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Here is a tally before Pelfrey and Harden. I suspect with Ryan's MLB and MiLB signings the Twins have enough veterans to fill the rotations from MLB to Fort Myers...
And I really do not mind him passing. This would had been another Correia-like (Marcum is better than Correia, but similarly effective) signing:
The Twins will be really hard pressed to compete as is. And (in my book) for the Twins to compete, Harden, Pelfrey and Diamond need to be healthy, so does Morneau, Perk needs to adjust to the closer role, Willingham needs to repeat 2012, so does Plouffe, a MIF (or 2) need to have an OPS North of 700, the new CF needs to catch lightning, and everyone needs to be career average or better.
What is the probability of that happening?
So, let's say that this team wins 76 as is... (this is +10 from 2012, I know I am generous ;) ) Adding Marcum to the rotation and subtracting (who?) will account for 12-15 wins?
Severely doubt it.
Waste of money (as is the $ they are paying Morneau, Willingham, Doumit, Carroll and most veterans right now...)
Ryan can actually do some trades. Occasionally. I give him that. But as far as signing or re-signing FA Ps, he has been horrid. Batting Butera-like averages. The only FA of worth I remember him sign as far as SP go is Kenny Rogers. The rest were like.... So Correia (and Capps last season) has been more the Ryan Norm than the Exception.
I look at the Brewers as a model of the future. They lost Grienke mid season in 2012 and Marcum for a large portion of the season. During that time frame, they were way out of the playoff hunt. They went with their young call up prospects and made a true run for the wildcard. This year they made no attempt to bring in an established frree agent SP and made no attempt to bring back Marcum. They are going into this season with strong beliefs that their young SPers can take them into the post season. Maybe - Just maybe - Our June call up pitchers (Meyer / Mays / Gibson / Hendriks) can bring some immediate hope for the future to this city. If not, maybe we can make some late season trades to assure some other top AAA prospects (SP / Middle Infield) help for the future. Brewer Fans happy with the promise of the future despite being on the shoulders of prospects.
TR can test the health of the inexpensive vets for the beginning of the season and always go to the young prospects to finish off the 2nd half of season if sh___ hits the fan. If you pay for too many years to FA pitchers you would never pull the plug on them for your young prospects. This way we have nothing to lose. Win Win or Lose Win (prospect experience)
2. Despite playing in a market a fraction of the size of the Twins, playing in a stadium several years older than Target Field, and despite being the smallest market in baseball, the Brewers payroll is nearly identical to the Twins.
Brewers will still average close to 35,000 raging fans per game. Anxious to see if prospects can still meet expectations. Raging Fans who don't wait for prospects to fulfill destiny before they show them their love. I've been to recent Twins games and fans have lost thier spirit in a matter of 2 years.
So many of the people on this board can not switch their enthusiasm to "Go Twins" mood with true conviction come season time. Die hards believe until the results (W/L) show there is no more hope. Start believing people. Brewer fans were disappointed they lost Fielder in 2012, but understood the market they were in. Brewer management makes a habit of making the big trades when the team shows it has playoff possibilities (C.C. / K Rod), not before. Milwaukee - like Minnesota does not bring in the huge FAs. They have to acquire their Key players via trades. I don't understand why my fellow Twins Fan gets upset over not acquiring Key FAs. You haven't done so in the last 2 decades.
Also, I lived in Milwaukee from mid 2008 to late 2009. I still have several friends there. Nobody is thrilled about the payroll situation going on there (and their payroll is STILL equal to Minnesota's despite MUCH smaller revenue streams). If Milwaukee fans are annoyed, Twins fans should be storming the streets with pitchforks and torches. We're getting screwed by comparison.
Go ahead and lead the blind faith brigade, if that's what you feel makes you a fan, all power to you. As a fan myself, I wish our FO showed a little bit more appreciation and respect to us and some of the players by making a better effort to put a viable product on the field.
I hope they win, I just don't believe they will.
Webb is the only FA pitcher I am left to hold out hope for.
I will ask this:
Would you rather gamble with low cost / potential upside - FA SPers? and use call up prospects in June if all else fails?
Spend $10 to 15 million on potential (#3s) over a 2-3 year span - who will probably maintain their (#3) status for those 2-3 years?
*To me you win possibly 10 more games & remain close to .500 either way
*You can spend millions of dollars to remain under .500 / & keep your potential SP prospects from receiving quality starts in a meaningless season.
*If you are not making a run for the playoffs - get those prospects some outings. Get the kinks out this year and full go in 2014.
That's funny, we signed the low cost no upside variety.