He felt he was picked in about the right spot.
It isn't just about positional value.....
I think it is largely about positional value. The name of the game is maximizing value with the resources that are available to you. To the extent you focus your draft picks on position players you need to spend your free agent dollars on pitchers and vice versa.
Nelson Cruz and Ervin Santana signed about the same contract. For that matter, Cruz signed for only $2m more per year than Ricky Nolasco. I don’t think I am cherry picking here. 4/50-55 on the free agent market does not get you a #1 or #2 starter and by nature they will be a guy that is 29+, which tends to be past peak for a pitcher. Heck, look at the contract Mike Leake signed.
Cruz had WAR of 9 leading up to free agency in the previous three years. Has a career OPS+ is 125 with seasons of 124 and 135 into FA.
Nolasco’s ERA+ in his previous three years was 84, 91, and 101. His career number was I believe 91. His WAR from the previous three seasons was 3.6.
Ervin’s three years were 74, 90, and 103. His career ERA+ was right about league average (currently 98). His WAR for the previous seasons was 2.2.
We would have better luck signing Nelson Cruz, taking the additional value and rolling the dice at drafting a pitcher and hoping he turns out to be league average than using the same amount of money to sign a league average pitcher (before the decline) and hope a guy like Alex Kiriloff turns out to be Nelson Cruz.
Edited by tobi0040, 16 June 2016 - 01:20 PM.