People don't think he'll stick at SS, but I've never read anything about him being a questionable defender, it's simply that scouts think he will be too large. I thought we were slowly getting away from the idea that height and weight had to determine your position? This guy is tall and lean, he could add 20 lbs to his 190 lb body and still look like the best athlete on the team. Probably even 30.
I really like Kolek. If around . . .
In the 2nd and 3rd rounds, the jerks at IU have a couple of good players (Schwarber C/1B and Travis 1B).
If when the Twins pick, Kolek and Turner are both available after good years, I would have no idea which one I would prefer. I think Kolek.
If you take the BPA, he's probably not going to hit the MLB roster for anywhere between 2-4 seasons. That gives you plenty of time to shift around assets and adjust for need using your MLB roster.
For example, moving Denard Span and Ben Revere in a two week period for pitching. Should the Twins take another toolsy OF because he's the BPA, there's nothing stopping them from moving Arcia or Hicks in 24 months' time and plugging a hole that way. Even a somewhat pedestrian MLB player like Denard Span can land you top-shelf talent like Alex Meyer. It's easy to move established MLB players who are young and cost-controlled.
Whereas if you're drafting for need, you're undermining your own scouting department and who they believe is the best player on the board, instead taking a guy and projecting need well into the future, a need that may not exist in 24-36 months.
I think taking a position based on organization needs doesn't make sense, but targeting a position based on what was mentioned above - harder positions to fill in free agency - does make sense sometimes.
It become semantics a little bit. Does their scarcity make them the BPA or does their scarcity mean you overlook a player who your scouts have graded slightly higher?
It's fine to be on the Buxton bandwagon in February. But before Buxton's last prep season, he could have been anywhere between the #1 and #15 pick.
There's still an entire baseball season that needs to be played before the draft. Guys are going to go up and down the board based on that season, growth spurts, or injury. Look at what happened to Kyle Gibson in 2009.
Badeball America released their Early Draft Preview: Best Tools today for both college and HS. For those of you on the Turner bandwagon he showed up 3 times; best athlete, best speed, and best defender. He also showed up twice under "other candidates" for; quickest to the majors and best infielder arm.
Here are both the college and HS lists:
He may have to move, but that should be something determined by defensive productivity, not preconcieved ideas about the ideal body type made by bloggers or even scouts. Besides this guy's already got elite power, it's not like he NEEDS to add more bulk to be a power threat.
Kiley McDaniel just released his top 52 draft prospect list. It is well worth your time to check it out. I really like how he breaks it down in tiers (mostly because that's what I do when making my own list).