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Fernando Romero - 2017

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#21 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 26 June 2017 - 10:39 AM

Appearance No. 14 (06/25/17)

 

Pitching on 11-day rest, Fernando faced the Pensacola Blue Wahoos—a Cincinnati Reds affiliate—for the first time this season.   Like the Lookouts, the Blue Wahoos won their division in the first-half securing a place in the playoffs.   But it was the Blue Wahoos pitching that carried them during the first half and their lineup (9th in the 10-team Southern League) was overmatched against Fernando despite the call-up and addition of the Reds’ No. 1 prospect, 3B Nick Senzel (No. 20 overall at MLB.com).   Fernando threw a complete-game shutout (only 7-innings because they played a double-header) leading the Lookouts to a 6-0 win.

 

 Fernando faced 26 batters over 7.0 innings giving up just 3 hits (including 1 double) and zero runs. He threw a season-high 100 pitches and struck out 6 Blue Wahoos (all swinging). Despite issuing 3 walks and 1 HBP, only one runner reached third base. This was a very strong performance and arguably the best of Fernando’s season. Personally, it has my vote primarily because I was starting to get worried about Fernando’s health. He was next up in the rotation at the All-Star break and did not pitch in the All-Star Game because it was rained out.  Yet, after the break, Gonsalves and Jorge started the first two games and I could not find anything online explaining why Fernando was skipped.    Given his strong performance, we can safely assume the reason was not injury-related and was perhaps related to managing his innings and/or appearances. In any event, I am glad to see Fernando get some rest and pick up where he left off.  FYI, Senzel was 0-3 with a strikeout against Fernando.

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 7.0     3        0        0        3        6        0        2.97

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:78.2

ERA:2.97

FIP:2.94

WHIP:1.27

AVG: .231

GO/AO: 1.80

K/9:8.7

BB/9:3.4

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

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#22 Ben Noble

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Posted 26 June 2017 - 10:43 AM

Great game, and really happy to see the pitch count up to triple digits.


#23 jimbo92107

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Posted 26 June 2017 - 12:13 PM

Reading the progression over the season, looks to me like Romero is exactly where he belongs. I wouldn't completely rule out a September call-up, but there are other guys I'd bring up before him, like Jorge and Gonsalves. Romero should be knocking hard on the door by next spring. If he's as good as predicted, a rotation with Santana, Berrios, Gonsalves, Romero and Jorge could be pretty darn good. 

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#24 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 05 July 2017 - 12:33 PM

Appearance No. 15 (07/01/17)

 

Fernando’s start against the Mississippi Braves was cut short by a storm that forced a postponement.  He pitched only 2 innings before the game was called.  The 1st inning was an easy 1-2-3 but, in the 2nd inning, Fernando found himself in a no-out, bases-loaded jam after a single followed by two walks. Impressively, he worked out the jam by striking out the next two batters then inducing a ground ball to 3rd base.  Fernando had 3 strikeouts and 2 walks and did not allow a run. When the game was postponed, the score was 0-0 and the Lookouts won the game 5-4 when it was completed the next day.

 

After 15 appearances, Fernando is striking out 22.7% of the batters he faces. He has a 54.4% GB% and a 20.3% LD%. Opposing batters have posted a slash-line of .231/.315/.316 (.631 OPS).   Fernando had a very good June and, other than a few games with more walks than we’d like to see, he’s been nearly dominant his last 6 appearances. Let’s hope he doesn’t lose any more starts to weather and that he keeps building his innings with similar results.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 2.0     1        0        0        2        3        0        2.90

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:80.2

ERA:2.90

FIP:2.96

WHIP:1.28

AVG: .231

GO/AO: 1.81

K/9:8.8

BB/9:3.6

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P


#25 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 07 July 2017 - 10:35 AM

Appearance No. 16 (07/06/17)

 

Fernando pitched well (but was not dominant) in his second start against the Tennessee Smokies. Unfortunately, the Lookouts’ lineup was shut down by the Smokies' pitchers and Fernando being good was not enough.  He was trailing 2-1 when he was replaced at the start of the sixth inning and that ended up being the final score in the Lookouts’ loss.

