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Joe Mauer love fest

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#21 spinowner

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Posted 01 June 2017 - 08:40 AM

You should have stopped off in Vegas on May 1 and found a sports book somewhere that would have taken you up on your prediction. Not too late for June, I suppose.

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#22 PopRiveter

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Posted 01 June 2017 - 09:03 AM

 

 

It's all very weird that he's not getting results. My prediction: huge month of May.

340/380/450/830

I'm impressed. You made a pretty bold prediction based on really sound logic, and nailed it. 

 

You're hired.

 

Looking at the numbers you posted, it seems to indicate he maybe swung a tad harder in May, but mostly just trusted his approach and it paid off. 

 

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#23 DaveW

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Posted 02 June 2017 - 07:26 AM

Man, if he can keep this up (maybe not at this pace) but end the season above a .840 OPS, I think that almost guarantees his place in the hall of fame.

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<p>Aaron Hicks 2017 stats so far (5/17/17): .326 BA .464 OBP .616 SLG 1.080 OPS 7 HR 19 RBI 6 SB 22 BBs 1.8WAR

#24 Mike Sixel

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Posted 02 June 2017 - 08:09 AM

He looked so EXCITED after the triple play!*

 

*note, I don't care, but it seemed funny to me for some reason.

Edited by Mike Sixel, 02 June 2017 - 08:09 AM.

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It's been a fun year so far, GO Twins. 


#25 Linus

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 08:50 AM

Seems appropriate to note Joe's night. 4-5 with a homer. I'm starting to believe he is a different hitter.

#26 jimbo92107

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 10:09 AM

Joe Mauer is playing gold glove defense at first base, and he has raised his season average to .294 with a scorching hot May. This is the closest we've seen to a fully healthy Mauer in several years. He looks confident and strong at the plate. Yay!

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#27 Darius

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 10:16 AM

The last month has been vintage Joe Mauer. If he can keep hitting this way, it could end up being one of the better seasons of his career.

That makes this a scary lineup, potentially. It's not out of the question for Dozier and Buxton to get hot like they did last year. Throw that in a lineup with the current production of Mauer, Sano, and Kepler....toss in a steady .250-.260 with pop from Rosario and Polanco....and that's pretty ridiculous.

#28 USAFChief

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 10:40 AM

Great production from Mauer in recent weeks. It's great to see and I hope he keeps it up. This kind of Mauer really helps the lineup.

I'm surprised, but glad to be. I hope to be flabbergasted by season's end.
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#29 SQUIRREL

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 11:10 AM

Seems appropriate to note Joe's night. 4-5 with a homer. I'm starting to believe he is a different hitter.


I'm starting to believe that maybe it really was concussion issues and he's finally through to the other side. But I'll revisit at the end of the season. That said, he's really quite the first baseman. His defense has really carried the youngsters over on the left side of the infield.
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#30 SQUIRREL

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 11:11 AM

Great production from Mauer in recent weeks. It's great to see and I hope he keeps it up. This kind of Mauer really helps the lineup.
I'm surprised, but glad to be. I hope to be flabbergasted by season's end.


I hope you are flabbergasted at end of season, too!
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#31 Hosken Bombo Disco

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 11:35 AM

I saw that diving play Mauer made last night. Unbelievable.
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#32 Pardon My Dinger

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 12:06 PM

Man, if he can keep this up (maybe not at this pace) but end the season above a .840 OPS, I think that almost guarantees his place in the hall of fame.


Would help if he can grab a golf glove at a second position too.
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#33 Pardon My Dinger

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 12:07 PM

Would help if he can grab a golf glove at a second position too.


Yeah, golf glove. That's obviously what I meant.
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#34 DaveW

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 12:27 PM

He definitely should win the gold glove at first base.

"All star gold glove first baseman with a .300 average"

/byto
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<p>Aaron Hicks 2017 stats so far (5/17/17): .326 BA .464 OBP .616 SLG 1.080 OPS 7 HR 19 RBI 6 SB 22 BBs 1.8WAR

#35 LaBombo

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 12:27 PM

 

I'm surprised, but glad to be. I hope to be flabbergasted by season's end.

 

My dad just had that flabbergastric bypass surgery, lost 30 pounds already. 

Edited by LaBombo, 03 June 2017 - 12:32 PM.

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#36 ashbury

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 02:53 PM

Great production from Mauer in recent weeks. It's great to see and I hope he keeps it up. This kind of Mauer really helps the lineup.

I'm surprised, but glad to be. I hope to be flabbergasted by season's end.

I'm holding out for gobsmacked.

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#37 ashbury

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 02:53 PM

I saw that diving play Mauer made last night. Unbelievable.

Pff. Ozzie Smith would make plays like that in his sleep.

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#38 Mr. Brooks

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 04:12 PM

Pff. Ozzie Smith would make plays like that in his sleep.


He must have been tired!
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#39 Oxtung

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Posted 03 June 2017 - 04:18 PM

Joe had a .403 BABIP in May which is unsustainable. Of course his .243 in April was as well. Without doing the actual math and assuming he continues to strike the ball as he has so far this season he should end up somewhere between .750 and .800 OPS for season.
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#40 Mike Frasier Law

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Posted 06 June 2017 - 08:34 AM

 

Joe had a .403 BABIP in May which is unsustainable. Of course his .243 in April was as well. Without doing the actual math and assuming he continues to strike the ball as he has so far this season he should end up somewhere between .750 and .800 OPS for season.

 

I'd definitely take the over on this. On the year, he has a .775 OPS with a .315 BABIP.

Career his BABIP is .340. That makes sense with his line-drive heavy profile.

 

Currently, he's right on track with his career line drives. But his ground ball% is better: 42.7% v 50.6% career. He's hitting a lot more fly balls.

 

Fly balls have a slightly lower BABIP than ground balls, (.239 v. .207) but they more than make up for it with the power potential (.020 ISO v. .378 ISO). So, with this batted ball profile, we'd expect to see his BABIP a little lower than career, but his slugging% higher than his career.

 

This is particularly true because he's hitting the ball as hard or harder than ever. His hard hit% is at 36.6% v 33.4% for his career. That is pre-concussion Mauer power:

 

Year   Hard hit%   OPS

2007  36.9%        808

2009  37.6%        1031

2010  41.7%        871

2012  37.1%        862 

2013  37.4%       880

 

2017  36.6%         775

 

So I bet he ends up over 800 OPS, absent an injury.

 

 

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