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Thread: Pujols Turnaround

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    Pujols Turnaround

    Mike Trout and Mark Trumbo are having remarkable seasons for the Angels but what about Albert Pujols? His poor start was well documented. What has happened since his poor start?

    About the same time Plouffe began turning around his season, Albert Pujols was doing the same. In the past 62 games, Pujols has hit .326/.404/.622/1.027. If his final 62 games match the previous 62 here is how he'll end up:

    Split G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS
    < May 16 36 153 146 10 31 8 0 1 14 7 18 0 0 .212 .248 .288 .536
    >= May 16 62 272 233 43 76 18 0 17 49 32 29 7 1 .326 .404 .622 1.027
    Projection 62 272 233 43 76 18 0 17 49 32 29 7 1 .326 .404 .622 1.027
    Total 160 697 612 96 183 44 0 35 112 71 76 14 2 .299 .370 .542 .913

    The Angels were 16-21 (.432) through May 15 and 39-24 (.619) since. If they continue at the .619 pace, they will end up with 94 wins.

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    How does Pujols compare to Trout and Trumbo since his turnaround?

    Player G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS
    Pujols 62 272 233 43 76 18 0 17 49 32 29 7 1 .326 .404 .622 1.027
    Trumbo 63 269 250 35 75 9 3 21 53 17 53 3 3 .300 .346 .612 .958
    Trout 63 290 259 64 94 15 5 13 41 25 51 28 3 .363 .421 .610 1.031
    Average
    277 247 47 82 14 3 17 48 25 44 13 2 .330 .391 .615 1.006

  3. #3
    Senior Member Big-Leaguer biggentleben's Avatar
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    What will always get me about Pujols is that he still can get up and give you double-digit steals every single year. It is remarkable to me.
    Staff Writer for Tomahawktake.com, come check it out!

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    Senior Member All-Star Bark's Lounge's Avatar
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    Although it was hard to see Albert leave St. Louis (as the Cards are my NL team). I never had any doubts that he wouldn't suck all year. Maybe his best years are behind him, but I still see him hitting .300 and hitting 35ish HR's for the next 2-3 years. Pujols is the best player of this generation of Major League Baseball. If Pujols is indeed 32 years old, he is the last chance we will have for awhile to break the All-Time HR mark and make that designation legitimate again. Here's hoping to that!

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    Pixel Monkey MVP Brock Beauchamp's Avatar
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    I just realized that Albert is going to need a monster last third of the season if he's going to continue his 30 HR streak.

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    Quote Originally Posted by rocketpig View Post
    I just realized that Albert is going to need a monster last third of the season if he's going to continue his 30 HR streak.
    Even with his terrible slow start, he is pretty much on pace for 30 homers (18 homers in 100 Angels' games = 29.2 homers per 162 Angels' games). To get to 30, he needs to hit 12 in the final 62 games, a pace of 31.4 per 162. Unless he gets hurt, that would be a pretty good bet.

  7. #7
    Thanks for the info. I have Pujols and Trumbo on my fantasy team.

    I think you need to post his projected year end stats.
    "Baseball is like church. Many attend, few understand."

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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer FrodaddyG's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by powrwrap View Post
    Thanks for the info. I have Pujols and Trumbo on my fantasy team.

    I think you need to post his projected year end stats.
    You mean the ones in the initial post?

  9. #9
    Senior Member All-Star SpiritofVodkaDave's Avatar
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    Cool

    Quote Originally Posted by FrodaddyG View Post
    You mean the ones in the initial post?
    That is "season end" dumba**.

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    maybe there's some sort of unproven link between pujols and plouffe...

    In all seriousness, Pujols has started out slow the last couple of years... it seems each year he starts out slow and picks up... the problem is that it's been taking longer each year for it to happen... Me thinks the Angels are going to be hating this contract in 3 years...

  11. #11
    Pixel Monkey MVP Brock Beauchamp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by diehardtwinsfan View Post
    maybe there's some sort of unproven link between pujols and plouffe...

    In all seriousness, Pujols has started out slow the last couple of years... it seems each year he starts out slow and picks up... the problem is that it's been taking longer each year for it to happen... Me thinks the Angels are going to be hating this contract in 3 years...
    If not three, they'll be hating it not long thereafter.

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by rocketpig View Post
    If not three, they'll be hating it not long thereafter.
    And it's not just the Pujols contract, although that is certainly the worst of the bunch. They already have $70-90 million per year committed through 2016 for 6 players. At this point most of those players are playing well but four and a half more years is a LONG time. I guess the one saving grace is most of those contracts will just be coming off the books when Trumbo and Trout are becoming FA eligible.

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    Angels have played 42 games since OP. Projecting Pujol's stats for final 20 games using the past 42 yields this:
    Split G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS
    Before May 16 36 153 146 10 31 8 0 1 14 7 18 0 0 .212 .248 .288 .536
    Between May 16 and July 28 62 272 233 43 76 18 0 17 49 32 29 7 1 .326 .404 .622 1.027
    Between July 28 and Sep 11 37 163 153 26 45 16 0 11 32 7 19 1 0 .294 .331 .614 .946
    Projection of post Sep 11 18 79 74 13 22 8 0 5 16 3 9 0 0 .297 .325 .608 .933
    Projected Total 153 667 606 92 174 50 0 34 111 49 75 8 1 .287 .343 .538 .881

  14. #14
    Senior Member Big-Leaguer Twins Twerp's Avatar
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    Man I wish we would have taken Trout instead of Gibson

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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer biggentleben's Avatar
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    The most interesting part about his line this year to me is his bb/k rate. He's basically been a 1/1 guy most of his career, and while his strikeout number isn't high this year, having a near 1/2 bb/k rate this year is an interesting change for him. I'd want to see how his second year in a new league goes before predicting his decline, but that's definitely not an encouraging sign.
    Staff Writer for Tomahawktake.com, come check it out!

  16. #16
    Speediest Moderator All-Star snepp's Avatar
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    His BB:K rate is closer to 1:1 than it is to 1:2.
    "Maybe you could go grab a bat and ballÖ and learn something. Maybe you will get it."
    - Strib commenter educating the elitists on the value of RBI's

  17. #17
    Senior Member Big-Leaguer biggentleben's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snepp View Post
    His BB:K rate is closer to 1:1 than it is to 1:2.
    I was looking with the projections. Currently, he's about a 2/3 bb/k, which isn't bad, but it's still not close to his career, which was 4/3.
    Staff Writer for Tomahawktake.com, come check it out!

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    Quote Originally Posted by biggentleben View Post
    The most interesting part about his line this year to me is his bb/k rate. He's basically been a 1/1 guy most of his career, and while his strikeout number isn't high this year, having a near 1/2 bb/k rate this year is an interesting change for him. I'd want to see how his second year in a new league goes before predicting his decline, but that's definitely not an encouraging sign.
    The first thing I noticed when I did the update was that he only walked 7 times in the last split. Combining that with the start of the season split, Pujols walked 14 times in 316 PA or a 4.4% rate. Ben Revere has walked at a 4.8% rate. For the record, Revere walked 9 times during the time period of the last split.

    Pujols did have a better than 1:1 ratio during the 62 game stretch in the middle though.

  19. #19
    Pixel Monkey MVP Brock Beauchamp's Avatar
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    Aaaaaaand he's at 30 homers. The streak is alive.

  20. #20
    Senior Member All-Star Willihammer's Avatar
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    500th double tonight, tying him with John Olerud and Goose Goslin for 55th all time. The all time leader with 792, in case you're wondering, is Tris Speaker

    http://www.baseball-reference.com/pl...peaktr01.shtml

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