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View Poll Results: How many wins will the Twins have in 2013? (your votes will be public!)

Voters
93. You may not vote on this poll
  • Less than 60

    2 2.15%
  • 60-69

    20 21.51%
  • 70-79

    59 63.44%
  • 80-89

    10 10.75%
  • 90+

    2 2.15%
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Results 61 to 71 of 71

Thread: Twins - # of wins in 2013

  1. #61
    Twins Moderator MVP ashburyjohn's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by twinsnorth49 View Post
    First law of probability.
    Do laws of probability explain why athletes are like coins?

    The first law, as usually stated, is a bit circular, as it asserts independence of individual events. It doesn't demonstrate that the independence exists. Dozier and Plouffe both improving at bat, for instance, might be because the two of them both benefit from Brunansky being with the parent club; or it could be from them sitting together on the bench between at-bats and discussing their approaches at the plate and having some kind of simultaneous epiphany about Uncle Charley.

    Nothing really wrong with 7 heads out of 9 flips as a quick estimate of how much assumption is being built into one's season forecast. But it's not really a mathematical theorem either.

  2. #62
    74 wins. Solid improvement from Morneau and Parmelee help offset the loss of Span and Revere; a mediocre (as opposed to awful) rotation keeps the team in far more games.

  3. #63
    Senior Member Big-Leaguer FrodaddyG's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Greatest Poster Alive View Post
    A coin landing heads or tails is completely independent of the previous outcome of flipping said coin. Sorry, I just really hate that analogy.
    And each player's results are independent of one another, unless we somehow get to have two players go hit during every plate appearance. (And, really, the chances of any one of those players having a career year is probably less than 50%.)

  4. #64
    Senior Member All-Star YourHouseIsMyHouse's Avatar
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    Looks like we'll get around 70. Fangraphs has us at 71 and I said 71 to start, so looking good!

  5. #65
    Senior Member All-Star
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    24 games left and only 7 vs teams under .500. I will go 70 exactly.

  6. #66
    Senior Member Big-Leaguer
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    We just need to go 9-15 to finish with 70. I think odds are in our favor.

  7. #67
    Twins Moderator MVP USAFChief's Avatar
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    Is there a way to find out what I voted? Honest question, I don't remember.
    Every post is not every other post. - a wise man

  8. #68
    Twins News Team All-Star PseudoSABR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by USAFChief View Post
    Is there a way to find out what I voted? Honest question, I don't remember.
    Your vote should be in italics. I believe.

  9. #69
    Twins Moderator MVP USAFChief's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PseudoSABR View Post
    Your vote should be in italics. I believe.
    Uh...where? How?
    Every post is not every other post. - a wise man

  10. #70
    Twins News Team All-Star PseudoSABR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by USAFChief View Post
    Uh...where? How?
    For me, the numbers 70-79 are italicized...

  11. #71
    Twins Moderator MVP USAFChief's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PseudoSABR View Post
    For me, the numbers 70-79 are italicized...
    Well I'll be hornswaggled. Me too.
    Every post is not every other post. - a wise man

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