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Ryan Eades - 2014

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#21 goulik

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Posted 13 June 2014 - 08:05 PM

9 hits and a walk... Not extremely encouraging at all...especially looking at only two strike outs

#22 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 22 June 2014 - 08:00 PM

Start No. 13 (06/22/14)

Ryan took the mound for the first time in 10 days due to the Midwest League All-Star game and a subsequent rain-out. He faced the Kane County Cougars—featuring a scorching hot Kyle Schwarber (selected no. 4 overall this year)—in the first game of double-header and his performance was decidedly mixed. On the positive side, he limited the Cougars to 2 hits and 0 runs and left the game leading 3-0 in a 5-0 Kernels victory. On the negative side, Ryan lasted only 4 innings, issued 4 walks, threw a wild pitch, and struck out only 1 batter. In short, it was the type of outing that deserves a grizzled old hack to summarize. (HE SHUT THEM OUT!). Unfortunately, when I evaluate the performance of a 22 year old in low-A, I am far more interested in the inputs than the result. In this case, it was too few innings and too little control to be considered a good outing despite the lack of runs allowed. That said, WE CAN BUILD ON THIS!!! (I may be unwilling to hack it up in the face of contrary statistical evidence, but that doesn’t mean I am not a Twins-prospect Pollyanna).

Ryan’s game line was as follows:

[TABLE="width: 553"]

Player
IP
H
R
ER
BB
SO
HR
ERA


Ryan Eades
4.0
2
0
0
4
1
0
6.08

[/TABLE]

Ryan’s season stat line is as follows (links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats):

[TABLE="width: 615"]

eam
League
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
SHO
SV
IP
H
R
ER
HR
BB
SO
GO/AO
AVG


CR
MID
4
7
6.08
13
13
1
1
0
60.2
78
46
41
2
29
49
0.67
.318

[/TABLE]

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 22 June 2014 - 08:06 PM.


#23 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 29 June 2014 - 09:17 PM

Start No. 14 (06/28/14)

In this start, Ryan faced a Clinton LumberKings lineup playing without its two best hitters, Austin Wilson and Tyler O’Neill (both on the DL). He also watched his offense stake him to 8 runs in the first two innings. Ryan capitalized on these two circumstances and picked up his 5th win of the season in the Kernels’ 9-5 victory. He was fortunate, however, that the Kernels’ bats showed up because he did not have a particularly effective outing.

Over 5 innings, Ryan faced 24 batters and surrendered 5 runs (4 earned) on 7 hits (including 2 home runs). It is worth mentioning that he struck out 5 batters and did not surrender a walk. Nevertheless, his WHIP remains alarmingly high at 1.736. I am sure many have already read Seth Stohs’ first-hand account of the game. (http://twinsdaily.co...r-s-Homers-Help). For those that haven’t, here are some of his observations regarding Ryan:

“[Ryan] had a quick 1-2-3 inning in the first frame. He looked impressive. His fastball sat between 90 and 92 and touched 94 early in the game. He showed a slider at 83, and a changeup at about 82. His curveball was in the low-to-mid 70s.

“All four of those were quality pitches. He gave up one run in the 2nd, 3rd and 4th innings and then two runs in the fifth inning. He has the pitches, but he seemed to make a bad pitch or two each inning that came back to haunt him.”

Ryan’s game line was as follows:

[TABLE="width: 553"]

Player
IP
H
R
ER
BB
SO
HR
ERA


Ryan Eades (W, 5-7)
5.0
7
5
4
0
5
2
6.17

[/TABLE]

Ryan’s season stat line is as follows (links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats):

[TABLE="width: 615"]

Team
League
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
SHO
SV
IP
H
R
ER
HR
BB
SO
GO/AO
AVG


CR
MID
5
7
6.17
14
14
1
1
0
65.2
85
51
45
4
29
54
0.66
.318

[/TABLE]

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

#24 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 04 July 2014 - 09:16 AM

Start No. 15 (07/03/14)

Ryan faced the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers for the fourth time in nine starts and for the third time his results were poor. In this case, it appears the advantage of familiarity goes to the Brewers’ affiliate. Seven batters reached safely in the Timber Rattlers’ 4-run 2nd inning and they went on to beat the Kernels 5-3. Ryan exited the game trailing 5-2 and was charged with his 8th loss of the season.

