Twins Pitching Philosophy
Pavano on the mound yesterday sparked some debate about this, but it's worth it's own thread.
The common criticism is that the Twins don't care enough about strikeouts and power, opting instead for control and low walk rates. This runs counter to sabrmetric studies that suggest the one of the most effective way to keep runners off base is to keep them from putting the ball in play.
I might counter with this: it's not like one can go out and buy flamethrowers off the shelves at Cub (especially not at a discount). There is nothing revolutionary about saying "Guys who strike guys out are very good." Every team wants those guys. They want them in free agency, and they want them in trades and they want them in the draft. It's hard to compete for those guys when a team:
a) played with a fairly low payroll for most of the last decade
b) was adamant about sticking to the "slot" amount in the draft and
c) was successful enough to consistently get lower picks in the draft
d) and, let's face it, has dealt with some injuries to some high upside pitchers.
Rather than compete in a crowded market, they've looked for a market inefficiency and that is control. And for the most part it has worked. They've had enough starting pitching to keep them competitive and enough bullpen arms to consistently give them an advantage over most of the last decade.
But a decade of success is catching up with them and things are getting even leaner.
Am I wrong?