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.500 Over/Under

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#21 Physics Guy

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Posted 14 April 2014 - 12:51 PM

I haven't seen any stats on it, but 12 games at .500 seems like a lot for any team, no matter which side of the mark they fall on. After all, it's impossible for a team to be at .500 more than one game in a row.


Over-under for games at .500 OR above.

#22 Physics Guy

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Posted 14 April 2014 - 12:54 PM

Are we really carrying 13 pitchers? I guess I thought people were just joking and jesting the last few days... I thought we signed starting pitching so we wouldn't have to do that anymore? Carrying 13 pitchers when you desire to pinch run for your best hitters at the earliest opportunity is roster mismanagement at its finest so I'll take the under :)


I think the reason may be that they didn't feel there was a good option at this time other than a pitcher. They did already call up Mastro and Herrmann. I'd have to think Parmelee might be next, but I'm not sure what he's done in AAA.

- Edit - I guess I should have read the next post. SweetOne69 basically just said the same.

#23 blindeke

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Posted 14 April 2014 - 02:02 PM

Which will be larger: The # of games the Twins >= .500 or the # of home runs hit by Bautista over the next 3 games?

#24 Physics Guy

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Posted 17 April 2014 - 04:13 PM

Starting second game today at 4.

#25 Thegrin

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Posted 17 April 2014 - 10:06 PM

going against the Royals with 5 and guaranteed at least 6 for the 2nd game. My over bet is looking better :) (Unless I misread the above thread, I was the only one who took the over.)

#26 Physics Guy

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Posted 17 April 2014 - 11:21 PM

If they win the KC series they are guaranteed 10.

#27 Paul Pleiss

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Posted 18 April 2014 - 02:31 AM

12? I take the over. I think the number will be closer to 18.

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#28 Thegrin

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Posted 18 April 2014 - 02:32 PM

Late comers should have the line moved to 14 :D

#29 Physics Guy

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Posted 18 April 2014 - 02:59 PM

Late comers should have the line moved to 14 :D


That's what I was thinking. :)

#30 SweetOne69

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Posted 18 April 2014 - 03:16 PM

Late comers should have the line moved to 14 :D


Why, when this thread started the Twins' were @ 3 and they currently are @ 4. Is the one day enough to move the target up by 2?

#31 Thegrin

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Posted 18 April 2014 - 08:56 PM

game 4 and 1 game above 500. That guarantees that they will finish another game above 500. Which is what happened. Now, with the loss of the 1st game to KC, the Twins are 5 games of 500 or better, but a loss tomorrow could bring them below 500 again. I still like the over bet.

#32 Thegrin

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Posted 21 April 2014 - 11:50 PM

The Twins start against the Rays today at 9-9. This makes it 6 days at 500 or better.

#33 Physics Guy

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 12:57 PM

The Twins start against the Rays today at 9-9. This makes it 6 days at 500 or better.

I counted game 1 (0-0) so the Twins are at 7 and counting.

#34 Physics Guy

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 01:00 PM

The next three series will determine if they have a shot. TB, Det and LAD could bury them well below .500. I have the feeling this crew has a little more grit and may hang around .500 a little longer.

#35 SweetOne69

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 01:57 PM

I counted game 1 (0-0) so the Twins are at 7 and counting.


The OP criteria was "starting the day" at or above .500, not number of games at or above .500 so the correct tally is 6.

Day 1: Opening Day (0-0)
Day 2: Home Opener (3-3)
Day 3: Toronto Game 1 (6-6)
Day 4: KC Game 1 (8-7)
Day 5: KC Game 2 (8-8)
Day 6: TB Game 1 (9-9)

#36 jharaldson

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 11:30 AM

This thread titile is confusing. I thought it was a gambling discussion on Aaron Hicks OPS for a second ;-)

#37 Beemo

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 12:49 PM

I'm late to the thread but can you really count opening day as being at .500? Sure, you've won the same number of games as you've lost but your winning percentage isn't .500 either.

#38 Physics Guy

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:00 PM

The OP criteria was "starting the day" at or above .500, not number of games at or above .500 so the correct tally is 6.

Day 1: Opening Day (0-0)
Day 2: Home Opener (3-3)
Day 3: Toronto Game 1 (6-6)
Day 4: KC Game 1 (8-7)
Day 5: KC Game 2 (8-8)
Day 6: TB Game 1 (9-9)


No, the OP (who was me) criteria was:

So my question is, how many games do the Twins go into this year with a .500 record or better to start the day.


I meant to leave off the last part "to start the day". Sorry for the confusion. Like I tell my wife, "Listen to what I mean, not what I actually say." ;)

They entered the following games with a .500 record or better:

Game 1 0-0
Game 7 3-3
Game 13 6-6
Game 15 7-7
Game 16 8-7
Game 17 8-8
Game 19 9-9

#39 Physics Guy

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:02 PM

The original statement would have been fine, except for the doubleheader against Toronto.

#40 AM.

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:04 PM

I think a more interesting question is the last day of the season the Twins are not below .500.

For example, if the Twins lose today, but hang around 2-5 below .500 all season until the last week and win their last five to finish 81-81, the total will be 6. Or 7. Whatever. But if they lose today and their next 30 ball games, and finish 59-103, the total will also be 6. Or 7.

But staying afloat until April 22 or Sept 30--big difference!