To his credit, Ryan took the ball for the fifteenth straight start demonstrating a level of durability. Unfortunately, the formula is [(Durability) + (Performance) = Pitching Prospect], and he fell short once again in the Performance category. Ryan threw 89 pitches over 5 innings, faced 26 batters and surrendered 5 earned runs on 7 hits (including 3 doubles and a home run). He also walked three batters, hit two batters, and threw one wild pitch. Ryan did strike out five batters, four of them swinging. His game line was as follows:

[TABLE="width: 553"]

Player

IP

H

R

ER

BB

SO

HR

ERA



Ryan Eades (L, 5-8)

5.0

7

5

5

3

5

1

6.37


[/TABLE]

Given Ryan’s age and experience, his struggles at Cedar Rapids are disappointing. By all reports he has the arm to move up but, for whatever reason, he has not been able to put together effective starts since early in the season. It will be interesting to watch how he finishes the season

Ryan’s season stat line is as follows (links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats):

[TABLE="width: 615"]

Team

League

W

L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

AVG



CR

MID

5

8

6.37

15

15

1

1

0

70.2

92

56

50

5

32

59

0.71

.321


[/TABLE]

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

#25 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 09 July 2014 - 10:00 PM

Start No. 16 (07/09/14)

If ever a start which increased an already inflated ERA can be described as a step in the right direction, this was it. Ryan improbably faced the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers for the fifth time in ten starts. And once again, the Brewers’ affiliate got the best of him in a 5-2 victory. But this time, the result does not tell the story of what was generally a strong outing.

The big lead is that Ryan set a career high by striking out 9 batters, seven of them swinging. He pitched into the sixth inning but was removed before recording an out and trailing 3-0. Ryan faced a total of 24 batters and was charged with 5 earned runs on 6 hits and one walk. But, unlike most of his starts the last two months, it’s worthwhile to look deeper into the box score.

For example, two of the six hits against Ryan were bunt singles. Also, the only extra-base hit he surrendered was a 2-out, inside-the-park home run to center field that scored three runs. I didn’t see the play but, in my experience, inside-the-park home runs only happen when a player is incapacitated after crashing into the wall or misses a diving attempt at a catch. It’s safe to assume that if the ball was played differently as few as one run would’ve scored on the play.

Ryan was relieved by Chris Mazza in the sixth inning with runners on first and second and no outs. Unfortunately, Mazza was unable to work out of the inning before both runners scored. A little pick-me-up by the bullpen would’ve left Ryan with a line more indicative of his performance. The biggest negative in his outing was that he hit two batters, one of whom scored in the sixth inning. Ryan’s game line was as follows:

[TABLE="width: 553"]

Player

IP

H

R

ER

BB

SO

HR

ERA



Ryan Eades

5.0

6

5

5

1

9

1

6.54


[/TABLE]

Ryan’s season stat line is as follows (links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats):

[TABLE="width: 615"]

Team

League

W

L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

AVG



CR

MID

5

9

6.54

16

16

1

1

0

75.2

98

61

55

6

33

68

0.74

.318


[/TABLE]

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

#26 SD Buhr

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Posted 10 July 2014 - 03:05 PM

You're summary is accurate. The inside the park home run came about when Jason Kanzler dove for a line drive and missed it. Good effort, but more prudent thing to do in the 4th inning of a scoreless game is to pull up, give up 1 run and hold the batter to a single, still with 2 outs.

One of the HBPs and his lone walk were the last two batters Eades faced.

Effectively used his breaking ball as an out pitch most of the evening. Not a bad start at all. Just a bad result.

Writing about the Minnesota Twins and their minor league organization, with an emphasis on the Cedar Rapids Kernels, at Knuckleballsblog.com since 2010.

~You can get anything you want at Alice's Restaurant~


#27 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 01 August 2014 - 06:20 AM

Start No. 20 (07/30/14)

 

A 10-day vacation derailed my start-for-start updates and a general malaise caused by Ryan’s disappointing season made it difficult to get back into the swing of things.But, a second quality start in three games deserves to be recognized if only for the progress it represents. 

