4 Realistic FA Pitching Options
From what I gather, our 4 FA options in pitching are Saunders, Myers, Correia, and Lannan. LEN3 said on Twitter we aren't in on Jackson or Marcum. If we aren't in on Jackson or Marcum, we aren't in on Sanchez. I forgot who also reported it, but we didn't make an offer to McCarthy.
So with ditching ony further speculation on one of the better arms, let's look at the 4 available (from my limited perspectice):
-Pitched most of his career in AL.
-Had best year in AL.
-Was able to switch from NL to AL last year and do well with Baltimore.
-Appears to at least be consistent enough to make 28-30 starts.
-Could bring prospects at trade deadline (B- prospect the highest)
-ERA will most likely be over 4 in full AL season.
-Price will be over inflated with Blanton signing.
-4th or 5th starter ... not a 2nd starter like Twins need.
FA Predition: 2 years at 17.5 million .. probably out of Twins price range.
-Able to start or relieve.
-Was able to change back from closer to starter before in career.
-Probably a better version of Brian Duensing (going back and forth between rotation and pen).
-Willing to probably settle for less for a chance to start for a full season.
-Could bring prospects at trade deadline (C prospect at best)
-No guarantees he can convert back into a starter.
-ERA will probably approach 5 as a starter in my opinion.
-Will be lucky to get to 5th inning in attempt to go back to a starter ... doesn't protect bullpen.
-Pitched 98% of his career in NL. AL a very different animal.
FA Prediction: 1 year (make good deal as starter) at 6.5 million with 1 million in incentives - will sign with Twins for starting opportunity.
-Durable for last 4 years.
-Um ... 500 pitcher?
-Jason Marquis all over again.
-Never pitched in AL.
-If he can have a 4 to 5 ERA in NL, imagine what it will be in AL.
-Never pitched over 200 innings.
-Won't bring any prospects at deadline since he'll probably be released before then.
FA Prediction: 2 year at 12 million ... hopefully an NL team inflates his price and keeps the Twins from making a mistake.
-Youngest (28) of all the 4 options.
-Looking to re-establish himself after being in minors for a majority of last year.
-Price might be better for a team like the Twins.
-Possibly still young enough in career to improve.
-Could be a decent back end guy in Twins rotation for possibly up to 3-4 years.
-Probably won't bring any good prospects back at deadline, but will bring something (C- to D???)
-Never pitched in AL.
-Wins and losses don't count much, but he was never able have a full winning full season in Washington.
-Only went over 200 innings once.
-Not even good enough to be one of Washington's main starting 5 all season.
-Confidence might be shaken with being in minors last year after establishing himself.
FA Prediction: 1 year at 4.5 million ... Twins should sign him.
What I'd want:
I think Saunders has the highest upside. I'd love to see the Twins give him a 2 year deal as he'd for sure be our 3rd starter, which isn't terrible. My second choice would be Myers or Lannan .. with me probably going Lannan over Myers due to me knowing he can start. The Twins won't spend all of their FA money on SP ... they'll pocket some of it.
Knowing us, we'll think what Saunders wants is too much and go Lannan/Myers and Correia (yuck). It could be even worse ... maybe we'll go Correia and an even worse SP out there (looks like talks with Liriano got worse, so we look to be avoiding that bullet).
If it was Lannan and Myers, I guess that be ok ... Saunders will probably want to go to a contender. The Twins right now are viewed as a place for opportunity. A place to establish yourself and hope you do good enough to get a bigger payday, which is what both Lannan and Myers need.
We'll see what happens. What do others think (feel free to tear me to shreds if you don't agree, lol).