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Thread: Article: Terry Ryan Thinks Brian Dozier Was Rushed In '12

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    Twins Daily Writer Big-Leaguer Cody Christie's Avatar
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    Article: Terry Ryan Thinks Brian Dozier Was Rushed In '12


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    I briefly met Dozier at Twins Fest. I think he'll do fine at 2B

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    Hmmm...if you substitute the name Aaron Hicks for Brian Dozier it almost sounds like the same story. Hope Terry doesn't ruin Hicks the same way and for the same desperate reasons he ruined Dozier.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Doc Freiermuth View Post
    Hmmm...if you substitute the name Aaron Hicks for Brian Dozier it almost sounds like the same story. Hope Terry doesn't ruin Hicks the same way and for the same desperate reasons he ruined Dozier.
    I agree. The difference is Hick's age, of course. Dozier has always played well when he was a the top end of the age spectrum in the minor leagues, which is why a lot of us predicted his numbers wouldn't hold. I do have the same fear of Hicks, though, but I think he's got more chance to succeed and at least his defense is top notch.

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    Head Moderator All-Star glunn's Avatar
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    I hope that Dozier proves Ryan correct. The Twins could really benefit from more offensive production at 2B.

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    Again, I am going to bring up my central thesis: WHO CARES IF HE STRUGGLED. We were a 95 loss team without any other real alternatives. Let a guy like Dozier struggle at the major league level. Let him work out his problems and errors. Use a coaching staff and manager that will work with him to improve. To quote Hilary Clinton, what difference does it make.

    Sure, he was not "ready". Very few major league players are in their first year of exposure to that level. But, then, the guy is 26 years old. What is the Twins real plan with him? Bring him up when he is 30?

    Rebuilding takes patience. It takes dealing with losses. I question if the current Twins leadership really knows what htey are doing at times because they cannot seem to understand where this team stands.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mlhouse View Post
    Again, I am going to bring up my central thesis: WHO CARES IF HE STRUGGLED. We were a 95 loss team without any other real alternatives. Let a guy like Dozier struggle at the major league level. Let him work out his problems and errors. Use a coaching staff and manager that will work with him to improve. To quote Hilary Clinton, what difference does it make.

    Sure, he was not "ready". Very few major league players are in their first year of exposure to that level. But, then, the guy is 26 years old. What is the Twins real plan with him? Bring him up when he is 30?
    Dozier's experience shows the danger of bringing up some players before they are ready. He got worse once he reached the majors as the season went on, and the organization ironically lost faith in him after putting him in a position where he couldn't succeed.

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    So much baloney about "rushed"/ "brought up too soon". Most players struggle at the MLB level early on, only to improve. The rest never succeed. It happens. This is just another part of "The Twins Way"--endless years in the minors. Read the artcles on top prospects by position and find out that most of these guys skipped levels along the way--and somehow succeed! Other teams routinely have MLers that were called up by age 22.

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    How can you rush a 25 year old?

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    Maybe the biggest "What If" player (along with Parmelee and Hicks/Benson) going into the season. He's definitely one of the guys who could put up a surprisingly good year if things go well.

    Defensively at SS, the team always said he was playing too deep. I doubt that will be much of an issue if he's at 2B, that position seems to lend itself to playing fairly deep naturally. I also recall a lot of his errors being throws sailing high and off-target. Again, if he's at 2B that hopefully becomes less of an issue because of the shorter throws. So if he's at 2B, I could see him actually being good defensively, at least adequate. And if he's good defensively, maybe he's not so panicked at the plate trying to save his job.

    He's got some pop, if he plays regularly I expect him to get double-digits in homeruns and actually get a tolerable amount of walks. His numbers could go up drastically. Or he could flail away at pitches he can't hit again and play terrible defense. I don't have a crystal ball, so far now I'll choose to be hopeful he's gonna be our 2B for the next few years and be decent or better at it.

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    Super Moderator All-Star twinsnorth49's Avatar
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    So they rushed him last year and he flopped, didn't bother to call him up in September and now they seem prepared to just hand him the 2nd base gig, based pretty much on the fact that the only other alternatives are Escobar and a 39 year old utility player. Why am I not all that confident?

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    Senior Member All-Star Shane Wahl's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by twinsnorth49 View Post
    So they rushed him last year and he flopped, didn't bother to call him up in September and now they seem prepared to just hand him the 2nd base gig, based pretty much on the fact that the only other alternatives are Escobar and a 39 year old utility player. Why am I not all that confident?
    Haha, exactly. Everything they did with Dozier last year was wrong. And it was *obviously* wrong, which is terrifying.

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    Owner MVP Seth Stohs's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notoriousgod71 View Post
    How can you rush a 25 year old?
    Too many people say this... but in reality, I think he was rushed in two ways. 1.) he debuted in the big leagues less than two years after he was drafted. That is very fast. 2.) When he was promoted from Rochester, he wasn't playing well.

