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Fernando Romero - 2017

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#1 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 14 April 2017 - 01:27 PM

FERNANDO ROMERO

 

romero960_skx4wvv4_q2xjtvcf.jpg

 

 

Position: Right-Handed Pitcher.

Height/ Weight: 6’0’’ 215 lbs.

Age: 22 years old all season (12/24/94 d.o.b.).

Drafted: Signed as an International Free Agent out of the Dominican Republic in November 2011 (16 years old)

Signing Bonus: $260,000
                                                                                                                                          
2017 Twins Prospect Rankings: Fernando is generally considered a top-5 Twins prospect by the national media and has cracked at least one top-100 overall prospect list:

  •  MLB.com (No. 4);
  •  ESPN (No. 2/ No. 65 overall);
  •  Fangraphs (No. 7);
  •  Baseball America (No.4);
  •  Baseball Prospectus (No. 3).

Expert Sentiment: The experts find a lot to like about Fernando’s stuff. The following are select quotes from a couple pre-season prospect rankings:

MLB.com:

 Scouting grades: Fastball: 70 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 50 | Overall: 50

There is no question about Romero's pure stuff. He'll throw an 80-grade fastball at times, approaching triple-digits, and showed that not only can he sit in the 95-97 mph range, he can maintain his velocity throughout a start and a season, though he threw just over 90 innings a year ago. Velocity-wise, his slider is where it should be, but it doesn't always have the action for it to be an out pitch. His changeup will flash average as well and it's just a matter of Romero refining his pitchability to become a complete starting pitcher, though he threw a lot more strikes than anticipated in his return.

Keith Law, ESPN.com:

He’s built like a workhorse starter, though there’s some reliever risk to the delivery, but it’s definitely starter stuff. He’ll pitch at 95-98 mph, retaining his velocity deep into games, which he supports with a hard slider thrown into the upper 80s that he can throw for strikes and backdoor to left-handed batters, as well as a changeup that should end up at least average. Romero over-rotates in his delivery and lands wide open . . . for command’s sake and the health of his elbow, he should be landing online to the plate.

 

Romero might be consistently up at 97-98 mph with a slider that reaches 90 if he ends up in the bullpen. But . . . [h]e might have the best shot of any of their guys to become a true No. 1 or No. 2.     
                                 
2016 Minor League Season and Selected Stats: Fernando pitched 90.1 innings over 16 starts in 2016 . . . He made 5 starts in low-A Cedar Rapids and was quickly promoted to high-A Fort Myers where he made another 11 starts . . . Fernando was excellent at both levels posting sub-2 ERAs and sub-1 WHIPs . . . He also surrendered only 1 home run and had a SO/W ratio over 6 . . . Fernando surprisingly showed no signs of rust after nearly 2 years off the mound—he missed most of the 2014 season, the entire 2015 season, and the start of the 2016 season rehabbing his elbow after Tommy John surgery

2017 Assignment: Fernando will begin 2017 as part of the Chattanooga Lookouts’ starting rotation.

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#2 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 19 April 2017 - 02:12 PM

Start No. 1 (04/08/16)

 

 

Fernando’s first start of 2017 came against the Mobile BayBears, a L.A. Angels affiliate.The BayBears’ lineup featured only two players ranked among the Angels’ top prospects: SS David Fletcher (No. 11 MLB.com) and DH Caleb Adams (No. 29). Unfortunately, Fernando did not pitch well in his first appearance at AA level. He was unable to complete four innings leaving the game down 1-0 and the bases loaded in a 3-2 Lookouts loss.

 

 Fernando faced 16 batters over 3.1 innings surrendering 3 earned runs on 3 hits (including 1 2B and 1 HR) and 3 walks. Control was obviously a big issue as he threw 74 pitches before being lifted in the 4th inning. In 16 starts last year, Fernando gave up only 1 homerun so we can hope that the homerun surrendered in this game is an outlier. One positive was that Fernando struck out 4 BayBears (3 swinging) for a 25% strikeout rate. Overall, however, it was a forgettable debut in AA:

 

 IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero  3.1     3        3        3        3        4        1        8.10

 

 

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

 

 

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 19 April 2017 - 02:34 PM.

