Tough Stretch of Schedule -Comparisons to Same Matchups in 2011 and 2010
Posted 26 April 2012 - 12:50 PM
2012: 5-14, 71 runs scored, 109 runs given up
2011: 6-13, 73 runs scored, 90 runs given up
2010: 11-8, 79 runs scored, 61 runs given up*
*The Twins only played 3 games in New York in 2010 as opposed to 4 played there this year. I substituted the first Yankee game played at Target Field in order to have the same number of games.
It's sort of yes and no in that regard. The Twins only won one game more versus these opponents last year but surrendered a full run less per game than this year's team. Perhaps last year's team had already approached the point where the run disparity to win probability slope against good teams flattens out. What we should be alarmed about is that the pitching decline will have a more profound impact on the chances of winning versus the Kansas City's of the world.
Posted 26 April 2012 - 04:13 PM
Posted 26 April 2012 - 04:29 PM
On pace for 43-119 or '62 Mets territory. They'll do better once they start playing central division foes. They'll need some starting pitching though.
They better win more than 43. The pitching is beyond awful, but the offense has to make up the difference in some kind of fashion. I still feel like 70 wins is probable, but that's about it.
Posted 27 April 2012 - 12:13 AM