    I get that he's not a 22 year old. However, he was a four-year college guy, so he didn't even sign until he was 22. He debuted as a 24 year old. That's fast. No one expects him to be a Hall of Famer, just a solid regular. So, debuting at 24 is not old. Neither is 25.

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    " To quote Hilary Clinton, what difference does it make."
    I think it was Morrissey who sang that, not Hilary Clinton.

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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer Oldgoat_MN's Avatar
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    What Doc said. This is exactly my fear with Hicks, too. A little time in AAA just to make sure he is adjusting well there.
    It is a rare player who goes from AA to MLB without some genuine struggles. Please try to remember how rare a Mauer type of player is.
    The guy I think most likely to handle the jump is Arcia, but he doesn't play CF.
    Last edited by Oldgoat_MN; 01-29-2013 at 12:34 PM. Reason: too many As

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    Quote Originally Posted by Oldgoat_MN View Post
    What Doc said. This is exactly my fear with Hicks, too. A little time in AAA just to make sure he is adjusting well there.
    It is a rare player who goes from AA to MLB without some genuine struggles. Please try to remember how rare a Mauer type of player is.
    The guy I think most likely to handle the jump is Arcia, but he doesn't play CF.
    It's rare a player hits the majors without geniune struggles, period.

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    Those people that say it never hurts to keep a player longer in AA, because you can promote from there.....this thread reminds us why it does matter that players are promoted slowly and not given a September callup.....

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    Senior Member All-Star Shane Wahl's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mike wants wins View Post
    Those people that say it never hurts to keep a player longer in AA, because you can promote from there.....this thread reminds us why it does matter that players are promoted slowly and not given a September callup.....
    Speaking of a September callup, I think that should have been Dozier's only time with the Twins last year unless he started to really heat up in AAA earlier than that.

    Of course you can rush a 25-year-old if they haven't been past AA by that time!!!! Dozier had things to learn and AAA would have been good for that. And even after the demotion how he wasn't a second baseman the rest of the year is completely beyond my comprehension.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ThePuck View Post
    It's rare a player hits the majors without geniune struggles, period.
    There are "struggles" and then there is just being overmatched.

    I'd argue that Ben Revere "struggled" in his first nearly full season in 2011. His play was a mixture of darn right terrible to solid starter type numbers. He had a rough May (34 AB), an excellent June (.294 AVG/.333 OBP), an awful July (.218/.280), an improved August (.255/.300), and a excellent Sept. (.311/.342). This, after a short stint in AAA that proved he was ready for the majors.

    Dozier, by contrast, didn't really have those ups and downs and didn't put together more than a couple of consecutive games of what looked like major league talent . His numbers did get slightly better, but his best full month was an OPS of .611 and he never cracked a .300 OBP. His last month started out better in terms of SLG % because of a couple of HR, but AVG and OBP were both down again. (I'll add that even though I didn't think the Twins should have called him up when they did, I don't think there was a reason to send him down at that point either and would have liked to see him finish the season).

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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer jimbo92107's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alex View Post
    I agree. The difference is Hick's age, of course. Dozier has always played well when he was a the top end of the age spectrum in the minor leagues, which is why a lot of us predicted his numbers wouldn't hold. I do have the same fear of Hicks, though, but I think he's got more chance to succeed and at least his defense is top notch.
    Aaron Hicks's age is one difference, but another huge difference is that the Twins have several options in the outfield this year. They already know that Darrin Mastroianni can handle CF duties if Hicks has trouble out there. Masto isn't a great hitter, but he brings a fair amount of skill as a lead-off man and base runner. If Hicks has trouble handling major league pitching, they can bring up Joe Benson, especially if Benson looks good this spring. That's probably plan A or A1 anyway. They could even bring up Oswaldo Arcia in a pinch. The Benson/Hicks competition should make an exciting storyline this spring. Whoever hits better may well start in CF for the Twins, and the runner up will play CF for Rochester.

    Contrast that with the situation in the middle infield last year. After Nishioka flopped, they brought up Brian Dozier, even though he wasn't hitting very well in Rochester. Problem was, neither was anybody else. They probably figured that Dozier at least would bring some defensive stability at SS or 2B, but then Dozier let his hitting woes affect his fielding, and then his whole rookie season started looking bad. A rookie's confidence can be ruined by early failure. The numbers say they're not making it, and the fans booing tells them they're not making it. Sending Dozier down may have rescued his career.

    What Terry Ryan said does sound plausible, and I hope it's true. Brian Dozier seems like the kind of scrappy, max effort player that every team needs. I'm hoping he develops into another Nick Punto, but with more pop in the bat. This 2013 season will definitely reveal what kind of player Dozier is.
    Last edited by jimbo92107; 01-29-2013 at 02:25 PM.

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