 

In this game against the Burlington Bees, Ryan took the mound for his 20th-straight scheduled start (hey, durability should be recognized). He went 7 innings and was replaced with the game tied 2-2 in the Kernels’ 11-inning 3-2 victory. But for the Bees’ 24-year-old first baseman, Eric Aguilera, Ryan dominated.Aguilera connected for a double and two solo home runs in three at bats.The rest of the Bees managed only a single and two walks in 21 plate appearances.A very solid performance. 

 

Make no mistake, there are some concerning trends that must be acknowledged.Ryan has surrendered 8 home runs in the last six games, continues to be very fly-ball prone—GO/AO .73—and his strike out rate has plummeted the last four starts – SO/9 4.0.Nevertheless, Ryan just submitted his best three-start run since early in the season.Perhaps he is responding to the improved pitching from the Kernels’ starters as a group.Let’s hope he keeps it up and is an asset as the Kernels chase a playoff spot.

 

Some Season Stats (cannot yet figure out how to paste a table in the new site without it becoming corrupted):

 

ERA: 6.08

FIP: 4.71

WHIP: 1.608

 

(links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats):

League

RERH

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

 

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

 

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 01 August 2014 - 06:42 AM.


#28 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 05 August 2014 - 09:09 PM

Relief Appearance No. 1 (08/05/14)

 

Ryan made his first relief appearance of the season under odd circumstances.He entered the game against the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers in the fourth inning replacing the rehabbing Ricky Nolasco with two out and no one on base.I am hoping this was a planned change based on a pitch limit for Nolasco rather than any injury set back.The fact that Ryan was brought in rather than a bullpen arm makes me think it was a planned substitution.

 

The good news is that the Kernels won the game 9-0 and Ryan had one of his most effective outings of the season.He shut out the Timber Rattlers over 4.1 innings allowing only 2 singles and striking out 5 batters.The sole negative was that he issued 3 walks.Overall, it was a strong performance against a team that has gotten the better of Ryan several times this season.Let’s hope his resurgence of late can continue through the end of the season.

 

Links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats:

 

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 05 August 2014 - 09:10 PM.


#29 SD Buhr

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Posted 08 August 2014 - 08:25 AM

Your assumption was correct. Nolasco was on a 50-pitch limit. He will be shooting for 75 pitches on Sunday and I would imagine maybe Eades might once again be the guy who comes in after Nolasco, since that would be his spot in the rotation again.

Writing about the Minnesota Twins and their minor league organization, with an emphasis on the Cedar Rapids Kernels, at Knuckleballsblog.com since 2010.

~You can get anything you want at Alice's Restaurant~


#30 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 14 August 2014 - 07:13 PM

Start No. 21 (08/12/14)

 

Ryan re-entered the starting rotation and picked up the win in the Kernels’ 12-5 victory over the Beloit Snappers. He submitted his third Quality Start in five games and has lowered his ERA nearly a full run over that span.That said, this was far from a dominating performance.

 

Ryan faced 29 batters during 6 innings of work.He surrendered 9 hits (including a 2B, 3B, and HR) and 3 walks while striking out 4 batters.Fortunately, he was able to strand most of the base-runners and allowed only 2 earned runs.He exited the game leading 12-2.Some key season stats:

 

5.67 ERA
1.61 WHIP
4.70 FIP

 

Links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats:

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 14 August 2014 - 07:13 PM.


#31 Thegrin

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Posted 14 August 2014 - 08:43 PM

I think Ryan should be on some of the Twins top 50 lists.He is looking as if he could pitch in Ft Myers now.


#32 goulik

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Posted 15 August 2014 - 05:30 AM

I think Ryan should be on some of the Twins top 50 lists. He is looking as if he could pitch in Ft Myers now.


Agreeing on the potential top 50 part of your statement and Having loyally read all the Ryan Eades updates, what do you base the second part of your opinion on or was this tongue in cheek?

Edited by goulik, 15 August 2014 - 05:32 AM.


