Thread: Fantasy Research (Value picks, duds, rookies, waiver tips, etc.)

My draft is Sunday for my head to head league. I'm mostly interested in finding mid to late round value right now, but I haven't done a good job keeping up on injury updates. And usually when it's written up on the big sites, there's no advantage at that point in the knowledge. I'm using Yahoo. I'm in a 12 team H2H 6x6 with OPS and K/BB as the extra categories.

I'm looking at yahoo's current rankings and finding guys who I think may be undervalued, cross checking fangraphs projections and rotoworld spring training progress. Then I take their rank, divide it by 12 to tell what round I should expect them to be taken. If I want to reach for them, I'll consider them for the round before the expected draft round. For example: I kind of like Brennan Boesch's prospects this year. Yahoo has him at 196. In a 12 team league that means he's be expected to be drafted in the 16th round unless someone really reaches. Therefore if I do want to reach, I'd be thinking the 15th to start considering him on my radar. Other prospective reaches I'm considering are the following. Please speak up if you think I've got any of these wrong or if I'm missing anyone.

Potentially Outperform list

Dustin Ackley - 11th round (expected to go in the 12th)
Brennan Boesch - 15th
Emilio Bonafacio - 12th
Gabi Sanchez - 15th
Jason Kubel - 16th
Doug Fister - 15th
Francisco Liriano - 19th
Doug Fister - 15th
Justin Smoak - 22nd
Ryan Doumit - 27th
Yadier Molina - 16th
Josh Willingham - 15th
Wilson Ramos - 22nd
Tyler Clippard - 26th

I haven't made the underperform expectation list yet.

Just an FYI, last Sunday I participated in a 14 team, 25 round draft... I posted the draft round by round, and fans can use it as part of a cheet sheet or just to see where people went in one draft... (Note, I had a problem with the Auto-Pilot in the early rounds. That's how I got Mauer, Ackely and Weeks. Oops!) http://www.twinsdaily.com/showthread...-Live-Coverage

Bah, I should have just posted in that thread then. Sorry.

Were there a lot of Twins fans in that league? I'm the only Twins fan in my league so I'm assuming I can really sit back on my Liriano pick.

We all from Minnesota and probably Twins fans... but generally no one wants to be the 'homer' so I don't think there is much homerism... although my accidental pick of Mauer was about a round or two too early!

12 team league, no keepers or anything special.

1.	(8)	Troy Tulowitzki	SS
2.	(17)	Roy Halladay	SP
3.	(32)	Tim Lincecum	SP
4.	(41)	CC Sabathia	SP
5.	(56)	Mike Napoli	C,1B
6.	(65)	Michael Young	1B,2B,3B
7.	(80)	Michael Bourn	OF
8.	(89)	Drew Storen	RP
9.	(104)	Brett Gardner	OF
10.	(113)	J.J. Putz	RP
11.	(128)	Andre Ethier	OF
12.	(137)	Brandon League	RP
13.	(152)	Martin Prado	3B,OF
14.	(161)	Huston Street	RP
15.	(176)	Kelly Johnson	2B
16.	(185)	Jhoulys Chacin	SP
17.	(200)	Colby Lewis	SP
18.	(209)	Erick Aybar	SS
19.	(224)	Alexi Ogando	SP
20.	(233)	Ricky Nolasco	SP
21.	(248)	Seth Smith	OF
22.	(257)	Carlos Zambrano	SP
23.	(272)	Jarrod Parker	SP
24.	(281)	Gaby Sanchez	1B
25.	(296)	Luke Hughes	1B,2B,3B

Comments? Thoughts? How bad was it to draft pitchers for no. 2 no. 3 and no. 4?

Edit: Feedback from baseball masters Seth and Nick would be awesome! lol

Gabi Sanchez is a really nice 281st pick.

It's a little ace SP heavy for my liking, as I like to take dependable bats early. So you're probably relatively light on dependable boppers. But there are always different ways of going about it and I've had a terrible run of it in the last few years so what do I know.

Yeah, posting this roster on other forums people have been ripping into me. I understand getting big bats early is the way to go but with 8th pick I kept falling on pitcher after pitcher, couldn't help myself. All the good 1B and 3B were already gone. So I went for speed/SB's, which translates into runs , average, and if im lucky OPS.

Last year I had like the 4th overall pick and happened to get all 3, Adrian, Ellsbury, and Bautista! Also had David Wright but of course he was an epic fail last year.