The Twins have 40 games remaining and currently sit two behind the Angels, who hold the second wild card at this point. The Twins have games remaining with the Rays, the Orioles and the Angels so they could gain ground by winning head to head against teams that are in competition for the wild card. Here's the math:
25-15. .625 baseball, which I think would net the team a wild card.
24-16. .600 baseball, I think they make postseason with 85 wins, or at least have a play-in to the play-in game.
21-19. Would give the Twins a winning record, but they would be watching the playoffs.
20-20..500 on the nose, still a success given the expectations.
15-19 wins. Improvement, no 90 loss season, but still a losing record.
The team has 21 road games and 19 home games. They play 25 of their remaining games against the Central, with other games against Baltimore (2), Houston (6), Tampa (3) and the Angels (4).
I'm saying they have a little spurt here and end up with 82 wins, but end up watching the playoffs. I am probably too optimistic after watching May and Jepsen close yesterday's game. If May could have been the 8th inning guy for a month, I think they might have won a couple more games.