 

The most disappointing part of this outing is that Fernando completed only 5 innings which is the fewest he’s thrown in 8 weeks (excluding last week’s postponement). That prior start was limited by weather to only 2 innings and he’d only thrown 86 pitches when lifted in this game.  He’d also struck out 2 batters in a clean 5th inning so it’s not entirely clear why he didn’t continue pitching into the 6th inning.  Fernando faced 22 batters over 5.0 innings giving up 6 hits (including 1 double and 1 home run) and walking one.  He struck out 7 Smokies (5 swinging) and had 1 HBP.  He also gave up his 3rd home run of the season to 3B Jason Vosler, a 23-year old non-prospect according to MLB.com’ ranking of Cubs prospects, who happens to be second in the Southern League with 15 HRs and third with a .879 OPS.  Given his age, I expect Vosler will crack the top-25 when that list is updated.

 

In any event, Fernando’s outing was good and only a step back in the context of his recent dominance.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     6        2        2        1        7        0        2.90

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:85.2

ERA:2.94

FIP:3.02

WHIP:1.28

AVG: .235

GO/AO: 1.69

K/9:9.0

BB/9:3.5

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P


#26 Oldgoat_MN

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Posted 07 July 2017 - 10:51 AM

There is a good chance Romero will be successful as an MLB pitcher some day. Possibly next year. I am anxious to see him continue on the statistical path he has set for himself.

Gotta keep those walks down. Every game he pitches that is the first stat I look at.

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#27 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 12 July 2017 - 10:30 AM

Appearance No. 17 (07/11/17)

 

Facing the Pensacola Blue Wahoos for the second time in four starts, Fernando dominated in another short outing.   Like last game, he was removed after only 5 innings, this time after only 63 pitches.   The Lookouts were leading 1-0 when Fernando was replaced but lost the game 4-1.

 

There is no report that Fernando was injured during this game.  Assuming that he was not (fingers crossed), Twins management has definitely implemented a work-load management plan.  Seth Stohs recently posted a comment indicating he’s been told that such a plan is in place. If true, we’ll have to wait and see to what end?   If they’ve assigned Fernando a bright-line innings limit, management may be trying to ensure that he has innings left when the Southern League playoffs begin.   The plan could also be related to an anticipated September call-up to the Twins (he is already on the 40-man roster).   In any event, it should be noted that Fernando established a career high for innings pitched this game.

  

Fernando faced 16 batters over 5.0 innings giving up only 2 hits and 1 walk. He struck out 5 Blue Wahoos (3 swinging) and no runner reached second base.   In short, Fernando was on top of his game and on pace for his best start of the season.  In that respect, it was frustrating that the work-load plan came into play.  But, trusting that the plan is for the greater good, it doesn’t get much better than Fernando’s outing given the constraints he was pitching under.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     2        0        0        1        5        0        2.78

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:    90.2

ERA:    2.78

FIP: 2.93

WHIP: 1.25

AVG:  .231

GO/AO:  1.69

K/9: 9.0

BB/9: 3.4

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 12 July 2017 - 10:34 AM.

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#28 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 26 July 2017 - 09:19 AM

Appearance Nos. 18 & 19 (07/16/17 & 07/22/17)

 

While I was off on vacation, Fernando logged two more 5-inning starts leading the Lookouts to two more victories.  It is crystal clear now that management has capped his appearances at 5 innings for the time being.  Fernando has been pulled from each of the last four starts after 5 innings regardless of his pitch count.