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#3 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 19 April 2017 - 02:38 PM

Start No. 2 (04/14/17)

 

In this game, Fernando was matched up against the Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp—a Miami Marlins affiliate. The first three hitters were each ranked Jumbo Shrimp prospects: 3B Brian Anderson (No. 3 MLB.com); RF John Norwood (No. 27) and 2B Yefri Perez (No. 30). Fernando was looking to bounce back from a poor first start. Unfortunately, things only got worse for him and control was the primary problem. He was lifted in the 3rd inning down 3-0 with two runners on in a 4-0 Lookouts loss.

 

Fernando faced 16 batters over only 2.2 innings. He gave up 3 hits (including 2 2Bs) and a career-high 5 walks which resulted in 3 earned runs. He threw 79 pitches and only 41 of them for strikes. He did, however, manage to strikeout 5 Jumbo Shrimp (4 swinging) for a 31% strikeout ratio. After two games, it does not appear that Fernando is going to carry over last-season’s dominance and that he’s going to have an adjustment period.

 

Box Score:

 

IP  H R ER BB SO HR ERA

F. Romero  2.2  3  3 3  5 5  0  9.00

 

Season Stats:

IP: 6.0
ERA: 9.00
FIP: 6.06
WHIP: 2.33
AVG:  .250
GO/AO:  1.25
K/9: 13.50
BB/9: 12.00
 
Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

MiLB.com:
http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

Baseball Reference:
http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

Fangraphs:
http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 19 April 2017 - 03:18 PM.

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#4 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 20 April 2017 - 10:35 AM

Appearance No. 3 (04/20/17)

 

Fernando had his first good outing of the season in this game against the Biloxi Shuckers—a Milwaukee Brewers affiliate. Technically, he will be credited with a relief appearance rather than a start because the teams played two innings of this game before being rained out the night before and started up in the 3rd inning with Fernando on the mound. In all but name, however, this was a start and Fernando pitched 5.2 innings of one-run ball in a 3-1 Lookouts win.

 

Fernando’s biggest improvement over his first two starts was his control—58 of 87 pitches were strikes and he walked only one batter. He faced 23 batters over the 5.2 innings giving up 6 hits (5 singles and 1 double) and striking out 4 Shuckers (all swinging) for a 17.3% strikeout ratio. One prospect writer and scout, Chris Blessing, stated that Fernando’s fastball was “up to 98 [mph] early,” “comfortably living in the lower half of zone 94-97” and “slider good too.” All of which suggests that Romero’s arm is feeling fine and that his early struggles were mechanical not physical. Kudos to Seth Stohs for bringing those tweets to the Board.

 

One thing to consider before we declare Fernando officially back-on-track is that the Shuckers have been a terrible hitting team this season (OPS .563) despite having two ranked Brewers prospects and a former 1st rounder in their lineup: SS Mauricio Dubon (No. 9 MLB.com); C Jacob Nottingham (No. 14) and DH Victor Roache. Nevertheless, this game was the type of performance that we were hoping to see from Fernando and was big step in the right direction.

 

Box Score:

 

Player                      IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero               5.2     6        1        1        1        4        0        5.40

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:11.2

ERA:  5.40

FIP:  4.24

WHIP:  1.80

AVG: .267

GO/AO: 1.63

K/9:  10.0

BB/9:  6.9

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 20 April 2017 - 10:38 AM.

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#5 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 26 April 2017 - 02:40 PM

Appearance No. 4 (04/25/17)

 

In this game, Fernando was a tough-luck loser despite having his best outing of the year.   The Lookouts played a double-header against the Tennessee Smokies—a Chicago Cubs affiliate—which meant that both games were shortened to 7 innings.  Fernando started the first game and shut out the Smokies for 6 innings. In the seventh inning, he was lifted with 2 outs and runners on first and second. The decision to remove Fernando in that spot is curious because he had only thrown 81 pitches and an Vielma error had extended the inning (a strict pitch count is the only thing that makes sense). In short, he was cruising and this was his first time the Smokies had two runners all game. Unfortunately, Fernando’s relief could not pick him up and both runners scored resulting in a 2-0 Lookouts loss.