#33 SD Buhr

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Posted 15 August 2014 - 01:09 PM

Start No. 21 (08/12/14)

 

Ryan re-entered the starting rotation and picked up the win in the Kernels’ 12-5 victory over the Beloit Snappers. He submitted his third Quality Start in five games and has lowered his ERA nearly a full run over that span.That said, this was far from a dominating performance.

 

Ryan faced 29 batters during 6 innings of work.He surrendered 9 hits (including a 2B, 3B, and HR) and 3 walks while striking out 4 batters.Fortunately, he was able to strand most of the base-runners and allowed only 2 earned runs.He exited the game leading 12-2.Some key season stats:

 

5.67 ERA
1.61 WHIP
4.70 FIP

 

Links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats:

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

 

Here's my admittedly non-expert observation of Ryan Eades now vs the Ryan Eades we saw most of the first half of the season.

 

He's been prone to giving up too many hits and too many walks all season, so he has work to do in those areas next year.

 

But whereas, earlier in the year, he would get in a jam and then often go on and give up a big inning, more recently, he seems to be bearing down in those jam situations and minimizing the damage - keeping his team in the game.

 

I like the apparent change in mentality. Of course, it would be nice not to get in to jams in the first place, but in the silver lining department, perhaps developing a little bit of a bulldog mentality in those situations will serve him well in the future.

Edited by SD Buhr, 15 August 2014 - 01:10 PM.

  • Dance with Disco Dan and goulik like this

Writing about the Minnesota Twins and their minor league organization, with an emphasis on the Cedar Rapids Kernels, at Knuckleballsblog.com since 2010.

~You can get anything you want at Alice's Restaurant~


#34 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 17 August 2014 - 07:26 PM

Start No. 22 (08/17/14)

 

Ryan took the mound against the Peoria Chiefs, with the Kernels trying to chase down the Kane County Cougars for first place in the MWL Western Division second-half race.Because the Cougars were the first-half champions, they’ve already secured their playoff spot (along with the Burlington Bees).The Kernels are in good shape for one of the two remaining playoff slots as well as they enjoy an 6-game cushion over the Timber Rattlers and a 8-game cushion over the Chiefs.  Still, it would be nice if the Kernels’ resurgence is rewarded with a half-season division championship. If the playoffs started today, the Kernels would play the Bees in the first round.

 

The good news is that the Kernels rallied from a three-run deficit to win 5-4 when a Chiefs reliever threw two wild pitches in the 9th inning to score Logan Wade from second base.The bad news is that Ryan’s performance was a step back from the previous five outings.In this game he faced 28 batters over 6 innings.Like last start, he allowed a bunch of base runners but was not as successful in limiting the damage.Ryan surrendered 4 earned runs on 7 hits (including two 2B and a 3B) and two walks.He also hit 2 batters and struck out only one.He left the game with the score tied 4-4.In short, this was a clunker.

 

One thing to keep an eye on is Ryan’s decreasing strike-out rate – 4.4 SO/9 over the last 6 games. Prior to this stretch—which has been mostly successful—Ryan was maintaining a SO/9 over 7.This could be a sign of full-season fatigue for a player that has taken the ball every turn all season.Some key season stats:

 

5.68 ERA
1.61 WHIP
0.71 GO/AO

Links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats:

 

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 17 August 2014 - 07:32 PM.


#35 Shane Wahl

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Posted 18 August 2014 - 12:58 PM

I have said all along that he was a very bad draft pick. The K/BB is not good at all. But there were obviously red flags going into the draft.


#36 jokin

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Posted 18 August 2014 - 06:18 PM

I have said all along that he was a very bad draft pick. The K/BB is not good at all. But there were obviously red flags going into the draft.

 

Yeah, I groaned over a few of the picks in 2013.  When in doubt, always upside HS arms...! The White Sox got it right in the 2nd round that year, picking @ # 16 (Eades was #4), Tyler Danish. He is 19 years old, and is already looking at Eades in his rearview mirror, dominating in High A ball.  For the 2014 season, including mostly Carolina League stats where Danish is 3.8 years below average age.... ERA of 1.97 in 114 innings, WHIP of 1.14 and K/9 of 7.1.