 

On July 16th, Fernando faced the Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp for the first time since April 14th, when he had a very poor outing in which he gave up 3 runs on 5 walks and 3 hits in 2.2 innings. Fernando was much better in this game but not at his best. Like the first game, the Jumbo Shrimp put a lot of men on base but this game Fernando was able to limit the damage. He faced 23 batters over 5.0 innings giving up 2 runs on 6 hits (including 1 double) and 3 walks.  Fernando threw 82 pitches (54 for strikes) and struck out 6 batters. He may have been helped along by a generous strike zone as 5 batters went down looking (by far the most this season). The Lookouts were leading 3-2 when Fernando was relieved and went on to win 5-2.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     6        2        2        3        6        0        2.82

 

On July 22nd, Fernando faced the Mobile BayBears for the first time since April 8th, which was also a rough outing in which he surrendered 3 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks in 3.1 innings. In this game, however, Fernando was in control throughout despite allowing runners in each inning.  He faced 22 batters over 5.0 innings giving up 3 hits and 3 walks but 0 runs. He threw 82 pitches again (54 for strikes, again – weird right?) and struck out 6 BayBears (4 swinging). Fernando did hit a batter for eigth time this season. The Lookouts were leading 7-0 when he was relieved and went on to win by the same score.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     3        0        0        3        6        0        2.68

 

 

Fernando walked more batters than we’d like but, overall, he had two more good performances and is putting together a season that continues to look better. Also, kudos to Fernando for crossing the 100-inning threshold for the first time in his career.

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:  100.2

ERA:  2.68

FIP:2.92

WHIP:1.27

AVG: .232

GO/AO: 1.56

K/9:9.2

BB/9:3.6

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 26 July 2017 - 09:45 AM.

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#29 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 30 July 2017 - 08:59 AM

Appearance No. 20 (07/28/17)

 

So, it continued.  The Lookouts sent Fernando to the mound for 5 innings, he pitched very well, and the Lookouts won again. This time the formula worked against the Birmingham Barons who fell 7-2. The big take-away from this game was that Fernando set as season-high for strikeouts in only 5 innings.

 

Fernando faced 20 batters over 5.0 innings giving up 1 run on 4 hits (including 1 double) and 1 walk.  He was not very efficient with his pitch count (94 pitches) but he struck out 9 Barons (ALL swinging).  The Barons went down in order in 3 of the 5 innings. They did, however, load the bases with only one out in the 2nd inning (2 singles and a walk) but Fernando ended the threat with back-to-back strikeouts. It’s particularly fun to root for a pitcher that can get a strikeout when he needs one. And, I think we can agree it’s been too long since the Twins have had a starter with this gift at the MLB level. Fernando has demonstrated this knack on many occasions this season and, hopefully, keeps it as he moves up.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     4        1        1        1        9        0        2.64

 

After 20 appearances, Fernando is striking out 24.8% of the batters he faces.He has a 52.4% GB% and a 21.1% LD%. Opposing batters have posted a slash-line of .231/.315/.314 (.629 OPS).    Although the LD% has crept up, the slash line is nearly identical to the slash-line after 15 appearances. Fernando has been remarkably consistent comparing his results month-to-month.   In July, however, he upped is SO/9 to 12.0 which was a significant increase over prior months (9.2 being the next best rate).   It’s possible the increase is the result of Fernando knowing he has only 5 innings and doesn’t need to conserve his energy for longer outings.  It would be interesting to know if his average velocity has increased since the innings limit was imposed.  

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:  105.2

ERA:  2.64

FIP:2.75

WHIP:1.26

AVG: .231

GO/AO: 1.51

K/9:9.5

BB/9:3.5

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

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#30 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 03 August 2017 - 10:45 AM

Appearance No. 21 (08/02/17)

 

You guessed it.  Fernando gave us more of the same—and that is a good thing! In his sixth-straight 5-inning start, Fernando and the Lookouts beat the Montgomery Biscuits, 5-2. Although he pitched a good game, he followed up his season-high in strikeouts with his season-low.   But that is just picking at nits. In the six games since his 5-inning limit was imposed, Fernando has given up a total of 6 earned runs (2.16 ERA) and the Lookouts have won the last four.

