For some reason, I always thought Guerrier was a real warrior.
For some reason, I always thought Guerrier was a real warrior.
I don't get the opposition to signing Guerrier at all. He isn't that far removed from being an effective short reliever. At 35, he isn't really all that old for a relief pitcher. It is a minor league deal, and he isn't going to be taking up all that many innings this spring that should be going to somebody else. Heck, usually the Twins sent the 40 man guys who aren't going to make the roster to the minor league camp early so if they get hurt in ST they won't have to be carried on the ML DL. So there will likely be innings.
If he really looks good this spring and makes the team, it probably means that Pressley or Tonkin or both get AAA seasoning, which isn't necessarily a bad thing. If he doesn't make the team, he is cut or goes to AAA for a month or 2. If there is need he could be called up, more likely he is released by June no matter how he is pitching in AAA.
There is very little downside to any of this, maybe some marginal prospect is held back in AA for awhile longer than he would be otherwise. Maybe a kid who could be in the majors like Pressley spends some time in AAA, which again isn't neccessarily a bad thing.
It does sort of look like those who are complaining about this signing, are looking pretty hard for a reason to complain about Ryan.
I don't think anyone is really against this signing. It just makes you sort of roll your eyes since we have also signed Bartlett and Kubel and there are still the Johan rumors.
Many players struggle when entering the majors. It will take an investment of many plate appearances or innings. The pay off is a useful, inexpensive player 2 years down the road.
Every inning or at plate appearance given to Kubel, Guerrier or Bartlett is also a lost opportunity to invest in a younger struggling player. Is Tonkin the 2016 closer? Who knows? It will be less likely if he is in AAA and Guerrier is pitching in the 7th inning. Where would would Parmelee be if he had 1000 plate appearances at this point in his career? No one knows. He sat while Doumit played for two 90+ loss teams. I am certain that the Twins would know whether to invest any more at bats in him had he received consistent playing time.
Bartlett, Kubel and Guerrier are a little different than a lot of typical minor league signings. Kubel hit 30+ homers in 2012. He's not old. Guerrier has had a long career of being a very solid 7/8 inning guy. Bartlett obviously had a couple really solid years and can play a position where the Twins do have a need. All three are legit big leaguers coming off of injuries. If these guys are playing, they're not a downgrade.
Nobody wants a talented young player to come up and DH, so Kubel makes a lot of sense. So many think Tonkin is ready, but he's had very little success above AA. Wouldn't hurt him to get some time. Danny Santana isn't nearly ready, so Bartlett makes sense if he's healthy.
Are any of them sure things? Of course not. But if one of them contributed heavily to the Twins, that would be tremendous! Considering these three signings and Johan Santana, my thought is that Santana would contribute the least of the four in 2014.
In response to this situation, 'best post ever' in the comments section by someone who calls himself "Monkey Revolution", well worth clicking over for a chuckle or two:
Chris Parmelee was given an extended look for two consecutive years. In both years, he had an OPS+ of 84. It might only be 631 plate appearances, but it's enough to know he's probably not going to be a star. Oh, by the way, the guy who replaced him put up a 102 OPS+ as a 22 year old. He actually has a chance to be a star. And, if Kubel beats Parmelee in ST for DH, fine. Because Kubel actually was a star, and has a chance to return to that level.
I hope he is still underrated.
If they contribute, that's great. I actually like Guerrier's signing the most (of the ex Twins).
Here's another idea. So how would people feel if in late May or June Kubel is providing some offense, Bartlett is helping the club, Guerrier is in the pen, and then the Twins hit the skids again and drop 12 games under .500? It's hypothetical so no need to answer. It would lead to some uncomfortable PR, but even worse, it does disrupt the development of younger guys and does kind of clog the roster. I don't think that's completely a myth. I just don't know why Terry signs all of these particular guys en masse under these circumstances and opens himself to that possibility. Well, we shall cross that bridge if we come to it (and hopefully we don't).
In what disjointed universe was Kubel a "star"?
You seem to like your prospects in Minnesota yesterday just about no matter what though, so I'm not sure you'll ever be satisfied through that prism...
Unlikely? Do you recall Bartlett sitting in the minors while an old, bad player continues to play?
Different fans like different things. That doesn't make any of us wrong. Liking a team and rooting for them is irrational. So there is no really wrong way to be a fan. I would rather pay to watch young guys with upside on a bad team, than I would to watch old guys with no future on a bad team. I don't get how that makes me bad/evil/wrong kind of fan. Just different than you or some others.
Not saying it makes you a bad fan at all, just different, like you said. This team absolutely needs depth though and this is a no-risk, no-money way to do that. I'd rather see Guerrier come up to pitch if needed than some poor kid who isn't ready while burning option years with the potential to actually harm his development more than help. Not many examples of any decent prospects that never made it to MLB because they were blocked for eternity. Might not be as soon as you'd like, but talent always rises to the top...
I don't worry about option years for relief pitchers. Thanks for the polite respone, btw. Sometimes when we disagree here (we meaning all of us), it isn't always polite.
I also don't share the worry about relief pitchers having their development stunted as much as you, but I get that concern.
Again, I'm not saying something bad is likely to happen. I just don't agree that the downside risk (for this year and the future) is as small or non-existent as others. I also don't really see the upside, frankly. People say not to sign Drew, because he's not going to help the team compete, but are good signing a 35 year old reliever that is likely to be used in inning 5 or 6 given the current pen? I would rather they roll the dice on young guys. I can see the other side of the argumet.
Finally, I think that if this was an isolated instance, I'd probably not comment on it. But with Kubel and Bartlett also being signed? I don't like the strategy much. I'm actually more worried Bartlett is up here, blocking Escobar, than I am about Matty Ice blocking Tonkin.
I do get where you're coming from. I'd point to last year as an example of what can happen when you don't have depth. Poor Aaron Hicks is forced to struggle for far too long at MLB because there truly weren't any other real options. Last year was a lost cause for him, possibly (likely?) as a direct result. Very possible his development was harmed, not helped, by being forced in to MLB action.
jay, part of the job of the front office is to dream up scenarios…much of the Twins community has seemingly spent the last part of 2012 and entire 2013 seasons asking "How did this happen?" when in hindsight there were some pretty clear warning markers.