 

Watch for that name in a couple more years.

Edited by jokin, 18 August 2014 - 06:18 PM.

 

Joyous, fact-based and tireless Twins fan for 40+ years, who unfortunately has been characterized as-

 

"forcing Twins fans to endure more bitter, baseless, and tiresome cheap shots about the Twins FO."


#37 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 18 August 2014 - 07:16 PM

Yeah, I groaned over a few of the picks in 2013.  When in doubt, always upside HS arms...

 

The 2014 draft must have been a treat for you, then.  If the Twins didn't draft Gordon, you could've convinced me they just decided not to scout high schools.  The 2002, Moneyball version of Billy Beane shook his head and said, "Yikes. Terry Ryan is over-doing it on the whole college thing."

 

As for Eades, I had other names in mind for the 43rd pick, too.  But, I was hoping that he'd have a good season and be a quick to the majors inning-eater.  Clearly, that does not look likely right now. Next year will be a make or break season.  Given this year's draft, I imagine Ryan will stay a starter until he figures it out or is pushed out by the players coming up behind him. 

Edited by Dance with Disco Dan, 18 August 2014 - 07:17 PM.


#38 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 22 August 2014 - 09:41 PM

Start No. 23 (08/22/14)

 

In this game, the Kernels faced the Burlington Bees, their likely first-round playoff opponent.The Bees are the MWL’s second-worst hitting team (.663 OPS) and have struggled in the second half of the season (26-34 W/L).But, by virtue of their second place finish in the first half, the Bees already have a playoff spot secured. The Kernels have all but secured their spot as well enjoying an 8-game cushion with 10 games to play. 

 

There was a lot to like in this game as the Kernels cruised to an 8-2 victory.Ryan submitted his fourth Quality Start in his last seven games.He pitched 6 innings, facing 22 batters and surrendering only 5 hits (including 2 2Bs) and one earned run. He did not issue any walks. The only negative was that Ryan struck out only two batters continuing a trend of low strikeout totals.Over his last seven appearances, Ryan has booked a 3.21 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP but only a 4.24 SO/9.He has shaved 1.19 off his ERA during that span. Some key season stats:

 

5.48 ERA
1.57 WHIP
0.74 GO/AO
.297 AVG

Links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats:

 

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya


#39 SD Buhr

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Posted 28 August 2014 - 07:17 AM

Eades threw a nice game Wednesday night in CR as the Kernels clinched the top 2nd half seed for the MWL playoffs. Thought this would be a good place to post a link to a short video from Eades' 4th inning of work against Kane County.

 

https://www.youtube....ayer_detailpage

Writing about the Minnesota Twins and their minor league organization, with an emphasis on the Cedar Rapids Kernels, at Knuckleballsblog.com since 2010.

~You can get anything you want at Alice's Restaurant~


#40 Dance with Disco Dan

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Posted 28 August 2014 - 05:58 PM

Start No. 24 (08/27/14)

 

The Kernels faced the Kane County Cougars in the first game of a three-game series with the Kernels trailing the Cougars by three games in the second-half standings. A sweep by the Kernels would pull them into a tie in the division race with one series to play.Ryan did his part submitting another Quality Start in the Kernels’ 3-2, 11-inning victory.

 

Ryan’s solid finish to the season continued.He pitched 6 innings, faced 23 batters and surrendered only 4 hits (including 3 2Bs) and 1 walk.He also reversed his trend of low strikeout totals by striking out 6 Cougars.Ryan had a lot of success inducing the Cougars to hit the ball on the ground—2.67 GO/AO—which has been a struggle for him this season.He was replaced trailing 2-1 but the bullpen held up and the team rallied for an extra-inning victory. Over his last eight appearances, Ryan has booked a 3.11 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and shaved 1.31 off his ERA.Some key season stats:

 

5.36 ERA
1.53 WHIP
0.77 GO/AO
.292 AVG
4.49 FIP

Links are to Ryan’s MiLB.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball-Reference pages for more granular stats:

 

http://www.milb.com/..._pbp&pid=592280

http://www.fangraphs...9448&position=P

http://www.baseball-...id=eades-001rya