 

Fernando faced 21 batters over 5.0 innings giving up 1 run on 6 hits (including 1 double). He was much more efficient with his pitch count (72 pitches) striking out 3 Biscuits (all swinging), hitting one, but walking none.   Fernando had to battle a bit this game because he allowed 7 base-runners over 4 innings (the Biscuits went down in order in the 4th inning) but he had the groundballs working which helped his cause. Overall, it was another good performance and builds on the impressive consistency he’s shown since his last poor start way back on May 18th.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     6        1        1        0        3        0        2.60

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:  110.2

ERA:  2.60

FIP:2.74

WHIP:1.26

AVG: .234

GO/AO: 1.58

K/9:9.4

BB/9:3.3

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P


#31 goulik

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Posted 09 August 2017 - 07:55 AM

I think Romero seems like someone who should be jumping towards the top of the Twins prospects list. Is Gonsalves really still ahead of Romero? I look forward to seeing a Rotation that starts Berrios, Romero, May, Gonsalves, Mejia in 2019... Possibly 2018 with a Santana mixed in.

#32 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 10 August 2017 - 03:24 PM

Appearance No. 22 (08/07/17)

 

Fernando’s lengthy streak of good-to-excellent starts was bound to end sometime. What is concerning is that it ended in a manner that suggests he may have hit the proverbial wall.  Fernando completed his allotted 5 innings but was hit around by the Jackson Generals (the Southern League’s best offense).   When he was replaced, the Lookouts were down 6-3 and went on to lose 9-3.

 

Fernando faced 23 batters over 5.0 innings giving up 6 runs on 9 hits (including 4 doubles).   Not only was he hit early and often—all 9 hits were given up in the first 3 innings—but he failed to strike out a single batter.   This from a pitcher averaging 9.4 SO/9 coming into the game.   In fact, the only other time Fernando failed to strike out at least one was a 5-batter appearance in the Dominican Summer League in 2012, his first year in pro ball.   Needless to say, management should be watching his next start intently for further indications of fatigue.   I’ll be hoping for a bounce back performance that convincingly shows this game was just an aberration.   One positive takeaway was that Fernando retired the side in order in both the 4th and 5th innings.

 

Finally, I thought it would be interesting to calculate a few stats for the games Fernando pitched between his last two poor outings—a period covering 13 starts made between May 24th to August 2nd.  I concede it's cherry-picking (which I generally don’t like to engage in) but, in this case, doing so illustrates how impressive he was during this extended period:

 

ERA: 1.40

WHIP: 1.10

SO/9: 9.9

H/9: 6.8

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     9        6        6        0        0        0        2.96

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:  115.2

ERA:  2.96

FIP:2.76

WHIP:1.28

AVG: .243

GO/AO: 1.56

K/9:9.0

BB/9:3.2

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 10 August 2017 - 03:25 PM.

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#33 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 17 August 2017 - 02:28 PM

By way of update, Fernando has not pitched for 10 days and is not scheduled to pitch tonight.  That will be four straight times he is skipped in the rotation. I cannot find anything online about this situation other than the Tweet (below) from Mike Berardino that was brought to the board's attention on Sunday.  

 


"RHP Fernando Romero is healthy, per #mntwins farm director Brad Steil. Was simply pushed back from today's scheduled start. Jorge instead."

— Mike Berardino (@MikeBerardino) August 13, 2017

 

Hopefully, Brad Steil was being forthright and Fernando's inaction is not injury related. In my view, his last outing was a negative outlier that suggested possible injury and/or fatigue.  Fingers crossed.

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 17 August 2017 - 02:29 PM.


#34 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 24 August 2017 - 10:00 AM

Appearance No. 23 (08/019/17)

 

Following one of his worst performances of the season, Fernando was given 11 days off to rest, reset, and/or recover.  It didn’t help.  In this game, he had an even worse outing in which he failed to complete 5 innings and walked several batters in addition to giving up an uncharacteristic number of hits. The Tennessee Smokies were leading 6-1 when Fernando was replaced in the 5th inning and went on to beat the Lookouts 6-4.