 

Fernando faced 24 batters over the 6.2 innings giving up 4 hits (all singles) and striking out 6 for a 25% strikeout ratio. He surrendered only 2 walks and both runs were unearned. The real story of this outing, however, was that Fernando had the Smokies beating the ball into the ground. Of the 16 balls put into play, 14 were ground balls and only one was a line drive. That, coupled with a decent strikeout ratio is a formula for success (assuming his offense can score a couple runs in support—the Lookouts have scored a total of 3 runs in the 4 games Fernando has pitched).

 

After 4 games, Fernando has a ground ball rate of 62% (using raw data from Baseball-Reference) and a line drive rate of 20.8%. He is also striking out 24% of all batters faced. The ground ball ratio is very strong and has been particularly impressive over the last two games—72.7%.  It certainly looks like Fernando has worked out his early season issues. Hopefully, he will continue to have performances like this one while building his pitch counts and innings totals.

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 6.2     4        2        0        2        6        0        3.44

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:18.1

ERA:3.44

FIP:3.39

WHIP:1.47

AVG:   .239

GO/AO: 2.67

K/9:9.3

BB/9:5.4

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P


#6 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 01 May 2017 - 03:14 PM

Appearance No. 5 (04/30/17)

 

On the last day of April, Fernando faced the Jackson Generals—an Arizona Diamondbacks affiliate—which is far and away the best hitting team in the Southern League (.288/.365/.468). By way of comparison, the Lookouts are middle-of-the-pack (.235/.326/.332).  Although the Generals challenged him, Fernando had another impressive result pitching 6 innings of one-run ball in a 9-4 Lookouts win.

 

Fernando faced 25 batters over the 6 innings giving up 1 earned run on 7 hits (all singles) and striking out 6 (5 swinging) for a 24% strikeout ratio.   He threw 90 pitches and 60 of them were strikes.   Most significantly, Fernando did not walk a batter.   Whatever caused the unusual lack of control during his first two starts, it appears Fernando has cleaned that issue up.

 

It should be noted that, despite the great result, the Generals caught up to Fernando the second time through their order.   He retired the first 9 batters then gave up all 7 hits in the last three innings. In truth, he did well to limit the damage to only one run.   That said, it was still another encouraging performance by Fernando and it was also nice to see the offense finally score some runs in support.

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 6.0     7        1        1        0        6        0        2.96

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:24.1

ERA:2.96

FIP:2.79

WHIP:1.40

AVG: .250

GO/AO: 1.81

K/9:9.2

BB/9:4.1

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

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#7 Vanimal46

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Posted 01 May 2017 - 03:22 PM

Loving your updates Disco Dan! Keep em coming! 


#8 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 12 May 2017 - 01:19 PM

Appearance No. 6 (05/08/17)

 

Fernando took the mound for the first time in 8 days facing the Montgomery Biscuits—a Tampa Bay Rays affiliate. The delay between starts was the result of a couple rainouts and the apparent decision to rotate in a couple of spot-starters (presumably to lower the season workload of the regular starters). In any event, the extended rest derailed Fernando’s recent run of excellent pitching. The Biscuits touched him for seven runs (5 earned) in a 9-4 Lookouts loss.

 

Fernando faced 28 batters over the 5.2 innings giving up 9 hits (including 1 double and 1 triple).Although he did not walk anyone he hurt himself with 2 wild pitches and 1 hit batter (his first WPs and HBP of the season). The hit batter eventually scored and one of the wild pitches allowed a runner on third to score.  Fernando struck out 4 Biscuits (3 swinging) for a 14.2% strikeout ratio.   He was around the strike zone throwing a season-high 94 pitches with 63 strikes.  The biggest positive of this outing was that 15 of the 22 balls put into play by the Biscuits were ground balls (GB%: 68%) including 5 of the 9 hits.

