball-Reference’s Game Logs)
(ERA, WHIP, K/9)
Ervin Santana 4.84, 1.386, 7.6
Kyle Gibson 4.97, 1.563, 5.8
Jose Berrios 4.30, 1.304, 8.0
Adalberto Mejia 4.19, 1.508, 7.5
Bartolo Colon 7.88, 1.719, 4.8
Matt Belisle 1.67, 1.037, 7.0
Trevor Hildenberger 2.70, 1.050, 9.9
Ryan Pressly 2.66, .836, 8.4
Buddy Boshers 3.97, 1.323, 7.5
Taylor Rogers 4.32, 1.28, 7.92
Tyler Duffey 5.55, 1.52, 8.1
Wow, has this bullpen improved or what? Belisle, Hildenberger, and Pressly have been lights out since June and they’ve done a great job at keeping runners off the bases. Rogers and Boshers have been alright as of late, even with Rogers’ slump the past few weeks. Duffey has definitely struggled and you have to wonder what’s up with him. I think he will stick as a reliever but he’s found himself near the back-end of the bullpen.
Meanwhile, looking at the rotation, Ervin hasn’t been very good this summer. He’s been regressing back to his FIP (4.79 on the season) and seems to be reverting into the #3 pitcher he has always been, not the ace we had for a few months. Gibson has been replacement level but not as bad as in the first half, Berrios has been alright but he can get better, and I’m a bit concerned about Mejia. He has failed to pitch in long starts and finds himself pulled by the 4th or 5th inning – he needs to allow less baserunners and throw less pitches per inning/batter. I’m not buying Colon’s success – he’s clearly better than he was in Atlanta but he’s still not very good. The one thing he does do well is throw strikes and give up almost no walks – so far he’s been Hughes-esque in that department.
4. Examining Matt Garza
After having a dismal 2015 and 2016 season, Matt Garza is having a far better season in 2017. Here are his numbers:
2015-16: 5.18 ERA, 4.60 FIP, 1.54 WHIP, 6.3 K/9
2017: 3.68 ERA, 4.03 FIP, 1.25 WHIP, 6.1 K/9
Garza’s numbers are looking a lot better thus far and it’s thanks to giving up less walks and hits. (10.6 hits per 9 IP from 2015-16 compared to 8.5 hits per 9 IP so far in 2017). He’ll give the Twins a run for their money today as they’ll need a better start from Mejia to defeat the Brewers.
Alright Twins… let’s get back over .500!