 

Fernando faced 25 batters over 4.1 innings giving up 6 runs on 8 hits (including 1 double and 1 home run). He also issued 4 walks, threw a wild pitch that allowed a runner to score from third base, and struck out only 2 Smokies. It also could have been worse had Fernando not battled hard in the 3rd inning when the Smokies loaded the bases with no outs but scored only one run. In short, nothing about this performance alleviates the concern that Fernando has an injury or serious arm fatigue. The drop-off in performance has been precipitous and his ERA has jumped from 2.60 to 3.30 in just two games. He is scheduled to pitch on his normal 5-days rest this week so, presumably, the Twins management is not yet concerned. On a semi-positive note, the home run was only the 4th he’s allowed this season (which is notably good over 120 innings).

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 4.1     8        6        6        4        2        1        3.30

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:  120

ERA:  3.30

FIP:2.99

WHIP:1.33

AVG: .250

GO/AO: 1.56

K/9:8.8

BB/9:3.4

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P


#35 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 25 August 2017 - 01:02 PM

Appearance No. 24 (08/24/17)

 

Fernando’s struggles continued against the Mississippi Braves. He was hit hard for the third-straight game and trailed 6-2 when replaced after 5 innings. The Lookouts went on to lose by that same score.

 

Fernando faced 25 batters over 5.0 innings giving up 6 runs (5 earned) on 9 hits (including 4 doubles).  His control was better than last game as he didn’t issue any walks but he hit a batter and apparently struggled with command giving up four extra-base hits. Fernando was around the plate throwing 77 pitches with 53 for strikes but he struck out only 3 Braves. Over his last three starts, Fernando has pitched 14.1 innings, given up 25 hits (!), 17 earned runs (10.68 ERA), and struck out 5 batters (3.14 K/9). These numbers bear no relation to the previous 10 weeks of excellence.  I don’t know what his issues are or how he should be handled going forward. As an interested observer, however, I am concerned about his health and disappointed that such a good season is finishing up on a down note. That said, I am still hopeful Fernando will get back on track before the season ends.

 

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.0     9        6        5        0        3        0        3.53

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:  125.0

ERA:  3.53

FIP:2.96

WHIP:1.35

AVG: .256

GO/AO: 1.56

K/9:8.6

BB/9:3.2

 

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P


#36 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 29 August 2017 - 09:36 AM

Well, dammit. It turns out Fernando's recent poor performance was likely injury-related. The Lookouts placed Fernando on the 7-day DL with right shoulder impingement.  It is uncertain that he'll pitch again this season.  

 

I'm not up to speed on the distinctions between shoulder ailments but a quick Google search informed me that impingement is a precursor diagnosis to tendinitis or bursitis.  Here are a couple explanatory excepts from the web:

 

Impingement. When you raise your arm to shoulder height, the space between the acromion and rotator cuff narrows. The acromion can rub against (or "impinge" on) the tendon and the bursa, causing irritation and pain.

 

Shoulder impingement syndrome is a common cause of shoulder pain. Overhead activity of the shoulder, especially repeated activity, is a risk factor for shoulder impingement syndrome. Other risk factors include bone and joint abnormalities.With impingement syndrome, pain is persistent and affects everyday activities. Motions such as reaching up behind the back or reaching up overhead to put on a coat or blouse, for example, may cause pain. Over time, impingement syndrome can lead to inflammation of the rotator cuff tendons (tendinitis) and bursa (bursitis). If not treated appropriately, the rotator cuff tendons can start to thin and tear. (emphasis added).

 

So, an impingement diagnosis indicates the potential for a future rotator cuff tear.  This is obviously not good news. The non-surgical treatment for impingement is rest, stretching and non-steroid anti-inflammatory medicines.This regimen over 6-8 weeks is the most common treatment.  Of course, there is nothing common about treating a pitcher who is needs to make  multiple, high-effort throws per game.  A case could be made to move a pitcher prone to impingement to a bull-pen role to reduce the number of pitches required.  

 

We'll keep our fingers crossed that rest and treatment will get Fernando back to full health and performing like he did most of the summer.  We may have to wait until next spring before we know how this condition impacts the team's plans for Fernando going forward.

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 29 August 2017 - 09:37 AM.