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.2     9        7        5        0        4        0        3.90

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:30.0

ERA:3.90

FIP:2.76

WHIP:1.433

AVG: .271

GO/AO: 2.28

K/9:8.7

BB/9:3.3

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

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#9 Oldgoat_MN

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Posted 12 May 2017 - 01:29 PM

Romero is only 7 months younger than Berrios, but a lot of good pitchers don't get to MLB before they are 24 or 25. That said, he needs to dominate with some consistency. I'm glad they put him in AA. He needs to be challenged.

Go Fernando!

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#10 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 16 May 2017 - 03:53 PM

Appearance No. 7 (05/13/17)

 

Back to pitching on 4-days rest, Fernando faced the Birmingham Barons—a Chicago White Sox affiliate.  While he performed better than his previous start, it was not an outing that can be characterized as either good or bad.Let’s call it a small step in the right direction but otherwise mediocre.  The good news is that the offense got to work late resulting in a 9-6 Lookouts win.

 

Fernando faced 26 batters over 5.2 innings giving up 7 hits (including 1 double) and three runs (only 2 earned).   He issued 2 walks (his first in 3 games) and hit his second batter of the season.  Fernando struck out 4 Barons (all swinging) for a 15.3% strikeout ratio.   Fernando’s K/9 ratio has been on a slight but steady decline which is something to watch as the season progresses. The biggest positive from the outing was that Fernando battled back after the Barons jumped on him for two runs in the 1st inning allowing only an unearned run the rest of the way. On the negative side, it took Fernando 95 pitches to complete 5.2 innings. Given that he has been allowed mid-90s pitch counts the last two games, it’d be nice to see him pitch deeper into the games. Fernando has pitched into the 7th inning only once this season (ironically in a game in which he was lifted after only 81 pitches).

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 5.2     7        3        2        2        4        0        3.79

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:35.2

ERA:3.79

FIP:2.81

WHIP:1.46

AVG: .277

GO/AO: 1.84

K/9:8.3

BB/9:3.3

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

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#11 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 19 May 2017 - 01:27 PM

Appearance No. 8 (05/18/17)

 

On a night that Jose Berrios pitched to his full abilities, the same could not be said for Fernando.  His second start against the Biloxi Shuckers did not go well.  In fact, it’s hard to find a silver lining in this performance.   Fernando failed to get out of the 5th inning leaving the contest down 5-1 (and quickly 7-1 after his relief came in and gave up 3 straight hits) in a 9-3 Lookouts loss.

 

Fernando faced 23 batters over 4.1 innings giving up 5 hits (including 1 double) and 7 runs (6 earned). A lot of his problems in this game were self-inflicted. Fernando’s control issues resurfaced and he walked 4 and hit a batter (3 of 5 of those baserunners scored).  He also made a throwing error on a bunt attempt that put the batter on third base and led to him to scoring on a ground-out.  Fernando struck out 4 Shuckers (all swinging) for a 17.3% strikeout ratio. The Southern League is hitting Fernando at a fair clip (.278 BA) but, thankfully, for not much power (.354 SLG).  To end on a positive note, he has not given up a home run since his first appearance.

 

Box Score:

 

Player                        IP      H       R       ER     BB     SO     HR    ERA

F. Romero                 4.1     5        7        6        4        4        0        4.73

 

 

Season Stats:

 

IP:40.0

ERA:4.73

FIP:3.00

WHIP:1.46

AVG: .278

GO/AO: 1.76

K/9:8.3

BB/9:3.8

                       

Check these webpages for more granular stats for Fernando:

 

MiLB.com:

http://www.milb.com/...tching/2017/ALL

 

Baseball Reference:

http://www.baseball-...id=romero000fer

 

Fangraphs:

http://www.fangraphs...7418&position=P

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 19 May 2017 - 01:28 PM.