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74 wins. Solid improvement from Morneau and Parmelee help offset the loss of Span and Revere; a mediocre (as opposed to awful) rotation keeps the team in far more games.

You nailed it, Parker!

Excellent analysis! Great use of swing and contact rates to put Revere's performance in proper context. Hopefully, someone shows this to Vavra!

21. Better OBP from the first two hitters will put more pressure on pitchers, forcing them to pitch to Mauer from the stretch more often.